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ARM or INTC or TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM has shown strength in AI-driven data center royalties, with recent quarterly revenue growth of 26%, though shares experienced volatility with a pullback from highs.
- INTC delivered robust year-to-date gains of about 18%, bolstered by AI and 6G alliances, but faces regulatory scrutiny and manufacturing strategy shifts.
- TSEM reported record Q4 2025 revenue of $440 million, up 14% year-over-year, fueled by partnerships in photonics and AI for data centers.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor space, with ARM focusing on IP licensing, INTC on integrated design and fabrication, and TSEM as a specialty foundry.
- Recent market activity highlights AI catalysts across the board, but INTC and TSEM show stronger one-year relative performance amid sector rotation.
- Valuation concerns persist for ARM at elevated multiples, while INTC benefits from turnaround momentum.
Introduction
In the competitive semiconductor sector, ARM, INTC, and TSEM represent diverse approaches to capturing AI and data center growth. ARM licenses IP architectures powering mobile and AI chips, INTC integrates design with manufacturing for broad computing solutions, and TSEM specializes in analog foundry services for niche applications. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure and investors eyeing relative performance in recent market volatility will find this stock comparison valuable for assessing momentum, risks, and positioning.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) designs and licenses energy-efficient CPU architectures central to smartphones, data centers, and AI applications. In recent market activity, the stock surged over 20% in February following third-quarter revenue of $1.24 billion, up 26% year-over-year, driven by doubled AI data center royalties. Partnerships in autonomous vehicles and analyst price target hikes to $140 have supported sentiment, though shares pulled back amid valuation worries at 23 times forward sales versus industry averages. Year-to-date gains stand positive, reflecting sustained AI demand despite broader sector fluctuations.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC) is a leading designer and manufacturer of CPUs, GPUs, and foundry services, spanning client, data center, and AI markets. Recent weeks saw year-to-date returns around 18%, with one-year gains exceeding 100%, outperforming the sector. New AI and 6G alliances counterbalance U.S. regulatory probes on China-linked tools, while CEO shifts signal manufacturing tech reviews like 18A for external clients. Strong server demand and board changes underscore turnaround efforts, though earnings estimates reflect near-term pressures.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) operates as an independent foundry specializing in analog, mixed-signal, and power management ICs for automotive, medical, and industrial uses. Recent performance includes record Q4 2025 revenue of $440 million, up 14% year-over-year and 11% sequentially, with full-year growth of 9%. Partnerships with Salience Labs for optical switches and participation in photonics events for AI/telecom bolstered shares, alongside a Nvidia deal boosting sentiment. One-year returns near 150-170% highlight strength in specialty processes amid AI data center expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM’s IP licensing model offers high margins and AI exposure without fabrication risks, contrasting INTC’s vertically integrated approach, which provides scale but exposes it to capex and foundry competition. TSEM, as a pure-play foundry, targets analog niches like photonics, complementing ARM designs and INTC’s broader portfolio. Growth drivers favor ARM and TSEM in AI royalties/photonics, while INTC leverages server recovery. Recent momentum shows TSEM and INTC with superior one-year gains over ARM. Risks include ARM’s premium valuation, INTC’s geopolitics, and TSEM’s customer concentration. All share semiconductor cyclicality, but ARM exhibits higher beta.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSEM for its consistent revenue beats, photonics catalysts, and relative stability in recent quarters, positioning it well amid AI infrastructure demand. INTC shows strong momentum recovery, while ARM’s trends remain solid but valuation-sensitive. This assessment reflects observable trend consistency and catalysts as of recent data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileINTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TSEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while INTC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSEM’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while INTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.81% , and TSEM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +11.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ARM | INTC | TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 344B | 24.6B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 14.4B | 507M |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 85.637 | 92.855 |
| P/E Ratio | 222.31 | 904.17 | 116.72 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 52.9B | 1.51B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 37.4B | 1.22B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 46.6B | 164M |
INTC | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSEM's Valuation (88) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as INTC (96). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86). This means that TSEM’s stock grew significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's SMR Rating (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as INTC (90). This means that TSEM’s stock grew similarly to INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSEM (34). This means that INTC’s stock grew similarly to TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (87). This means that TSEM’s stock grew significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | INTC | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 68% | 5 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 81% | 21 days ago 69% | 21 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 76% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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