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ASML or TEL or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. TE Connectivity (TEL) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads with strong YTD gains around 23-30%, driven by AI chip demand, but recent pullbacks raise valuation concerns at a P/E of about 45.
- TEL shows mixed performance with a 10% dividend hike and AI data center focus, yet faces YTD declines amid supply disruptions.
- TXN exhibits relative stability with new 800V AI power tech, though recent 14-16% drops from highs highlight sector volatility.
- ASML boasts superior long-term returns (80%+ over 1 year), while TEL and TXN offer lower P/E ratios (29-36), appealing to value-oriented traders.
- All three benefit from semiconductor and connectivity trends, but ASML's EUV monopoly positions it for higher growth amid trade risks.
- Recent market activity reflects broader chip sector pressures, with ASML showing the most momentum despite elevated multiples.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML, TEL, and TXN, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem. ASML dominates lithography equipment, TEL excels in connectivity solutions, and TXN leads in analog chips. Traders eyeing AI-driven growth, industrial applications, and supply chain resilience will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning in the current environment of tech volatility and geopolitical tensions.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, specializes in photolithography systems essential for advanced chip production, holding a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology. In recent market activity, ASML shares experienced volatility, with a 3.6% drop to around $1,317 amid valuation debates, despite robust YTD gains of 23-30%. Sentiment has been influenced by AI boom demand, High-NA EUV advancements, and a $400 million imec order, though share price pullbacks reflect concerns over multi-year returns and pricing signals. Broader performance shows 80%+ one-year gains, underscoring its critical role in semiconductor supply chains.
TEL Overview and Recent Performance
TEL (TE Connectivity), an Irish-domiciled firm with U.S. executive offices, designs connectivity and sensor solutions for industrial, automotive, and data center applications. Recent weeks saw TEL shares around $196, with a 1.3% dip but notable 30-day returns up to 17% in spots, offset by YTD declines near 16% due to Middle East supply issues. Positive drivers include a 10% quarterly dividend increase to $0.78, $3 billion buyback expansion, and upbeat Q2 profit forecasts tied to AI data center demand. Performance reflects resilience in industrial segments amid fluctuating core markets.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
TXN (Texas Instruments), based in Dallas, focuses on analog and embedded semiconductors for industrial, automotive, and communications uses. Shares traded near $187 recently, down 0.6-0.9% in sessions but with YTD gains around 15%, following 14-16% pullbacks from highs. Key influences include the 800V power architecture for AI data centers and robotics, alongside steady analyst attention despite valuation worries. Recent activity shows outperformance in select sessions amid sector dips, supported by strong free cash flow inflection and Q1 guidance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML, TEL, and TXN operate in interconnected semiconductor realms, but diverge in models: ASML's equipment monopoly drives high growth (YTD ~25%), contrasting TEL's components focus and TXN's chips emphasis. Momentum favors ASML (80% 1Y return) over TEL (35%) and TXN (~15% YTD). Risks include trade restrictions for ASML, supply volatility for TEL, and cyclical demand for TXN. Valuations show ASML at P/E ~45 (premium for EUV/AI catalysts), TEL ~29, TXN ~36. Sector exposure ties all to AI/industrials, but ASML offers upside trade-offs versus peers' stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML due to consistent trend strength, AI/EUV catalysts, and superior relative positioning despite recent softness and higher P/E. TEL and TXN provide stability via dividends and lower valuations, but ASML's growth probability edges it ahead in observable momentum metrics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTEL’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TEL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +12.23% price change this week, while TEL (@Electronic Components) price change was +9.91% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +13.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +91.31%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +6.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.70%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
TEL is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+13.41% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Electronic Components (+6.72% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | TEL | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 555B | 67.4B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 4.47B | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 38.542 | 1.307 | 24.579 |
| P/E Ratio | 51.31 | 33.11 | 39.40 |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 18.1B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 1.25B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 5.71B | 14B |
ASML | TEL | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 26 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 23 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 50 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 43 | 19 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 18 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TEL (19) in the Electronic Components industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to TEL’s and significantly faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
TEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (25) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TXN (52) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TEL's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TXN (31) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as TEL (50) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TXN’s and similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as TEL (43) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that TXN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TEL (18) in the Electronic Components industry, and is in the same range as TXN (32) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to TEL’s and similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | TEL | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 59% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 13 days ago 51% | 13 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 59% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +2.05% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | -2.47% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.32% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +0.58% | ||
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