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ASML or MTSI or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML has shown robust year-to-date gains exceeding 30%, fueled by a major $7.9 billion EUV order from SK Hynix, underscoring its critical role in advanced chip manufacturing.
- MTSI delivered over 110% one-year returns with strong Q1 revenue growth of 24.5%, highlighting momentum in RF and analog semiconductors for 5G and data centers.
- TXN offers relative stability with YTD gains around 13%, supported by new power solutions for AI data centers and EVs amid sector volatility.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor space but differ in focus: ASML in lithography equipment, MTSI in high-frequency analogs, and TXN in broad analog and embedded processing.
- Recent market activity reveals volatility, with ASML and MTSI experiencing sharper swings than TXN.
- AI-driven demand bolsters sentiment across the board, though geopolitical risks and export restrictions impact ASML more directly.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, MTSI, and TXN, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem amid surging AI and data center demand. ASML dominates lithography for cutting-edge chips, MTSI specializes in RF/microwave solutions for telecom and defense, and TXN leads in analog and embedded semiconductors. Traders seeking high-growth exposure and investors prioritizing stability will find value in analyzing their recent performance, sector positioning, and relative momentum in today's volatile market environment.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, is the global leader in photolithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) tools essential for advanced semiconductor nodes used in AI chips. In recent market activity, ASML stock has exhibited volatility, with year-to-date gains surpassing 30% and one-year returns near 80-90%, reflecting strong demand from memory and logic chipmakers. Sentiment has been boosted by a landmark $7.9 billion EUV order from SK Hynix through 2027, enhancing backlog visibility amid AI infrastructure buildout, though monthly pullbacks of around 3-7% highlight sensitivity to trade tensions and cyclical pressures.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI, or MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc., based in Lowell, Massachusetts, designs analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, and data centers. Recent weeks have seen MTSI stock deliver impressive one-year gains over 110% and YTD returns around 38%, driven by Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue of $271.6 million, up 24.5% year-over-year, beating estimates with upbeat guidance. Performance reflects robust demand for 5G/6G infrastructure and optical networks, though short-term dips of 11% monthly underscore exposure to market consolidation in high-growth semis.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN), headquartered in Dallas, is a powerhouse in analog chips and embedded processors for automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. In recent market activity, TXN has posted steadier YTD gains of about 13% and one-year returns around 8%, buoyed by innovations like high-performance isolated power modules for AI data centers and EVs. Shares have shown resilience amid volatility, with recent upticks tied to positive analyst views on free cash flow inflection, though monthly declines of 9% reflect broader sector pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML’s monopoly in EUV lithography drives explosive growth tied to AI chip advances, contrasting MTSI’s niche RF/microwave focus for 5G/defense and TXN’s diversified analog portfolio. Growth catalysts favor ASML and MTSI via AI/telecom tailwinds, while TXN benefits from stable industrial demand. Recent momentum shows MTSI leading one-year returns, but ASML’s order backlog provides superior visibility over TXN’s steadier path. Risks include ASML’s export curbs, MTSI’s cyclicality, and TXN’s inventory sensitivity. Valuation-wise, TXN appears more grounded, while sector exposure amplifies ASML’s AI beta and MTSI’s growth sensitivity. Sentiment leans positive for all amid chip recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI for its superior relative performance, with over 110% one-year gains and consistent revenue beats signaling strong trend consistency in high-growth RF applications. While ASML offers unmatched backlog catalysts and TXN provides stability, MTSI’s positioning yields higher probabilistic upside in the near-term semiconductor rally.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +9.98% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +3.95% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.01% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | MTSI | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 546B | 18.6B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 259M | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 35.765 | 44.623 | 24.724 |
| P/E Ratio | 50.17 | 112.09 | 39.45 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 1.02B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 768M | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 531M | 14B |
ASML | MTSI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 24 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 12 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 58 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 36 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 53 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (78) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TXN's stock grew significantly faster than ASML’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (26) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (51) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and somewhat faster than TXN’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TXN (31) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (58) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as ASML (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TXN (38) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MTSI | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 11 days ago 70% | 11 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 2 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 59% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.94% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +4.35% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 83% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
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MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with SITM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then SITM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +0.29% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 71% Closely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +5.19% | ||
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TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +2.91% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 81% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 80% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 77% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ON - TXN | 70% Closely correlated | +0.16% | ||
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