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ASML or MTSI or TEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) vs. TE Connectivity plc (TEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads in long-term gains with YTD returns around 29% and 1-year returns exceeding 85%, driven by AI-fueled EUV demand despite geopolitical risks.
- MTSI shows strong momentum with YTD up nearly 30% and 1-year returns over 120%, supported by robust bookings in RF semiconductors for data centers and defense.
- TEL trails recently with YTD declines around 12%, impacted by supply disruptions, though it maintains stability via dividends and AI sector exposure.
- All three benefit from semiconductor and electronics growth, but ASML and MTSI exhibit superior recent momentum over TEL.
- Valuation sensitivity is high across the board, with MTSI offering growth at a premium amid sector volatility.
- Tickeron's AI bots highlight semiconductor strategies with up to 112% annualized returns, favoring high-momentum plays like these tickers.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, a leader in photolithography equipment; MTSI, a provider of analog semiconductors for RF and microwave applications; and TEL, a manufacturer of connectivity and sensor solutions. These stocks operate in the interconnected semiconductor and electronics ecosystem, fueled by AI, data centers, and industrial automation. Traders seeking momentum in tech-driven sectors and investors eyeing relative performance in recent market activity will find value in understanding their contrasts in growth drivers, volatility, and sector exposure.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, specializes in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems essential for advanced chip production. As the sole provider of EUV technology, it powers semiconductor giants in AI and logic chips. In recent weeks, ASML's stock has shown resilience amid market declines, advancing while broader indices dipped, supported by surging bookings and analyst upgrades like BofA's price target lift to $1,886. YTD returns hover around 29%, with 1-year gains over 85%, reflecting AI demand. Sentiment remains positive despite geopolitical tensions, with robust revenue projections through 2028.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI, or MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., based in Lowell, Massachusetts, designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, and data centers. Recent quarters featured strong results, with Q1 revenue up 24.5% and upbeat guidance, driving shares higher post-earnings. Despite short-term pullbacks of 6-10% in recent weeks, YTD performance stands at about 30%, and 1-year returns exceed 120%. Key influences include robust demand in 5G/6G infrastructure and satellite communications, alongside gross margin improvements, bolstering investor confidence.
TEL Overview and Recent Performance
TEL, or TE Connectivity plc, based in Ireland, produces connectors and sensors for transportation, industrial, and communications markets. Recent market activity saw shares decline amid Middle East supply disruptions, with weekly drops up to 15% and YTD losses around 12%. Offsetting this, TEL raised its dividend 10% to $0.78 and expanded its repurchase program by $3 billion, signaling shareholder focus. AI-related demand persists, but performance lags peers, with 1-year returns moderated by volatility.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML's monopoly in EUV lithography contrasts MTSI's niche RF components and TEL's broad connectors, exposing ASML to chip cycle peaks but high growth (29% YTD), MTSI to telecom/defense stability (120% 1-year), and TEL to diversified industrials (-12% YTD). Momentum favors ASML and MTSI on AI catalysts, while TEL offers lower volatility via dividends. Risks include geopolitics for ASML, supply chains for all, and valuations premium to peers (ASML P/E ~47, MTSI elevated post-rally). Sentiment tilts toward semiconductor purity over TEL's breadth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors MTSI for its trend consistency, strong bookings, and relative outperformance (120% 1-year), positioning it ahead in volatile semiconductor momentum. ASML follows closely on EUV backlog stability, while TEL lags due to recent drawdowns. Probabilistic edge leans 55% to MTSI amid AI infrastructure catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TEL’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TEL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TEL’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +9.98% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +3.95% , and TEL (@Electronic Components) price fluctuated +9.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +5.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TEL is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.01% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Components (+5.83% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
| ASML | MTSI | TEL | |
| Capitalization | 546B | 18.6B | 67.1B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 259M | 4.47B |
| Gain YTD | 35.765 | 44.623 | 0.800 |
| P/E Ratio | 50.17 | 112.09 | 32.94 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 1.02B | 18.1B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 768M | 1.25B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 531M | 5.71B |
ASML | MTSI | TEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 24 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 12 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 58 | 50 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 36 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 53 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEL's Valuation (18) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (78) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TEL's stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TEL (25) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as ASML (26) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to TEL’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TEL (50) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TEL’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TEL (48) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
TEL's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TEL's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MTSI | TEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 11 days ago 70% | 11 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 68% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 53% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TGRW | 42.65 | 0.27 | +0.64% |
| T. Rowe Price Growth Stock ETF | |||
| IVV | 683.01 | 4.02 | +0.59% |
| iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | |||
| FSCC | 31.36 | 0.18 | +0.58% |
| Federated Hermes MDT Small Cap Core ETF | |||
| POWA | 88.52 | 0.20 | +0.23% |
| Invesco Bloomberg Pricing Power ETF | |||
| PJIO | 59.58 | -0.17 | -0.28% |
| PGIM Jennison International Opps ETF | |||
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.94% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +4.35% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 83% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
More | ||||
MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
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