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ARM or ON or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) vs. Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Arm Holdings (ARM) has demonstrated resilience with 26% year-over-year revenue growth driven by AI and data center demand, despite recent share price declines and profitability pressures.
- ON Semiconductor (ON) shows relative stability in recent market activity, outperforming peers on select trading days amid automotive and industrial sector exposure.
- Qualcomm (QCOM) faces headwinds from a 25% year-to-date share decline, competitive pressures, and analyst downgrades, though AI and 6G partnerships offer potential offsets.
- All three operate in the semiconductor space, but ARM's IP licensing model contrasts with ON's power solutions and QCOM's chipsets, influencing their relative momentum and risk profiles.
- Recent volatility highlights ARM's AI-driven upside potential against QCOM's valuation concerns and ON's steady positioning.
- Semiconductor sector trends favor growth in AI and edge computing, positioning these stocks for comparative analysis in stock comparison and relative performance evaluations.
Introduction
Arm Holdings (ARM), ON Semiconductor (ON), and Qualcomm (QCOM) represent key players in the semiconductor industry, powering AI, mobile, automotive, and data center technologies. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid shifting sector dynamics. Investors tracking relative performance and traders navigating volatility in chips and AI exposure will benefit from insights into growth drivers, risks, and sentiment. With broader semiconductor demand tied to edge computing and electrification, understanding these contrasts aids informed market positioning decisions.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings (ARM) designs energy-efficient CPU architectures and licenses intellectual property to chipmakers worldwide, dominating mobile and expanding into data centers without manufacturing chips. This asset-light model yields high margins through upfront fees and royalties. In recent market activity, ARM reported 26% year-over-year revenue growth fueled by AI and data center demand, though net income fell 12% amid profitability challenges and elevated valuations. Share prices declined around 4-9% over recent weeks, reflecting volatility from investigations and analyst concerns, yet Bank of America raised its price target to $140, signaling AI traction. Sentiment balances growth optimism against high P/E ratios exceeding 160x.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor (ON), or onsemi, supplies power management, sensing, and analog solutions, focusing on automotive (over 50% of revenue), industrial, and cloud power via a fab-lite model with vertical integration in silicon carbide. This positions it for EVs, ADAS, and automation. Recent weeks saw ON gain 1.5% on strong trading days, outperforming competitors despite sector pressures, with shares around $58-59. Monthly returns reached 6.7%, beating the S&P 500, though longer-term trends reflect cyclical inventory adjustments. Sentiment supports its high-growth market pivot, with analyst holds and targets near $67, emphasizing stability over explosive growth.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
Qualcomm (QCOM) develops Snapdragon platforms for mobile, automotive, IoT, and edge AI, blending fabless chipsets with high-margin patent licensing for 5G and beyond. Revenue diversifies across handsets, automotive, and QTL royalties. Recent market activity pressured QCOM, with shares down 25% year-to-date and 7% monthly, trading near $130 amid Bank of America downgrades citing Apple risks and competition. Declining EPS estimates and China tensions weigh on sentiment, though AI robotics and 6G partnerships provide catalysts. Forward P/E around 13x suggests relative value versus peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM, ON, and QCOM share semiconductor exposure but diverge in models: ARM's pure IP licensing offers scalable royalties (high margins, cyclical) versus ON's hardware in power/sensing (fab-lite, automotive-heavy) and QCOM's integrated chipsets/licensing (diversified, modem-dominant). Growth drivers contrast AI/data centers for ARM, EVs/industrials for ON, and 5G/PC for QCOM. Recent momentum favors ON's outperformance days over ARM and QCOM declines. Risks include ARM's lofty valuations (P/E 165x), ON's inventory cycles, and QCOM's client concentration/China issues. Valuation sensitivity tilts QCOM cheaper; sentiment leans ARM for AI catalysts amid trade-offs in stability and growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ARM based on trend consistency in AI/data center royalties, stronger revenue momentum versus peers' declines, and relative sector positioning amid semiconductor rotation. While ON offers stability and QCOM value, ARM's catalysts suggest higher probabilistic outperformance in growth-oriented scenarios, though volatility persists.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileON’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ON’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.12% price change this week, while ON (@Semiconductors) price change was +20.47% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +4.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ARM | ON | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 186B | 33.7B | 147B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 888M | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | 60.187 | 58.006 | -19.086 |
| P/E Ratio | 233.47 | 295.03 | 27.73 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 6B | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 2.55B | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 3.01B | 14.8B |
ON | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (9) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for ON (89) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM’s stock grew significantly faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
ON's Profit vs Risk Rating (64) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (86) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's SMR Rating (43) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM’s stock grew somewhat faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
ON's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (61) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ON’s stock grew somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | ON | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 81% | 23 days ago 77% | 15 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 67% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +5.02% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +5.12% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +8.75% | ||
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