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ASML or COHR or MTSI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. Coherent Corp. (COHR) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads in market capitalization at over $525 billion, driven by EUV lithography demand for AI chips, but trades at a premium P/E of around 47x amid recent volatility.
- COHR has surged 286% over the past year on photonics for datacenters, with a market cap near $47 billion, though recent weeks show pullbacks from 52-week highs.
- MTSI delivered 102% one-year gains and 26% YTD, fueled by 25% revenue growth in analog semis for telecom and defense, at a market cap of $16 billion.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, but COHR and MTSI exhibit stronger recent momentum versus ASML's modest YTD rise.
- Valuation sensitivity is highest for ASML due to its scale, while COHR and MTSI offer growth at elevated multiples in niche photonics and RF markets.
- Recent market activity highlights trade-offs in stability versus upside potential across these stocks.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, COHR, and MTSI, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem powering AI, datacenters, telecom, and defense applications. ASML dominates lithography equipment, while COHR excels in photonics and lasers, and MTSI specializes in analog RF solutions. Traders seeking exposure to chip supply chain growth and investors tracking relative performance in recent market activity will find value in their contrasts in scale, momentum, and sector positioning. Amid AI-driven demand, these stocks highlight opportunities and risks in advanced tech manufacturing.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, is the global leader in lithography systems essential for advanced semiconductor production, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools critical for AI chips. In recent quarters, the company reported record revenue of €32.7 billion for 2025, up significantly year-over-year, driven by robust EUV demand from major foundries. Recent market activity saw shares around $1,350, with a 26.5% YTD gain but modest performance over the past 30 days amid broader sector volatility and guidance scrutiny. Sentiment has been influenced by AI capacity expansions, supply chain ramps for high-NA EUV, and normalization of China sales to about 20% of total, alongside a €12 billion buyback program boosting confidence despite restructuring for agility.
COHR Overview and Recent Performance
Coherent Corp. (COHR), based in Saxonburg, Pennsylvania, develops engineered materials, optoelectronics, and laser systems for datacenters, communications, and industrial uses. Operating in networking, materials, and lasers segments, it has seen explosive growth with shares up 286% over the past year to around $241, reflecting datacenter transceiver and optics demand. Recent weeks featured volatility, with a pullback from a $300 peak amid sector selloffs, yet YTD gains exceed 30%. Performance drivers include AI-related photonics launches and strong networking revenue, though elevated valuations and broader semi corrections have tempered short-term momentum.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI), located in Lowell, Massachusetts, provides analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, and datacenters. Recent quarters showed 24.5% revenue growth to $272 million, beating estimates with EPS of $1.02, guided by strong book-to-bill in data centers and 5G. Shares traded near $222, with 102% one-year and 26% YTD returns, though recent weeks reflected pullbacks from $259 highs. Sentiment shifts stem from AI infrastructure demand and defense exposure, offsetting multi-market cyclicality.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML's business model centers on capital-intensive lithography monopolies, contrasting COHR's vertically integrated photonics and MTSI's custom analog components. Growth drivers diverge: ASML via EUV/AI fabs (31% revenue growth), COHR datacenter optics, MTSI 5G/defense (25% growth). Recent momentum favors COHR (286% 1-yr) and MTSI (102%) over ASML's steadier path. Risks include ASML's export curbs/China exposure, COHR's valuation stretch (P/S 5.7x peers), MTSI's customer concentration. All share semis exposure but differ in scale (ASML $525B cap vs. others $16-47B). Valuation sensitivity peaks for ASML (P/E 47x), with sentiment lifted by catalysts like AI but pressured by semi cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors COHR for its superior recent trend consistency and relative positioning in photonics growth amid datacenter expansions, showing probabilistic outperformance over ASML's stability and MTSI's niche catalysts. Factors include momentum from 286% gains and AI optics demand, balanced against valuation risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileCOHR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MTSI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- COHR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while COHR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MTSI’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- COHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.58% price change this week, while COHR (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price change was +12.85% , and MTSI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +6.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +30.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was +113.64%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.08%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +26.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
COHR is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.08% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
@Semiconductors (+10.28% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | COHR | MTSI | |
| Capitalization | 564B | 65.2B | 21.1B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 1.08B | 259M |
| Gain YTD | 38.376 | 88.281 | 64.106 |
| P/E Ratio | 48.51 | 340.70 | 127.19 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 6.29B | 1.02B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 864M | 768M |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 3.55B | 531M |
ASML | COHR | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 20 | 29 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 8 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 87 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 34 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 15 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (76) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (83) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as COHR (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to COHR’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (8) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry, and is in the same range as ASML (26) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to COHR’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (59) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for COHR (87) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ASML's stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s and significantly faster than COHR’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that COHR's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as COHR (15) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry, and is in the same range as MTSI (45) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to COHR’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | COHR | MTSI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 27 days ago 78% | 23 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 79% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FLRT | 46.66 | N/A | N/A |
| Pacer Aristotle Pac Ast Fl Rt Hi Inc ETF | |||
| EUDV | 55.42 | N/A | N/A |
| ProShares MSCI Europe Dividend Gr ETF | |||
| HYTI | 19.43 | -0.05 | -0.23% |
| FT Vest High Yield & Target Income ETF | |||
| LEGR | 62.97 | -0.15 | -0.25% |
| First Trust Indxx Invtv Tnsctn&Prcs ETF | |||
| EZU | 67.95 | -0.27 | -0.40% |
| iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF | |||
COHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COHR has been loosely correlated with MKSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COHR jumps, then MKSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | 100% | +0.72% | ||
| MKSI - COHR | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| KEYS - COHR | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| ESE - COHR | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| ITRI - COHR | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| VNT - COHR | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
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