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ARM or MRVL or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Marvell Technology (MRVL) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM shares have experienced volatility in recent market activity, pulling back amid broader semiconductor sector pressures, yet AI partnerships sustain interest with YTD gains around 8%.
- MRVL surged over 18% following strong Q4 earnings, driven by AI data center demand, with revenue beating estimates and optimistic fiscal 2028 guidance nearing $15 billion.
- TSM remains resilient with YTD returns exceeding 20%, accelerating mega fab construction for AI chips amid geopolitical tensions impacting recent trading.
- All three stocks benefit from AI tailwinds, but MRVL shows strongest recent momentum while TSM offers foundry stability and ARM IP scalability.
- Semiconductor sector exposure ties performance to data center expansion, with relative valuations reflecting growth prospects and risks like geopolitical factors.
Introduction
In the rapidly evolving semiconductor landscape, ARM, MRVL, and TSM stand out for their pivotal roles in AI infrastructure. Arm Holdings licenses energy-efficient processor IP, Marvell Technology delivers data center connectivity solutions, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing acts as the premier foundry for advanced chips. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term AI exposure. With data center spending surging, these firms highlight contrasts in growth drivers and risk profiles amid sector volatility.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc designs and licenses intellectual property for central processing units, graphics, and AI accelerators, powering over 325 billion chips shipped globally, dominant in mobile and expanding into data centers. Its asset-light model generates revenue via upfront licensing fees and royalties on chip shipments, emphasizing power efficiency for AI edge computing.
Recent market activity has seen ARM shares pull back around 5% over the past month and 17% in three months, trading near $118-120 amid broader chip sector weakness and Nvidia's stake exit. YTD gains hover at 8%, supported by AI momentum like Bank of America raising its price target to $140 on partnerships, though licensing misses and valuation concerns tempered sentiment. Broader AI data center push and 21.5% projected revenue growth underpin resilience.
MRVL Overview and Recent Performance
Marvell Technology, Inc. is a fabless semiconductor provider specializing in data infrastructure solutions, including custom AI silicon, interconnects, networking switches, and storage for cloud and enterprise data centers. Its portfolio targets accelerated infrastructure for hyperscalers, with recent acquisitions like Celestial AI enhancing optical connectivity for AI scaling.
In recent weeks, MRVL shares rocketed nearly 18% post-Q4 earnings, reporting $2.22 billion revenue (up 22% YoY, beating estimates) and guiding Q1 at $2.4 billion amid data center strength. Fiscal 2028 revenue outlook nears $15 billion on AI demand, with data center now over 75% of sales. YTD up modestly at 5%, but momentum reflects robust bookings and AI XPU transitions.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) operates as the world's largest pure-play foundry, manufacturing advanced semiconductors for fabless firms like Nvidia and Apple. Its business model focuses on cutting-edge nodes (3nm, 2nm) and advanced packaging like CoWoS, enabling AI accelerators without competing in design.
TSM shares dipped amid recent geopolitical tensions and tech selloffs but hold strong YTD returns over 20%, outpacing benchmarks. AI demand drives mega fab acceleration in Taiwan and revenue growth projections of 30% for 2026, with Q4 profits up 35% previously. Advanced nodes command pricing power, though Middle East risks pressured recent sessions; consensus targets near $360-450 signal upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM, MRVL, and TSM anchor the AI supply chain: ARM's IP licensing offers scalability without capex, MRVL's custom interconnects target data center plumbing, and TSM's foundry dominance (67% market share) ensures manufacturing leadership. Growth drivers diverge—ARM royalties scale with shipments, MRVL rides AI networking (data center 75% revenue), TSM leverages node advances (3nm/2nm).
Recent momentum favors MRVL post-earnings surge versus ARM/TSM pullbacks; risks include TSM's geopolitics, ARM's royalty mix sensitivity, MRVL's execution on acquisitions. Sector exposure is pure semiconductors/AI, but TSM's neutrality reduces customer concentration. Valuations reflect: MRVL trades at growth discounts, TSM stable multiples, ARM premium on IP moat. Sentiment tilts to data center enablers amid volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MRVL for its trend consistency in AI data centers, recent earnings catalysts, and relative momentum positioning versus peers' near-term pressures. Strong guidance and bookings suggest higher probability of outperformance, though TSM's foundry stability offers lower volatility appeal.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMRVL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MRVL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRVL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MRVL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.12% price change this week, while MRVL (@Semiconductors) price change was +12.60% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MRVL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ARM | MRVL | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 186B | 129B | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 4.54B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 60.187 | 74.183 | 21.192 |
| P/E Ratio | 233.47 | 48.16 | 31.34 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 8.2B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 2.64B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 461M | 4.79B | N/A |
MRVL | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (41) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MRVL (73). This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MRVL (39). This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MRVL (45). This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (39). This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to TSM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MRVL (27). This means that TSM’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | MRVL | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | N/A | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 77% | 14 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 81% | 23 days ago 73% | 6 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 69% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MPV | 17.96 | 0.05 | +0.26% |
| Barings Participation Investors | |||
| DIA | 494.33 | 0.11 | +0.02% |
| State Street®SPDR®DowJonesIndstrAvgETFTr | |||
| SIXF | 32.95 | -0.04 | -0.12% |
| AllianzIM US Equity 6M Bfr10 Feb/Aug ETF | |||
| FHEQ | 31.55 | -0.10 | -0.30% |
| Fidelity Hedged Equity ETF | |||
| FLYT | 32.62 | -1.48 | -4.34% |
| Tradr 2X Long FLY Daily ETF | |||
ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +5.02% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +5.12% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +8.75% | ||
More | ||||
MRVL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRVL has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRVL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRVL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 100% | +5.83% | ||
| LRCX - MRVL | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| ENTG - MRVL | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.96% | ||
| TOELY - MRVL | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| KLAC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| KLIC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
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