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ASML or MRVL or NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) vs. Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML maintains market dominance in EUV lithography, with shares up over 25% YTD amid strong analyst targets around $1,500 and robust AI-driven demand.
- MRVL surged post-Q4 earnings on AI data center growth, with revenue up 22% to $2.22B and FY28 guidance at $15B, though shares remain volatile around $88.
- NVTS shows high volatility with YTD gains over 34%, fueled by new 1200V SiC launches for AI data centers and leadership changes, trading near $10.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, but ASML offers stability, MRVL momentum in custom AI chips, and NVTS high-growth potential in power semis.
- Recent weeks highlight shifts: ASML steady amid China exposure, MRVL post-earnings rally, NVTS product-driven spikes.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML, MRVL, and NVTS, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem powering AI and data centers. ASML leads in lithography equipment, MRVL in data infrastructure chips, and NVTS in next-gen power semiconductors. Traders seeking exposure to chip manufacturing trends and investors eyeing relative performance in recent market activity will find value here, as these stocks reflect broader sector dynamics like AI demand and supply chain shifts.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in the Netherlands, dominates the semiconductor lithography market with its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems essential for advanced chip production. The company reported 2025 revenue of €32.67 billion, up 15.6% year-over-year, driven by net systems sales despite a dip in China contribution from 41% to 33%. In recent market activity, shares traded around $1,345, down slightly weekly but up 25.68% YTD and 93% over one year, outperforming benchmarks. Sentiment remains bullish, bolstered by analyst upgrades like TD Cowen's $1,500 target and BofA's lift to $1,886, amid AI chip demand and High-NA EUV advancements. Geopolitical tensions in China have tempered gains, yet robust profitability and growth outlook sustain positive positioning.
MRVL Overview and Recent Performance
Marvell Technology, Inc., a fabless semiconductor firm based in Santa Clara, California, specializes in data infrastructure solutions including custom AI chips, interconnects, and networking for cloud and enterprise. Recent Q4 fiscal 2026 results showed revenue of $2.22 billion, up 22% year-over-year, beating estimates, with data center sales fueling growth. Shares rallied around 18% post-earnings to near $88, with YTD gains of 3.46% and 28% over one year, reflecting AI momentum despite volatility. Key drivers include partnerships like Mojo Vision for micro-LED optics and Celestial AI acquisition for AI infrastructure. Analyst upgrades to Outperform with $155 targets highlight strong positioning, though custom ASIC mix pressures margins short-term.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation, a Torrance, California-based pure-play in next-gen power semis, focuses on GaNFast gallium nitride (GaN) and GeneSiC silicon carbide (SiC) for efficient power conversion in AI data centers, EVs, and renewables. Q4 2025 revenue pivoted toward high-power markets, with full-year results showing strategic shifts amid a 45% revenue drop but optimism for sequential growth in 2026. Shares surged 16% weekly to around $10, up 34.67% YTD and over 300% in one year, driven by 1200V SiC launches for AI, new CFO appointment, and partnerships like GlobalFoundries. Volatility persists from deprioritizing low-margin mobile, but high-power focus and sampling expansions boost sentiment for data center and electrification exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML, MRVL, and NVTS operate in complementary semiconductor niches: ASML's monopoly on EUV lithography underpins chip fabrication, while MRVL drives data center connectivity and custom ASICs, and NVTS enables efficient power delivery via GaN/SiC. Growth drivers diverge—ASML leverages stable equipment sales (52% gross margins), MRVL AI accelerators (FY28 $15B revenue view), and NVTS high-power pivots amid revenue contraction.
Recent momentum favors MRVL (18% post-earnings) and NVTS (25% on launches), versus ASML's steadier 1-month dip. Risks include ASML/ NVTS China exposure, MRVL margin pressure. All share AI sector tailwinds, but ASML trades at premium valuations (P/S 12x), MRVL growth sensitivity, and NVTS higher beta. Sentiment tilts positive across, with trade-offs in stability versus upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML for its trend consistency, dominant positioning in lithography critical to AI chips, and resilient performance amid sector volatility. Observable catalysts like High-NA systems and analyst conviction suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance relative to MRVL's earnings momentum and NVTS's growth bets, though all hold merit in diversified portfolios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMRVL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NVTS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MRVL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRVL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVTS’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MRVL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.25% price change this week, while MRVL (@Semiconductors) price change was +8.72% , and NVTS (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +29.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
MRVL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | MRVL | NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 565B | 122B | 2.84B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 4.54B | -67.33M |
| Gain YTD | 36.810 | 64.580 | 72.549 |
| P/E Ratio | 47.81 | 45.50 | N/A |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 8.2B | 45.9M |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 2.64B | 237M |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 4.79B | 6.47M |
ASML | MRVL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 47 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRVL's Valuation (71) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (45) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (29) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MRVL | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 21 days ago 73% | 21 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 78% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IYW | 210.07 | 3.51 | +1.70% |
| iShares US Technology ETF | |||
| QLVE | 32.31 | 0.54 | +1.69% |
| FlexShares EMs Quality Lw Vol ETF | |||
| QQQT | 17.36 | 0.18 | +1.07% |
| Defiance Nasdaq 100 Income Target ETF | |||
| CDC | 72.60 | 0.40 | +0.55% |
| VictoryShares US EQ Inc Enh Vol Wtd ETF | |||
| TFPN | 29.98 | 0.14 | +0.48% |
| Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asst Trnd ETF | |||
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | -0.40% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.79% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +2.49% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +4.80% | ||
More | ||||