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ASML or NVTS or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) vs. QUALCOMM (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML dominates semiconductor lithography with strong AI-driven demand, posting robust YTD gains around 30% and bullish analyst targets up to $1,650.
- NVTS surges on GaN/SiC innovations for AI data centers, with shares up over 40% YTD amid product launches, though unprofitable with negative P/E.
- QCOM faces headwinds from smartphone weakness and downgrades, down 23% YTD, trading at lower P/E but with mixed outlook on AI/auto growth.
- ASML leads in market cap (~$524B) and stability; NVTS offers high-momentum growth potential; QCOM provides relative value at ~26x P/E.
- Recent sentiment favors equipment enablers like ASML over end-device makers amid AI infrastructure buildout.
- All three exposed to semis, but NVTS shows highest volatility with 300%+ one-year gains.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, NVTS, and QCOM—key players in the semiconductor ecosystem—from lithography equipment to power chips and wireless processors. Investors eyeing AI infrastructure, data centers, and mobile tech will find value in understanding their relative performance, growth drivers, and risks. Amid sector rotation and AI demand, these stocks highlight trade-offs in momentum, valuation, and stability, aiding decisions on portfolio positioning in the current market environment.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, specializes in photolithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines essential for advanced chip production. As the sole provider of EUV technology, ASML serves major foundries like TSMC, benefiting from surging demand for AI accelerators.
In recent market activity, ASML shares have advanced significantly, with YTD gains exceeding 30% and a 55.8% rise in 2025, outpacing the sector. Analyst upgrades, including TD Cowen's $1,500 target and BofA's lift to $1,886, reflect optimism on AI tailwinds despite China export curbs shifting revenue to Taiwan and South Korea. Trading around $1,345 with a P/E of ~47, sentiment remains bullish on long-term EUV dominance, though geopolitical risks linger.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation, based in Torrance, California, designs gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors for efficient power conversion in EVs, data centers, and consumer electronics. Its GaNFast and GeneSiC platforms target high-growth AI power needs.
Recent weeks have seen NVTS volatility with sharp gains: up 23% on executive hires, 21% on 1200V SiC launches for AI data centers, and over 40% YTD amid a 300%+ one-year surge. Q4 2025 revenue hit $7.3M, beating estimates despite YoY drop, with guidance for sequential growth in high-power markets. Unprofitable (negative P/E ~ -15), shares trade around $10, driven by AI pivot but sensitive to execution risks.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM Incorporated, headquartered in San Diego, develops semiconductors and wireless tech, including Snapdragon processors for smartphones, PCs, and autos, plus key IP in 5G/6G. It balances chip sales with licensing.
QCOM has underperformed recently, down 23% YTD and 12% over one year, trading near $130 with P/E ~26. Downgrades to Sell from Seaport ($100 target) and BofA cite smartphone declines (10-15% volume drop), Apple risks, and memory shortages, overshadowing auto/AI gains. Sentiment reflects cyclical pressures, though AI edge computing offers offsets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML (~$524B cap, P/E 47) leads in business model stability as EUV monopolist, with AI growth drivers outshining peers, but high valuation and export risks contrast QCOM's (~$149B cap, P/E 26) diversified wireless exposure vulnerable to handset cycles. NVTS (small cap, negative P/E) bets on power semis for AI/EV, boasting superior recent momentum (300%+ yearly) versus ASML's steady climb and QCOM's lag.
Risk profiles differ: ASML geopolitical; NVTS profitability/scale; QCOM competition/Apple dependency. Sector ties bind them to semis/AI, but ASML shows least valuation sensitivity, NVTS highest beta, QCOM balanced yield (2%). Sentiment favors ASML's catalysts over QCOM downgrades, with NVTS as speculative play.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML for its trend consistency, EUV moat, and relative positioning in AI supply chains, evidenced by strong YTD outperformance and analyst support. While NVTS tempts with momentum and QCOM value, ASML's stability and catalysts suggest higher probability of near-term gains amid infrastructure buildout.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.25% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +29.14% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +6.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +8.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +117.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+8.26% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | NVTS | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 564B | 3.05B | 147B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | -67.33M | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | 36.810 | 84.874 | -19.086 |
| P/E Ratio | 48.51 | N/A | 27.73 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 45.9M | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 237M | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 6.47M | 14.8B |
ASML | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (9) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that QCOM’s stock grew significantly faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (87) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (43) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (61) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | NVTS | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 22 days ago 86% | 14 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 68% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | +7.14% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +5.09% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +7.30% | ||
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QCOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, QCOM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if QCOM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To QCOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QCOM | 100% | +0.97% | ||
| LRCX - QCOM | 80% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| KLAC - QCOM | 78% Closely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| AMKR - QCOM | 76% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| AMAT - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| KLIC - QCOM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.78% | ||
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