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ASML or MTSI or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML reported record 2025 net sales of €32.7 billion and Q4 bookings of €13.2 billion, guiding 2026 sales to €34-39 billion amid AI-driven EUV demand.
- MTSI delivered Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $271.6 million, up 24.5% year-over-year, with record adjusted EPS of $1.02 and raised data center growth outlook to 35-40%.
- QCOM achieved record Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues of $12.3 billion, with automotive at a new high of $1.1 billion, though Q2 guidance reflects handset memory constraints.
- MTSI shows strongest YTD momentum at around 20%, followed by ASML near 30% earlier but recent pullback, while QCOM lags at -20% due to sector pressures.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds in AI, data centers, and telecom, but ASML's EUV monopoly and MTSI's analog focus provide differentiated exposure.
- Recent volatility highlights risks from supply chains and trade tensions, with relative performance tied to end-market demand in recent weeks.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML, MTSI, and QCOM, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem critical to AI, data centers, and wireless infrastructure. ASML dominates lithography equipment, MTSI specializes in analog RF solutions, and QCOM leads in mobile and edge AI chips. Traders seeking exposure to chip manufacturing and connectivity trends, or investors tracking relative performance amid supply chain shifts and AI demand, will find value in their contrasting growth drivers, valuations, and recent market positioning. Recent quarters underscore sector resilience despite volatility from memory shortages and geopolitical factors.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, is the world's leading provider of photolithography systems, holding a monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines essential for advanced chip production by foundries like TSMC and Intel. In recent market activity, ASML reported full-year 2025 net sales of €32.7 billion, up significantly, with Q4 sales at €9.7 billion and record quarterly bookings of €13.2 billion, including €7.4 billion in EUV. Gross margins reached 52.8% for the year. Sentiment has been buoyed by AI infrastructure demand accelerating logic and memory capacity expansions, though shares pulled back amid 2026 growth uncertainty and Q1 guidance of €8.2-8.9 billion. A €12 billion share buyback through 2028 supports confidence in long-term EUV scaling.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI, or MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., based in Lowell, Massachusetts, designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, data centers, industrial, defense, and multi-market segments. Recent performance shone in fiscal Q1 2026, with revenue of $271.6 million, up 24.5% year-over-year and 4% sequentially, driven by record industrial & defense and data center growth. Adjusted EPS hit a milestone $1.02, with book-to-bill at 1.3x—one of the strongest quarters historically. The company raised its full-year data center outlook to 35-40% growth amid 1.6T ramps. Shares exhibited volatility, with YTD gains around 20% reflecting robust demand, tempered by broader semiconductor sector swings in recent weeks.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QCOM, Qualcomm Incorporated, from San Diego, California, develops semiconductors and wireless technologies, powering Snapdragon platforms in handsets, automotive, IoT, and emerging edge AI. Fiscal Q1 2026 delivered record revenues of $12.3 billion, up 5%, with QCT at $10.6 billion including automotive highs of $1.1 billion (second straight quarter) and IoT up 9%. Non-GAAP EPS rose 3% to $3.50. However, Q2 guidance of $10.2-11.0 billion cited memory supply constraints curbing handset builds, especially in China, contributing to YTD declines near -20%. Positive sentiment stems from diversification into AI PCs, robotics, and Snapdragon Digital Chassis, offsetting near-term pressures in recent market activity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML (market cap ~$513B, P/E ~45) focuses on capital equipment with EUV monopoly, contrasting MTSI's (~$15B est., growth-oriented) analog components for data center/telecom and QCOM's (~$145B, P/E ~27) fabless design in mobile/AI edge. Growth drivers diverge: ASML's AI fab expansions, MTSI's 35-40% data center surge, QCOM's automotive/IoT diversification amid handset softness. Recent momentum favors MTSI's YTD ~20% gains post-earnings, over ASML's pullback despite bookings and QCOM's -20% on guidance. Risks include ASML's export curbs, MTSI's concentration, QCOM's China/memory exposure. Valuation sensitivity is highest for ASML's premium multiples; sentiment tilts to MTSI's book-to-bill vs. peers' supply headwinds, with sector overlaps in semis amplifying trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors MTSI for its trend consistency in recent quarters, with 24.5% revenue growth, record bookings, and upward data center revisions signaling stronger near-term catalysts versus ASML's guidance uncertainties and QCOM's handset constraints. Probabilistic edge stems from MTSI's relative stability and positioning in high-growth analog RF for AI infrastructure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +9.98% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +3.95% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +0.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.01% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | MTSI | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 546B | 18.6B | 136B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 259M | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | 35.765 | 44.623 | -24.835 |
| P/E Ratio | 50.17 | 112.09 | 25.76 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 1.02B | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 768M | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 531M | 14.8B |
ASML | MTSI | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 24 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 12 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 58 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 36 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 53 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (78) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew significantly faster than ASML’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (26) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (89) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as QCOM (63) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MTSI | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 12 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 3 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
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