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AU or IAG or NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. IAMGOLD (IAG) vs. Newmont Corporation (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three gold miners have delivered strong one-year returns exceeding 110%, driven by elevated gold prices, though recent weeks show pullbacks amid market volatility.
- NEM leads with the largest market cap at $115.6B and record Q1 2026 free cash flow of $3.1B, highlighting scale advantages.
- AU offers a balanced profile with 136% one-year gains, YTD +8.13%, P/E of 17.51, and beta of 0.62 for lower volatility.
- IAG shows higher volatility (beta 2.21) but attractive P/E of 14.31 and mid-tier growth potential via Côté Gold ramp-up.
- Recent sentiment reflects gold price sensitivity, with NEM dipping post-buyback announcement despite strong earnings.
- Valuation metrics favor IAG and NEM on forward P/E, positioning them for relative outperformance in a high-gold-price environment.
Introduction
This comparison examines three prominent gold mining stocks—AU, IAG, and NEM—in the context of sustained gold price strength and sector momentum. Gold miners provide leveraged exposure to the metal's price movements, appealing to traders seeking short-term momentum plays and long-term investors focused on production growth and reserves. With recent market activity showing volatility due to macroeconomic shifts, this analysis highlights relative performance, operational drivers, and positioning to aid informed stock comparison decisions.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold producer with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, including flagship assets like Geita in Tanzania and Sunrise Dam in Australia. The company explores for gold alongside by-products such as silver and sulfuric acid. In recent market activity, AU has traded around $90.69, reflecting a YTD gain of 8.13% and a robust one-year return of 135.98%, with a market cap of $45.8B. Shares have pulled back in recent weeks amid broader gold sector rotation, influenced by debt tender offers and insider sales, yet sentiment remains supported by strong EPS growth and analyst upgrades citing Nevada reserves. Lower beta (0.62) underscores relative stability, with P/E (TTM) at 17.51 signaling fair valuation in a high-gold-price backdrop.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG), a mid-tier gold producer and developer, operates mines in Canada and Burkina Faso, with key assets including the Westwood mine and the ramping Côté Gold project in Ontario. Recent weeks have seen IAG trade near $16.31, posting a YTD return of 2.63% and one-year gain of 142.71%, backed by a $9.5B market cap. Performance reflects volatility from Q1 earnings anticipation and ESG reporting, with shares dipping amid sector pressures but buoyed by Moody’s upgrades and production guidance. Higher beta (2.21) amplifies gold price swings, while a trailing P/E of 14.31 suggests undervaluation relative to peers, driven by Côté Gold's path to nameplate capacity.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM), the world's largest gold producer, maintains a diversified portfolio across North America, Africa, Australia, and Latin America, producing copper, silver, and other metals alongside gold. Trading at approximately $108.33 with a massive $115.6B market cap, NEM has achieved YTD returns of 8.71% and one-year gains of nearly 113%. Recent activity includes a post-Q1 earnings dip despite record $3.1B free cash flow and $7.3B revenue, triggered by a $6B buyback announcement and 2026 guidance for 5.3M ounces at higher AISC ($1,680/oz). Low beta (0.45) and P/E of 14.09 highlight defensive appeal amid gold's safe-haven demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU, IAG, and NEM operate in gold mining but differ markedly in scale: NEM's mega-cap status ($115B) enables diversified exposure and superior cash generation, contrasting AU ($46B) and IAG ($9.5B) mid-tier focus. Growth drivers include IAG's Côté expansion versus NEM's 5.3M oz 2026 output. Recent momentum favors YTD leaders NEM and AU, but IAG offers upside via lower P/E (14.3). Risk profiles vary with betas: NEM (0.45) most stable, IAG (2.21) highest. Sector exposure is pure gold for all, but NEM adds by-products; valuation sensitivity shows NEM and IAG cheaper on forward metrics amid gold's premium. Sentiment tilts to scale but trades off growth volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NEM due to its trend consistency, unmatched scale, and catalysts like robust Q1 cash flow and buybacks, positioning it strongly relative to peers amid gold's upward trajectory. Probabilistic edges stem from lower beta and production visibility, though AU trails closely on balanced metrics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and NEM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and NEM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -14.37% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was -15.02% , and NEM (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -12.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -6.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +62.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-6.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | IAG | NEM | |
| Capitalization | 45.2B | 9.33B | 112B |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 1.96B | 16.2B |
| Gain YTD | 6.521 | -1.880 | 5.461 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.12 | 9.46 | 13.63 |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 3.41B | 25B |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 551M | 8.78B |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 651M | 5.53B |
AU | IAG | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 65 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 33 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 36 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 43 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 9 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (21) and is significantly better than the same rating for IAG (71). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and significantly faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (33) and is in the same range as NEM (48). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to IAG’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (36) and is in the same range as NEM (37). This means that AU's stock grew similarly to IAG’s and similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (43) and is in the same range as AU (45). This means that IAG's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (30) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AU (53). This means that IAG's stock grew similarly to NEM’s and somewhat faster than AU’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | IAG | NEM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 83% | 9 days ago 83% | 10 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 78% | 6 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 87% | N/A |
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.
IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with CGAU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then CGAU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IAG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAG | 100% | -4.71% | ||
| CGAU - IAG | 86% Closely correlated | -4.40% | ||
| KGC - IAG | 85% Closely correlated | -3.75% | ||
| AEM - IAG | 85% Closely correlated | -3.24% | ||
| AGI - IAG | 84% Closely correlated | -4.32% | ||
| PAAS - IAG | 83% Closely correlated | -3.89% | ||
More | ||||
NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.