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ARM or FSLR or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. First Solar (FSLR) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM has experienced volatility with recent pullbacks amid high valuations, but benefits from AI-driven growth in data centers and partnerships.
- FSLR faces headwinds from disappointing 2026 guidance and policy uncertainties, leading to sharp declines and analyst downgrades.
- TXN shows relative stability with positive YTD gains, supported by new AI microcontrollers and industrial demand.
- Semiconductor peers like ARM and TXN exhibit stronger sector tailwinds compared to solar-exposed FSLR.
- Recent market activity highlights valuation concerns across all three, with FSLR trading at the lowest P/E ratio around 14x trailing earnings.
- AI and automation trends favor TXN's analog focus, while ARM leads in compute IP.
Introduction
This comparison examines ARM, FSLR, and TXN, spanning semiconductors and solar energy amid shifting market dynamics. ARM dominates IP licensing for AI chips, FSLR leads in thin-film PV modules, and TXN excels in analog chips. Traders seeking exposure to tech growth, renewable energy transitions, or diversified electronics may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and sector catalysts in the current environment.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) designs and licenses energy-efficient CPU architectures powering over 99% of smartphones and expanding into AI data centers. Recent market activity saw shares decline around 4% in a session amid valuation debates, with weekly drops near 5% and YTD gains around 10%. Sentiment reflects strong Q3 revenue growth of 26% to $1.24 billion, driven by doubled AI royalties, but tempered by premium multiples over 150x earnings and Nvidia's stake exit. Broader AI partnerships sustain optimism despite pullbacks.
FSLR Overview and Recent Performance
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) manufactures cadmium telluride thin-film solar modules, serving utilities and large projects globally. Shares have declined 10% monthly and 27% over three months, with YTD down 24%, pressured by weak 2026 sales guidance below expectations and policy risks like permitting delays. A shrinking backlog and expiring tax credits weigh on sentiment, despite solid 1-year returns over 45%. Analyst downgrades highlight near-term challenges in solar demand.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) leads in analog and embedded semiconductors for industrial, automotive, and consumer applications. Recent trading showed a 4% dip but YTD up over 10%, with 1-year gains around 12%. New AI-ready microcontrollers and Nvidia partnerships bolster positioning, amid concerns over valuations and slower growth. Automation market strength supports stability versus peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM’s IP licensing model offers high margins and AI exposure but volatile growth versus TXN’s stable analog revenue from diversified end-markets. FSLR contrasts with policy-sensitive solar versus semis’ tech tailwinds. Recent momentum favors TXN’s YTD gains; ARM shows AI catalysts but premium valuations; FSLR lags on guidance. Risks include ARM’s overvaluation, FSLR’s backlog shrinkage, and TXN’s slower expansion. FSLR’s ~14x P/E appears cheapest, while semis command higher multiples on sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward TXN in the current environment, given its trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and catalysts in AI microcontrollers amid semiconductor strength. ARM offers higher upside potential from AI royalties but with elevated risk from valuations; FSLR trails on weak guidance. Probabilistic edges favor stability over volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFSLR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FSLR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FSLR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FSLR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +0.46% price change this week, while FSLR (@Alternative Power Generation) price change was +0.99% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Alternative Power Generation industry was -1.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
FSLR is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Alternative Power Generation (-1.79% weekly)The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.
| ARM | FSLR | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 159B | 21.2B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 2.15B | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 37.037 | -24.492 | 24.724 |
| P/E Ratio | 199.73 | 13.88 | 39.45 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 5.22B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 2.86B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 655M | 14B |
FSLR | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for FSLR (91) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN’s stock grew significantly faster than FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FSLR (62) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FSLR (49) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FSLR (53) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than FSLR’s over the last 12 months.
FSLR's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as TXN (38) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FSLR’s stock grew similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | FSLR | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 10 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 19 days ago 78% | 12 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 59% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +0.59% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| TSM - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
More | ||||