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ASML or INTC or MU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. Micron Technology (MU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads in year-to-date gains at around 21%, driven by strong demand for EUV lithography in AI chip production, though recent market volatility has pressured shares.
- INTC shows YTD returns near 18%, with recovery from earlier lows amid foundry expansions, but faces supply chain scrutiny and operational challenges.
- MU boasts the strongest one-year performance exceeding 300%, fueled by AI memory demand, recently joining the S&P 100, despite short-term pullbacks.
- All three stocks have experienced recent downside amid broader semiconductor sector weakness tied to geopolitical tensions and oil price surges.
- Semiconductor sales reached $791.7 billion in 2025, up 25.6% year-over-year, underscoring AI-driven growth across equipment, logic, and memory segments.
- Relative momentum favors memory and equipment plays like MU and ASML over integrated device manufacturers like INTC.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML, INTC, and MU, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem pivotal to AI and data center expansion. ASML dominates lithography equipment, Intel focuses on processors and foundry services, and Micron excels in memory solutions. Traders seeking exposure to chip manufacturing cycles and investors tracking AI infrastructure growth will find value in analyzing their relative performance, sector exposure, and market positioning amid volatile conditions.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. is the global leader in lithography systems, providing extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and deep ultraviolet tools essential for advanced semiconductor nodes used in AI chips. The company reported robust 2025 revenue of €32.67 billion, up from prior years, with net income reaching €10.21 billion. In recent market activity, ASML shares have delivered strong year-to-date gains around 21%, outperforming broader indices, though recent weeks saw pullbacks of over 5% amid Mideast tensions and oil price rises impacting semis. Sentiment remains positive due to expanding AI chip capabilities, high-NA EUV advancements, and mutual fund inflows totaling $21.57 billion, despite valuation scrutiny at elevated multiples.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation designs and manufactures CPUs, GPUs, and foundry services, operating segments like Client Computing, Data Center & AI, and Intel Foundry. Recent quarters showed revenue stability around $52.85 billion trailing twelve months, though profitability faces headwinds with negative EPS. INTC shares have risen about 18% year-to-date and over 100% in the past year from lows, reflecting turnaround efforts under new leadership. However, recent performance includes 5-6% weekly declines amid lawmaker concerns over China-linked tools, board changes, and server demand shifts. Broader recovery in PC and AI segments supports sentiment, balanced against execution risks.
MU Overview and Recent Performance
Micron Technology, Inc. specializes in DRAM, NAND, and storage for data centers, mobile, and automotive applications, with segments including Cloud Memory and Data Center. The firm recently shipped industry-first 256GB SOCAMM2 modules for AI infrastructure. MU shares have surged over 300% in the past year and nearly 30% year-to-date, leading semiconductor peers, bolstered by S&P 100 inclusion. Recent weeks brought 6-8% drops tied to sector risk-off moves from geopolitical concerns, yet AI memory demand drives optimism, with analysts lifting targets amid market recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML's equipment model thrives on AI fab investments by TSMC and Samsung, contrasting Intel's integrated design-foundry approach facing competition from pure-play foundries. Micron's memory focus captures high-bandwidth DRAM demand for AI servers, differing from ASML's cyclical capex sensitivity and Intel's PC/data center exposure. Recent momentum favors MU with 300%+ one-year gains versus ASML's 80% and Intel's 110% from lows, though all pulled back recently amid sector pressures. Risks include ASML's China export limits, Intel's supply chain probes, and memory cyclicality for MU. Valuations show ASML at premium multiples, Intel at depressed levels post-recovery, and MU balancing growth with forward P/E appeal. Sentiment tilts toward AI enablers like lithography and HBM memory over legacy CPU transitions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor MU for its superior trend consistency in AI memory demand, S&P 100 momentum, and relative positioning versus peers, with probabilistic outperformance edges in growth catalysts over the next quarter amid semiconductor upcycle signals.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileINTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MU’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while INTC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and MU’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.58% price change this week, while INTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.81% , and MU (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +5.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +9.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +30.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was +121.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
MU is expected to report earnings on Jul 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+9.07% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | INTC | MU | |
| Capitalization | 564B | 330B | 506B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 14.4B | 37.1B |
| Gain YTD | 38.376 | 85.637 | 57.180 |
| P/E Ratio | 48.51 | 904.17 | 21.16 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 52.9B | 58.1B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 37.4B | 14.6B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 46.6B | 10.8B |
ASML | INTC | MU | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 86 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 90 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 2 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 87 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MU's Valuation (52) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MU's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
MU's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MU's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MU (23) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to MU’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MU (35) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that INTC's stock grew somewhat faster than MU’s and somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MU (34) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (87) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to MU’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | INTC | MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 68% | 7 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 22 days ago 69% | 26 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 59% | 6 days ago 74% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| COIO | 7.82 | 0.16 | +2.10% |
| Leverage Shares 2x Cpd Acclrtd COINMnETF | |||
| IJH | 72.90 | 1.41 | +1.97% |
| iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF | |||
| MEGI | 15.33 | 0.16 | +1.05% |
| NYLI CBRE Global Infrastructure Megatrends Term Fund | |||
| APRP | 31.76 | 0.15 | +0.48% |
| PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - Apr | |||
| XJUN | 43.90 | 0.07 | +0.15% |
| FT Vest US Eq Enh&Mod Bffr ETF June | |||
INTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, INTC has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if INTC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To INTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTC | 100% | N/A | ||
| LRCX - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| AMAT - INTC | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| KLIC - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| MPWR - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +4.67% | ||
| FORM - INTC | 53% Loosely correlated | +7.46% | ||
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