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ASML or INTC or ON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Intel Corporation (INTC) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads with strong year-to-date gains around 25%, driven by AI chip advancements and EUV lithography demand, though recent weeks show volatility amid broader market pressures.
- INTC has delivered over 17% YTD returns, boosted by server demand and AI alliances, but faces regulatory scrutiny and recent pullbacks of about 5% in trading sessions.
- ON trails with modest 5% YTD performance, supported by power management in automotive and industrial sectors, yet pressured by inventory gluts and recent 6-7% declines.
- Across recent market activity, ASML exhibits superior long-term momentum, while INTC shows recovery potential; all three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds but vary in risk exposure.
- Sector sentiment favors equipment leaders like ASML over chipmakers amid AI growth, with relative performance highlighting trade-offs in valuation and stability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML, INTC, and ON—key players in the semiconductor ecosystem. ASML dominates lithography equipment, INTC focuses on processors and foundry services, and ON specializes in power and sensing solutions. Traders seeking exposure to AI-driven demand, supply chain dynamics, and sector rotations will find value here, as recent relative performance underscores contrasts in growth drivers, momentum, and market positioning amid ongoing chip industry expansion.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in the Netherlands, is the leading provider of photolithography systems essential for advanced semiconductor manufacturing, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools used by major foundries. In recent market activity, ASML's stock has experienced volatility, with weekly declines around 7% and monthly dips near 4%, influenced by broader European market pressures and oil price surges. However, year-to-date returns exceed 24%, reflecting robust demand for AI chip production capabilities. Key developments include expansions in AI packaging, EUV advances, and revenue growth to €32.7 billion in 2025, up from prior years, bolstering sentiment despite valuation scrutiny.
INTC Overview and Recent Performance
Intel Corporation (INTC), based in Santa Clara, California, designs and manufactures CPUs, GPUs, and foundry services, targeting client, data center, and AI markets. Recent weeks have seen mixed performance, with shares down about 5.5% in recent sessions amid regulatory concerns over China-linked tools, offset by alliances in AI and 6G. Year-to-date gains stand at roughly 18%, supported by strong server CPU demand and a shift toward external foundry offerings like 18A technology. Broader recovery from prior lows, with 1-year returns over 100% in some metrics, reflects turnaround efforts under new leadership.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON), or onsemi, based in Scottsdale, Arizona, supplies power management, sensors, and analog solutions for automotive, industrial, and cloud power applications. In recent trading, the stock has faced headwinds, declining 6.5% in sessions and 15% weekly, tied to inventory overhangs and Q4 revenue misses at $1.53 billion. Despite this, monthly gains near 7% and YTD returns around 5% highlight resilience in high-margin segments like EVs and automation. Earnings revisions point to 12.7% EPS growth this quarter, with analysts raising targets amid AI-driven demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML, INTC, and ON operate in interconnected semiconductor roles: ASML's equipment enables chip production for foundries, INTC integrates design and manufacturing, and ON supports end-applications in power efficiency. Growth drivers diverge—ASML thrives on AI lithography demand, INTC on data center recovery, and ON on EV/industrial sensing—yielding ASML's superior YTD momentum versus ON's stability trade-off. Recent volatility hits all, but INTC carries higher regulatory risks, while ASML commands premium valuations sensitive to capex cycles. Sentiment leans toward equipment over discrete chips amid AI hype, with INTC offering turnaround upside balanced by execution risks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML based on consistent trend strength, AI catalyst alignment, and relative outperformance in recent semiconductor rotations. Its equipment monopoly positions it probabilistically ahead in growth scenarios, though INTC's server momentum provides close contention. ON lags on momentum but suits defensive plays.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileINTC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ON’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- INTC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while INTC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and ON’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- INTC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.25% price change this week, while INTC (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.81% , and ON (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +20.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
INTC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | INTC | ON | |
| Capitalization | 565B | 344B | 32.7B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 14.4B | 888M |
| Gain YTD | 36.810 | 85.637 | 53.296 |
| P/E Ratio | 47.81 | 904.17 | 286.24 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 52.9B | 6B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 37.4B | 2.55B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 46.6B | 3.01B |
ASML | INTC | ON | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 47 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 86 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 90 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 2 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 87 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ON (89) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as INTC (96) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to ON’s and similarly to INTC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (67) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for INTC (86) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew somewhat faster than ON’s and somewhat faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for ON (88) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (90) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew significantly faster than ON’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
INTC's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ON (3) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that INTC's stock grew similarly to ON’s and somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for INTC (87) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ON's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than INTC’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | INTC | ON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 21 days ago 69% | 21 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 77% |
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