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ASML or KLAC or ON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. KLA Corporation (KLAC) vs. ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads YTD performance at approximately 30%, driven by record EUV orders and AI chip demand, though recent volatility reflects sector pressures.
- KLAC shows strong one-year gains over 100%, supported by process control leadership and advanced packaging growth, with YTD around 29%.
- ON trails peers with YTD gains near 15% and one-year at 36%, facing softer momentum amid inventory challenges in power semiconductors.
- All three benefit from semiconductor capex tied to AI, but ASML and KLAC exhibit superior relative momentum versus broader market declines in recent weeks.
- Recent price action shows pullbacks from peaks, with ASML down 7% monthly amid consolidation, yet backlogs signal resilience.
- Sentiment favors equipment leaders like ASML and KLAC over chipmakers like ON in current AI-driven environment.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML, KLAC, and ON, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem. ASML dominates lithography equipment, KLAC leads in process control and inspection, while ON focuses on power and sensing chips. Traders navigating AI infrastructure buildout and sector volatility, as well as long-term investors eyeing relative performance and market positioning, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and growth drivers amid surging chip demand.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. is the global leader in lithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools essential for advanced chip production. With near-monopoly status in EUV, it supplies critical equipment to foundries like TSMC. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience, posting YTD gains around 30% despite a 7% monthly pullback from 52-week highs near $1,547. Sentiment benefits from major orders, including $7.9 billion from SK Hynix, bolstering a €38.8 billion backlog and 2026 sales outlook of €34-39 billion. Volatility stems from broader semiconductor consolidation and China export curbs, partially offset by growth in South Korea and Taiwan. Analysts note upward EPS revisions, supporting a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
KLAC Overview and Recent Performance
KLAC Corporation excels in process control, metrology, and inspection systems that optimize semiconductor yields across wafer fabrication. Holding about 50% market share, it aids advanced nodes and packaging for AI chips. Recent performance reflects strength, with YTD returns near 29% and one-year gains exceeding 100%, outperforming the sector. Shares jumped 22% over three months prior to recent dips amid geopolitical tensions. Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue reached $3.3 billion, beating estimates with EPS of $8.85, though guidance introduced caution. Momentum drivers include advanced packaging demand and AI infrastructure, with consensus EPS growth projected at 10% for fiscal 2026. Analysts favor its high-margin recurring services and dividend yield.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies intelligent power and sensing solutions for automotive and industrial applications. Recent stock behavior lags peers, with YTD gains around 15% and one-year returns at 36%, amid inventory gluts impacting segments. Shares experienced pullbacks, declining over 10% monthly in volatile trading, though recent sessions showed 4% gains. Sentiment reflects mixed results from prior quarters, with revenue misses but AI-driven data center demand providing uplift. Consensus points to modest EPS growth of 24% for the year, with upward revisions in the last 30 days. Exposure to autos and industrials tempers momentum versus pure AI plays, yet stabilization signals emerge.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML and KLAC focus on capital equipment—lithography versus inspection—benefiting from AI capex cycles, while ON emphasizes downstream power chips for autos/industrials. Growth drivers favor equipment firms amid node shrinks, with ASML’s EUV backlog contrasting KLAC’s yield tools and ON’s sensing portfolio. Recent momentum shows ASML (30% YTD) edging KLAC (29%), both crushing ON (15%), though all faced ~10% monthly drawdowns. Risks include geopolitics for ASML (China exposure), diversified demand for KLAC, and inventory for ON. Valuation sensitivity is highest for ASML (P/E ~46), KLAC (~44) offers value with dividends, ON trades lower. Sentiment tilts to equipment leaders for AI catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML based on trend consistency, massive backlog, and YTD leadership amid AI demand. Its EUV positioning and recent orders provide stronger catalysts than KLAC’s steady gains or ON’s relative stability, though probabilistic edges persist across all in bullish semi cycles.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileKLAC’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and ON’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KLAC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KLAC’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and ON’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KLAC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +12.23% price change this week, while KLAC (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +14.53% , and ON (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +13.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +91.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
KLAC is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+13.41% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | KLAC | ON | |
| Capitalization | 555B | 228B | 27B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 5.91B | 888M |
| Gain YTD | 38.542 | 43.162 | 26.777 |
| P/E Ratio | 51.31 | 50.58 | 236.72 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 12.7B | 6B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 5.21B | 2.55B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 6.11B | 3.01B |
ASML | KLAC | ON | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 27 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 6 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 13 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 4 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 15 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as KLAC (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as ON (87) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to KLAC’s and similarly to ON’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ON (74) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's SMR Rating (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ON (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that KLAC's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
KLAC's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ON (8) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that KLAC's stock grew similarly to ON’s and somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as KLAC (15) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as ASML (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ON's stock grew similarly to KLAC’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | KLAC | ON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 13 days ago 62% | 13 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% |
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KLAC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KLAC has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KLAC jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KLAC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KLAC | 100% | +0.58% | ||
| LRCX - KLAC | 89% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - KLAC | 87% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| NVMI - KLAC | 80% Closely correlated | +0.40% | ||
| ASML - KLAC | 79% Closely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| ADI - KLAC | 79% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
More | ||||
ON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ON has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ON jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.