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AVAV or AXON or HON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Honeywell International (HON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVAV reported Q3 revenue growth of 143% to $408 million but missed estimates due to revenue timing and a goodwill impairment, with record $1.1 billion funded backlog signaling strong future demand.
- AXON delivered robust Q4 revenue of $797 million, up 39% year-over-year, driven by TASER and software demand, with full-year growth of 33% and consistent outperformance.
- HON advanced its aerospace spin-off plans, filing Form 10 and securing financing, boosting analyst targets amid YTD gains of over 20%, reflecting diversified industrials strength.
- All three stocks operate in defense-adjacent sectors, but AVAV and AXON show higher growth volatility compared to HON's stability.
- Analyst consensus favors buys across the board, with average price targets implying 50%+ upside for AVAV, significant gains for AXON, and 7-20% for HON.
Introduction
AeroVironment (AVAV), Axon Enterprise (AXON), and Honeywell International (HON) represent key players in aerospace, defense, and public safety technology sectors. This stock comparison evaluates their recent market performance, growth drivers, and relative positioning amid heightened geopolitical tensions and defense spending. Traders seeking high-momentum plays in unmanned systems and law enforcement tech, or investors eyeing diversified industrials with spin-off catalysts, will find insights into business models, sentiment shifts, and head-to-head metrics for informed relative performance analysis.
AVAV Overview and Recent Performance
AeroVironment (AVAV) designs and produces unmanned aircraft systems, loitering munitions, and related robotics for government and defense applications. In recent market activity, the stock has faced pressure, declining around 15% over the past month amid broader sector rotation, with YTD returns mixed at roughly flat to slightly negative. Q3 fiscal 2026 results showed revenue surging 143% year-over-year to $408 million, driven by autonomous systems and the BlueHalo acquisition, though misses on estimates stemmed from revenue timing and a $151 million goodwill impairment in the space segment. Sentiment has been influenced by record bookings of $2.1 billion, a 1.6 book-to-bill ratio, and funded backlog hitting $1.1 billion, underscoring robust demand despite short-term volatility.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) develops public safety technologies, including TASER devices, body cameras, and AI-driven software platforms. Recent weeks have seen positive momentum, with shares gaining about 14% over the past month following strong Q4 results, where revenue rose 39% to $797 million, beating estimates on premium hardware and software adoption. Full-year revenue grew 33%, marking sustained high-teens to low-thirties expansion. Performance reflects growing law enforcement demand for connected ecosystems, though valuation concerns persist amid rapid price appreciation. Analyst upgrades highlight consistent execution and multi-year growth potential in counter-drone and AI features.
HON Overview and Recent Performance
Honeywell International (HON) is a diversified industrials conglomerate with strengths in aerospace technologies, automation, and energy solutions. In recent market activity, shares have outperformed with YTD gains exceeding 20%, supported by analyst price target upgrades and progress on its aerospace division spin-off. The planned separation, targeted for H2 2026, includes Form 10 filing and $16 billion debt financing, aiming to unlock value in a pure-play aerospace entity. Revenue growth remains steady in the mid-single digits, bolstered by aerospace backlog and AI innovations, though organic growth faces scrutiny. Sentiment benefits from its scale and defensive positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVAV, AXON, and HON share defense and tech exposure but diverge in focus: AVAV emphasizes unmanned systems with explosive revenue growth (143% recently) yet higher volatility and execution risks from impairments; AXON targets public safety with reliable 30%+ annual expansion and recurring software revenue, trading at premium valuations; HON offers broad industrials diversification, lower growth but superior stability via spin-off catalysts. Recent momentum favors AXON and HON over AVAV's pullback, while risk profiles tilt toward HON's scale versus growth peers' sensitivity to contracts. Sector tailwinds like defense budgets boost all, but AXON's sentiment leads on consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AXON for its trend consistency, repeated earnings beats, and stable growth in public safety tech amid rising demand. While AVAV offers backlog-driven upside potential and HON provides spin-off catalysts, AXON's relative positioning and lower recent volatility suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileAXON’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and HON’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HON’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AXON’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and HON’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +6.51% price change this week, while AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +16.45% , and HON (@Industrial Conglomerates) price fluctuated -0.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Conglomerates industry was +2.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
HON is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Industrial Conglomerates (+2.03% weekly)Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).
| AVAV | AXON | HON | |
| Capitalization | 9.69B | 32.5B | 148B |
| EBITDA | 104M | 196M | 10.3B |
| Gain YTD | -20.865 | -29.067 | 20.308 |
| P/E Ratio | 149.03 | 266.79 | 33.65 |
| Revenue | 1.61B | 2.78B | 40.7B |
| Total Cash | 587M | 1.73B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 826M | 1.91B | 37B |
AVAV | AXON | HON | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 10 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 70 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 85 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 65 | 27 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 10 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HON's Valuation (61) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as AVAV (83) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (88) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that HON's stock grew similarly to AVAV’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
HON's Profit vs Risk Rating (49) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry, and is in the same range as AVAV (79) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HON's stock grew similarly to AXON’s and similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
HON's SMR Rating (26) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AVAV (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HON's stock grew somewhat faster than AXON’s and significantly faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
HON's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HON's stock grew somewhat faster than AXON’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as AVAV (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as HON (25) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to AVAV’s and similarly to HON’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | AXON | HON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 7 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 40% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 5 days ago 74% | 11 days ago 44% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 72% | 10 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 36% |
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AVAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVAV has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVAV jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | 100% | -5.23% | ||
| KTOS - AVAV | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| MRCY - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - AVAV | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| GD - AVAV | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
More | ||||
AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.49% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
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HON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HON has been loosely correlated with MMM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HON jumps, then MMM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HON | 100% | +1.82% | ||
| MMM - HON | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| BBU - HON | 49% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| CODI - HON | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| IIIN - HON | 42% Loosely correlated | -8.03% | ||
| MDU - HON | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
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