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ARM or KLAC or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. KLA Corporation (KLAC) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM has surged around 14% in recent market activity, fueled by AI server CPU optimism and analyst upgrades, though elevated valuations persist.
- KLAC demonstrates robust year-to-date gains exceeding 23%, supported by strong semiconductor equipment demand and shareholder returns via dividends and buybacks.
- NXPI trails with year-to-date declines near 12%, reflecting softer guidance amid automotive and industrial cycles, despite product launches.
- KLAC leads relative performance with over 110% one-year returns, outpacing ARM and NXPI amid AI infrastructure buildout.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, but KLAC's process control role positions it strongly for advanced node production.
Introduction
This comparison examines ARM, KLAC, and NXPI, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem spanning IP design, process control equipment, and analog/mixed-signal chips. Investors tracking AI-driven growth, wafer fabrication expansion, and automotive electrification will find value in their relative performance. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, with equipment and design leaders gaining on infrastructure demand while end-market exposure introduces volatility. This analysis aids stock comparison for portfolio positioning in a cyclical sector.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) designs and licenses energy-efficient CPU architectures powering mobile, cloud, and edge devices. In recent weeks, shares rallied approximately 14%, driven by optimism surrounding AI server CPU advancements and analyst upgrades from firms like HSBC. Year-to-date gains hover around 21%, reflecting robust royalty growth in data centers despite probes into international deals. Sentiment benefits from AI chip collaborations, though high valuations and licensing sales misses temper enthusiasm. Broader performance shows resilience amid sector volatility.
KLAC Overview and Recent Performance
KLA Corporation (KLAC) specializes in process control and yield management solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. Recent market activity underscores strength, with year-to-date returns exceeding 23% and one-year gains over 110%. The company boosted its quarterly dividend to $2.30 and authorized additional buybacks totaling billions, signaling confidence in cash flows. Demand for inspection tools amid rising wafer fab equipment spending has supported momentum, with shares trading near multi-year highs. Analyst upgrades highlight its role in advanced AI chip production.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) delivers mixed-signal semiconductors for automotive, industrial, and IoT applications. Recent weeks saw share weakness, with year-to-date declines around 12% and one-year returns near flat. Dividend announcements and new product launches provided support, but softer sales guidance in communications and automotive segments pressured sentiment. Trading above key moving averages yet trailing peers, performance reflects cyclical end-market exposure amid an improving semiconductor cycle.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM focuses on IP licensing for AI and mobile, offering high growth potential but elevated P/E ratios above 170x, contrasting KLAC's 44x valuation tied to equipment for advanced nodes. NXPI emphasizes automotive and industrial chips at 24x P/E, balancing stability with cyclical risks. Momentum favors KLAC with superior YTD and multi-year returns, while ARM shows AI catalysts but higher volatility. Sector exposure differs: KLAC leverages broad WFE spend, NXPI auto recovery, and ARM data center royalties. Risks include geopolitical tensions for all, with NXPI most sensitive to inventory cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KLAC due to consistent trend strength, leading relative performance, and positioning in AI-enabling equipment demand. Its stability, cash return policies, and lower relative valuation enhance probabilistic outperformance versus ARM's premium pricing or NXPI's cyclical headwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKLAC’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KLAC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KLAC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KLAC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а -0.12% price change this week, while KLAC (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +14.53% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +5.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +13.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +91.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
KLAC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+13.41% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ARM | KLAC | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 158B | 228B | 51.6B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 5.91B | 3.96B |
| Gain YTD | 36.246 | 43.162 | -5.358 |
| P/E Ratio | 198.57 | 50.58 | 25.71 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 12.7B | 12.3B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 5.21B | 2.91B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 6.11B | 12.2B |
KLAC | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for KLAC (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NXPI’s stock grew significantly faster than KLAC’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC’s stock grew significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's SMR Rating (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC’s stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (23) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC’s stock grew similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | KLAC | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 81% | 13 days ago 62% | 10 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 68% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AFGE | 16.68 | 0.08 | +0.48% |
| American Financial Group | |||
| HDG | 52.47 | 0.01 | +0.03% |
| ProShares Hedge Replication | |||
| GCOR | 41.33 | -0.05 | -0.11% |
| Goldman Sachs Access US Aggregate Bd ETF | |||
| IG | 20.65 | -0.07 | -0.32% |
| Principal Investment Grd Corp Actv ETF | |||
| DGRO | 71.77 | -0.51 | -0.71% |
| iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF | |||
ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | -0.58% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| TSM - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +1.40% | ||
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KLAC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KLAC has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KLAC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KLAC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | 100% | +0.58% | ||
| LRCX - KLAC | 89% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - KLAC | 87% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| NVMI - KLAC | 80% Closely correlated | +0.40% | ||
| ASML - KLAC | 79% Closely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| ADI - KLAC | 79% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | -0.63% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 84% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| ADI - NXPI | 83% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| ON - NXPI | 80% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| SYNA - NXPI | 80% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
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