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AVAV or BWXT or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) vs. BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) vs. Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVAV shows high revenue growth from drone and defense tech but recent volatility and negative EPS pressure sentiment.
- BWXT leads YTD performance at +25% with strong nuclear backlog and earnings beats, reflecting stable government contracts.
- TDY offers diversified imaging and electronics exposure, with solid Q4 results and the highest market cap at $30B.
- All three benefit from defense sector tailwinds, but BWXT and TDY exhibit stronger profitability and lower relative volatility.
- Recent AI analyst trends favor nuclear and diversified plays amid geopolitical shifts and budget increases.
- Valuations vary: BWXT at 60x P/E, TDY at 34x, AVAV N/A due to losses.
Introduction
This comparison examines AVAV, BWXT, and TDY, three defense-oriented stocks with exposure to unmanned systems, nuclear components, and advanced imaging electronics. These companies operate in a sector buoyed by rising global defense budgets and technological innovation. Traders seeking momentum in drones and autonomy may eye AVAV, while long-term investors could favor the stability of BWXT's nuclear backlog or TDY's diversified revenue. Recent market activity highlights relative performance amid earnings anticipation and contract wins, aiding decisions on stock comparison and positioning.
AVAV Overview and Recent Performance
AeroVironment, Inc. designs and manufactures unmanned aircraft systems, loitering munitions, and counter-UAS technologies for defense applications. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced volatility, trading around $230 with a market cap of $11.5B, down from a 52-week high of $418. Revenue TTM stands at $1.37B, driven by contracts like a $97M U.S. Army award, but EPS TTM is negative at -$1.22 due to acquisition integration costs from BlueHalo. Sentiment reflects caution ahead of Q3 earnings on March 10, with shares falling steeper than the market in recent weeks amid analyst target adjustments, though drone demand supports long-term growth prospects.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWX Technologies, Inc. specializes in nuclear components for naval propulsion, commercial reactors, and government operations. Recent performance has been robust, with shares near $216 and a $19.8B market cap, up 25% YTD versus the S&P's 1.5%. Q4 2025 results showed EPS of $1.08 beating estimates, revenue at $3.2B TTM, and EPS TTM $3.58, bolstered by a $7.3B backlog and new facilities like the Oak Ridge centrifuge plant. Sentiment remains positive with Strong Buy ratings and targets to $231, fueled by nuclear energy demand and defense contracts, though recent pullbacks reflect broader market pressures.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated provides digital imaging, instrumentation, and aerospace electronics for defense and industrial uses. Shares hover at $648 with a $30.4B market cap, up 27% YTD, near a 52-week high of $693. Revenue TTM is $6.12B, EPS TTM $18.91, supported by Q4 beats and growth in digital imaging. Recent developments include the Perciva 5D camera launch and electronic warfare limiters, enhancing defense positioning. Analyst upgrades like Morgan Stanley's $680 target reflect optimism, though some segments face sales dips; overall sentiment favors its diversified exposure in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVAV focuses on agile unmanned systems with explosive revenue growth but higher risk from losses and volatility (beta 1.26). BWXT emphasizes nuclear stability, with superior YTD momentum and backlog visibility offsetting a premium 60x P/E. TDY balances via diversification, lower 34x P/E, and strong margins, though less pure defense exposure. Growth drivers contrast: drones for AVAV, naval nuclear for BWXT, imaging for TDY. Risks include execution on acquisitions (AVAV), budget dependencies, and sector slowdowns. Sentiment tilts to BWXT/TDY for consistency amid recent defense spending upticks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BWXT due to trend consistency, positive YTD outperformance, earnings beats, and nuclear catalysts positioning it strongly relative to peers. Probabilistic edge stems from backlog stability and sector tailwinds, though TDY trails closely on diversification.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBWXT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BWXT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.52% price change this week, while BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +6.79% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated +3.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.17% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| AVAV | BWXT | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 9.1B | 21B | 29.9B |
| EBITDA | 83.8M | 552M | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | -25.702 | 33.006 | 26.435 |
| P/E Ratio | 149.03 | 64.13 | 34.20 |
| Revenue | 1.37B | 3.2B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 588M | N/A | 352M |
| Total Debt | 826M | 2.02B | 2.64B |
AVAV | BWXT | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 22 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 7 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 33 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 39 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 13 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVAV's Valuation (84) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (96) and is in the same range as TDY (98). This means that AVAV's stock grew similarly to BWXT’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (33) and is significantly better than the same rating for AVAV (81). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and significantly faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's SMR Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (72) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (90). This means that BWXT's stock grew somewhat faster than TDY’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (45) and is in the same range as AVAV (65). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AVAV (16) and is in the same range as TDY (35). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to AVAV’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | BWXT | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | N/A | 1 day ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 79% | 6 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 37% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | -0.31% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.80% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.47% | ||
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TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with KEYS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then KEYS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | -1.41% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.26% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.40% | ||
| ST - TDY | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.67% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
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