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ASML or FN or INTC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Fabrinet (FN) vs. Intel (INTC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML dominates EUV lithography with a €38.8 billion backlog and 28% YTD gains, driven by AI chip demand despite China export curbs.
- FN surges on optical communications growth, posting 36% YoY Q2 revenue rise and 10-15% YTD returns amid datacom expansion.
- INTC rebounds 30% YTD on domestic foundry push and AI processors, though foundry losses persist; market cap ~$230B.
- ASML trades at ~47x P/E with premium stability; FN at ~52x on momentum; INTC negative due to losses but undervalued on recovery potential.
- All benefit from AI tailwinds, but ASML's moat in advanced nodes positions it strongest amid sector volatility.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, FN, and INTC, key players in the semiconductor supply chain essential for AI infrastructure. ASML leads in lithography equipment, FN excels in precision optical manufacturing, and INTC drives processors and foundry services. Traders eyeing cyclical momentum and investors focused on long-term AI growth will benefit from analyzing their relative performance, valuation sensitivities, and market positioning in recent weeks' volatile environment.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. is the global leader in lithography systems for semiconductor manufacturing, holding a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools critical for advanced chips used in AI and high-performance computing. With a market cap exceeding $520 billion, the company reported €32.7 billion in 2025 net sales, up 15.6% YoY, supported by a €38.8 billion backlog. In recent market activity, shares gained about 28% YTD and 95% over the past year, reflecting strong AI demand despite a slight monthly dip amid broader sector pressures. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades like TD Cowen's $1,500 target and advancements in next-gen EUV, though geopolitical export restrictions to China have introduced volatility.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) provides advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for OEMs in optical communications, datacenters, automotive, and industrial lasers. Operating factories in Thailand and beyond, it reported record Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.13 billion, up 36% YoY, driven by datacom interconnects and high-performance computing. Shares have risen 10% YTD and over 120% in the past year, with recent three-month gains of 9% outperforming the sector, fueled by easing supply constraints and AI-related optical demand. Positive earnings surprises and analyst coverage have supported momentum, though high valuations reflect growth optimism amid market rotations.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC) designs and manufactures semiconductors, including CPUs, GPUs, and foundry services, with segments in client computing, data center/AI, and Intel Foundry. Recent launches like Core Ultra 200S Plus processors target AI PCs, while 18A node advancements support domestic manufacturing. Shares have climbed 30% YTD from lows, with recent 4-5% surges tied to geopolitical shifts favoring U.S. production and DCAI revenue growth. However, foundry losses and PC market softness have pressured performance, with shares volatile over recent weeks despite broader recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML's equipment monopoly contrasts INTC's integrated design-foundry model and FN's contract manufacturing niche. Growth drivers favor ASML and FN via AI lithography/optics demand, while INTC pivots to AI PCs amid foundry ramp-up. Recent momentum shows INTC (30% YTD) edging ASML (28%), with FN at 10-15% on earnings beats. Risks include ASML's export curbs, FN's customer concentration, and INTC's losses. All share semiconductor/AI exposure, but ASML (~47x P/E) commands premium vs. FN (52x) momentum and INTC's negative P/E. Sentiment leans toward enablers like ASML for sustained capex cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI favors ASML for its trend consistency, massive backlog visibility, and central role in AI chip scaling via EUV dominance. While FN offers short-term momentum and INTC turnaround potential, ASML's moat suggests higher probability of outperformance amid volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileFN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and INTC’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and INTC’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +12.23% price change this week, while FN (@Electronic Components) price change was +18.67% , and INTC (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +23.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +13.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +91.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +6.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+13.41% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Electronic Components (+6.72% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | FN | INTC | |
| Capitalization | 555B | 23.7B | 313B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 466M | 14.4B |
| Gain YTD | 38.542 | 45.434 | 69.051 |
| P/E Ratio | 51.31 | 63.48 | 904.17 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 3.89B | 52.9B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 961M | 37.4B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 4.89M | 46.6B |
ASML | FN | INTC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 30 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 4 | 91 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 46 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 36 | 2 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 6 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FN's Valuation (74) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to INTC’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (91) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (89) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to FN’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (36) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that INTC's stock grew somewhat faster than FN’s and somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
FN's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | FN | INTC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 30 days ago 68% | 13 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 4 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 59% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +2.05% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.32% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
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