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ASML or NXPI or TSEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) vs. Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads with strong YTD gains around 21%, driven by AI chip demand, though recent weeks saw pullbacks amid broader market volatility.
- NXPI shows mixed results post-Q4 earnings beat but softer outlook, with shares down over recent months and YTD performance lagging peers.
- TSEM delivered record Q4 revenue and impressive 1-year returns exceeding 160%, but faces recent declines in line with sector pressures.
- All three operate in semiconductors, with ASML in equipment, NXPI in mixed-signal chips, and TSEM as a foundry, exposing them to AI and automotive trends.
- Recent market activity reflects sector sensitivity to earnings and geopolitical factors, with relative strength in advanced tech plays.
- Valuation and momentum favor ASML for growth-oriented investors in current conditions.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, NXPI, and TSEM, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem. ASML dominates lithography equipment essential for advanced chips, NXPI specializes in automotive and IoT semiconductors, and TSEM provides foundry services for analog solutions. Traders tracking relative performance and investors eyeing sector exposure amid AI and electrification trends will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning. This stock comparison highlights contrasts in growth drivers and risks within the volatile semiconductor market.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, leads in lithography systems for semiconductor manufacturing, holding near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology critical for AI chips. The company serves major foundries like TSMC and Intel, with operations spanning Europe, Asia, and the U.S. Recent market activity has seen shares fluctuate, with a 5.5% drop on March 6 to around $1,293 amid broader sell-offs, yet YTD returns near 21% outpace benchmarks. Sentiment remains buoyed by AI-driven demand and record bookings, though concerns over China exposure and capacity constraints have prompted pullbacks in recent weeks. Strong Q4 results and analyst targets above $1,400 underscore resilience in advanced node production.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors N.V., based in Eindhoven, Netherlands, designs mixed-signal semiconductors for automotive, industrial, IoT, and mobile applications. Key products include microcontrollers and connectivity solutions, with significant exposure to electric vehicles and secure edge computing. Shares traded around $202 after a 4.2% decline on March 6, reflecting ongoing pressure from a softer Q1 outlook despite a Q4 earnings beat. Recent weeks have shown declines of about 8-11%, with YTD performance subdued amid industrial market softness and competition. Automotive strength provides a buffer, but revenue dips in communications infrastructure have tempered sentiment, positioning NXPI as a value play in diversified semis.
TSEM Overview and Recent Performance
Tower Semiconductor Ltd., an Israeli foundry headquartered in Migdal Haemek, specializes in analog and mixed-signal processes for automotive, industrial, and aerospace. It offers platforms like SiGe and RF CMOS, supporting custom ICs via facilities in Israel, U.S., and Japan. The stock fell 8.3% to $110.59 on March 6, part of a monthly drop near 20%, despite record Q4 revenue of $440 million and EPS beat. YTD returns around 8% trail 1-year gains over 166%, fueled by silicon photonics for AI and telecom. Geopolitical risks and capacity expansions influence volatility, with partnerships in quantum and photonics bolstering long-term outlook.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML, NXPI, and TSEM share semiconductor ties but diverge in models: ASML's equipment focus yields high margins from AI lithography monopoly, contrasting NXPI's chip design for autos/IoT and TSEM's contract manufacturing. Growth drivers favor ASML via EUV demand, while NXPI leverages EV trends and TSEM analog niches. Recent momentum shows ASML strongest YTD, TSEM explosive longer-term but volatile, and NXPI stable yet lagging. Risks include geopolitics for all, with ASML/TSEM more export-sensitive and NXPI cyclical. Valuation sensitivity is highest for ASML at premium multiples; sentiment tilts to AI enablers over end-markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML due to superior trend consistency in AI infrastructure, robust bookings, and relative YTD strength amid sector rotation. While TSEM offers foundry upside and NXPI defensive automotive positioning, ASML's catalysts like EUV adoption position it probabilistically higher for near-term outperformance, barring major disruptions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNXPI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSEM’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TSEM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.25% price change this week, while NXPI (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.71% , and TSEM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +11.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TSEM is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | NXPI | TSEM | |
| Capitalization | 556B | 54.6B | 24.6B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 3.96B | 507M |
| Gain YTD | 36.810 | 0.042 | 92.846 |
| P/E Ratio | 47.81 | 27.17 | 116.72 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 12.3B | 1.51B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 2.91B | 1.22B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 12.2B | 164M |
ASML | NXPI | TSEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 12 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 82 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 43 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 50 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 23 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TSEM (89) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s and significantly faster than TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (82) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (43) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSEM (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to NXPI’s and somewhat faster than TSEM’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (50) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
TSEM's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (23) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSEM's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | NXPI | TSEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 17 days ago 68% | 20 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 76% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
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TSEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSEM has been loosely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSEM jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSEM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSEM | 100% | +5.44% | ||
| MTSI - TSEM | 64% Loosely correlated | +5.95% | ||
| AMKR - TSEM | 61% Loosely correlated | +7.11% | ||
| AMBA - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.62% | ||
| KLIC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| KLAC - TSEM | 60% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
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