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AU or GFI or KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) vs. Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AU leads with the highest market cap at approximately $46B and strong YTD gains around 8%, bolstered by recent reserve announcements in Nevada.
- GFI reported robust full-year revenue growth of 68% to $8.75B, with production up 18%, though shares have faced recent pressure amid sector volatility.
- KGC achieved record Q1 free cash flow of $838M despite rising costs, trading at a lower P/E ratio of about 12.3, appealing for value-oriented investors.
- All three stocks have delivered triple-digit one-year returns (AU ~136%, GFI ~98%, KGC ~106%), driven by gold price strength, but recent weeks show pullbacks of 7-13%.
- Gold miners like these benefit from elevated gold prices near record highs, yet face headwinds from all-in sustaining costs (AISC) trending upward industry-wide.
- Analyst targets suggest upside potential: AU ~$121, GFI ~$61, KGC ~$39, reflecting relative positioning in a volatile gold market.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AU (AngloGold Ashanti), GFI (Gold Fields), and KGC (Kinross Gold), three prominent gold producers with global operations. These companies are leveraged to gold prices, which have surged amid economic uncertainty and inflation concerns, amplifying their appeal for traders seeking commodity exposure and investors eyeing sector rotation. Recent market activity highlights their relative performance in a high-gold-price environment, where production efficiencies, cost controls, and reserve growth drive differentiation. Traders monitoring momentum and investors assessing long-term value will find insights into business models, recent trends, and head-to-head metrics valuable for informed decisions on stock positioning.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold miner with operations in Africa, Australia, and the Americas, producing gold alongside by-products like silver and sulfuric acid. Its portfolio includes flagship assets such as the Geita mine in Tanzania. In recent market activity, AU shares have traded around $91, within a 52-week range of $39 to $129, reflecting volatility tied to gold prices. Year-to-date gains stand at about 8%, with one-year returns exceeding 136%, outperforming broader indices. Sentiment has been influenced by strong full-year revenue of $9.89B (up 71%) and net income of $2.64B, alongside a recent announcement of 4.9 million ounces probable reserves at the Arthur project in Nevada, valued at $1.7B NPV. However, recent weeks saw a roughly 10% pullback amid debt tenders and operational discussions in Ghana, tempering short-term momentum while longer-term catalysts like production ramps support positioning.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) operates as a diversified gold producer with mines in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, and development projects in Canada and Chile, also yielding copper and silver. Key assets include South Deep and Tarkwa. Recently, GFI shares have hovered near $42, in a 52-week range of $19 to $62. Year-to-date performance is slightly negative at around -5%, though one-year gains approach 98%. Driving factors include fiscal 2025 revenue surging 68% to $8.75B, attributable production up 18% to 2.44M gold-equivalent ounces, and headline earnings rising 117%. All-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric covering sustaining capital and operating expenses) ticked up slightly to $1,645/oz due to royalties and inflation. Recent weeks brought a 10-14% decline amid gold price fluctuations and broader sector rotation, yet analyst upgrades and project advancements like Gruyere sustain positive sentiment.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) focuses on gold mining in the Americas (U.S., Brazil, Chile) and West Africa (Mauritania), with assets like Tasiast and Paracatu emphasizing low-cost, long-life operations. Shares recently traded around $29, within a 52-week range of $13 to $39. Year-to-date returns are about 1%, with one-year gains near 106%. Q1 2026 results highlighted record attributable free cash flow of $838M and net income of $843M, driven by higher gold realizations despite volume dips and cost pressures. AISC rose in recent quarters, reflecting industry trends. Recent market activity showed a 7-9% pullback post-earnings due to permitting concerns and elevated costs, but robust cash generation, dividend hikes, and shareholder returns via buybacks have bolstered investor confidence amid gold's strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU, GFI, and KGC share gold price leverage but diverge in business models: AU emphasizes diverse continents with growth via U.S. greenfields; GFI balances established surface/underground ops with copper exposure; KGC prioritizes Americas/West Africa for cost efficiency. Growth drivers include GFI's 18% production rise and AU's reserve additions, versus KGC's cash flow focus. Recent momentum favors AU YTD, but all pulled back lately amid gold consolidation. Risks encompass rising AISC (industry ~$1,450-1,650/oz), geopolitical exposure (Africa-heavy for all), and inflation. Sector exposure is pure gold for AU/KGC, diversified for GFI. Valuations show KGC cheapest at P/E ~12, GFI ~11, AU ~18; sentiment tilts positive on gold tailwinds but cautious on costs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KGC among the trio, owing to its lower valuation multiples, record free cash flow generation, and balanced risk profile with strong Americas focus. While AU offers superior YTD momentum and reserve catalysts, and GFI impressive production growth, KGC's trend consistency and relative stability position it probabilistically higher for near-term outperformance in volatile gold markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and KGC’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and KGC’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +14.77% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was +8.55% , and KGC (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated +10.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +4.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+4.29% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | GFI | KGC | |
| Capitalization | 52.8B | 40.7B | 38B |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 6.34B | 5.15B |
| Gain YTD | 24.394 | 6.825 | 12.815 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.32 | 11.50 | 13.50 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 8.75B | 7.96B |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 1.78B | 2.19B |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 3.22B | 738M |
AU | GFI | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 55 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 29 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 21 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 47 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | 74 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (6) and is in the same range as KGC (20). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to GFI’s and similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (28) and is in the same range as GFI (29). This means that KGC's stock grew similarly to AU’s and similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (21) and is in the same range as KGC (27). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to GFI’s and similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (44) and is in the same range as GFI (47). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to KGC’s and similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (54) and is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (74). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to KGC’s and somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | GFI | KGC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | N/A | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 75% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 81% |
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.