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AVAV or FTAI or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. FTAI Aviation (FTAI) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVAV leads in revenue growth at 143% in recent quarters, driven by drone demand, but trades at elevated valuations with negative earnings.
- FTAI shows superior momentum with over 100% one-year gains and strong EBITDA growth, supported by aviation leasing and engine maintenance.
- TDY offers stability through diversified instrumentation and defense electronics, with consistent profitability and a moderate P/E around 36x.
- FTAI outperforms in relative strength, while AVAV and TDY benefit from defense sector tailwinds.
- All three exhibit aerospace exposure, but FTAI's commercial focus contrasts with the defense-heavy models of AVAV and TDY.
- Recent acquisitions bolster AVAV capabilities, while FTAI raised EBITDA guidance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AVAV, FTAI, and TDY, three aerospace and defense-linked companies navigating heightened geopolitical tensions and commercial aviation recovery. AVAV focuses on unmanned systems, FTAI on aviation leasing and engines, and TDY on instrumentation and electronics. Traders seeking momentum in volatile markets or investors eyeing long-term defense spending may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and valuation sensitivities amid recent market activity.
AVAV Overview and Recent Performance
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) designs and produces unmanned aircraft systems, loitering munitions, and counter-UAS technologies for government and defense applications. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced volatility, declining around 18% year-to-date amid a 29% drop over six months, though up 58% over the past year. Key influences include Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $408 million, up significantly year-over-year, with bookings of $2.1 billion and a record $1.1 billion backlog. Recent developments feature a $200 million acquisition of Empirical Systems Aerospace to enhance UAS capabilities and demonstrations of laser systems against drone threats, boosting sentiment in defense tech. Analyst targets average $317, signaling potential upside despite current negative EPS.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) owns, leases, and maintains commercial aircraft engines and airframes, focusing on CFM56 and V2500 models through its Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products segments. Recent performance has been robust, with shares delivering over 114% gains in the past year despite short-term pullbacks, reflecting strong momentum. Q4 2025 results showed adjusted EBITDA of $277 million and full-year $1.2 billion, up 38%, with guidance raised to $1.625 billion for 2026. Catalysts include expanded partnerships like with Air France, dividend hikes to $0.40 per share, and the FTAI Power initiative for aero-derivative turbines. High portfolio utilization and production ramps to 1,050 modules underpin positive sentiment, with analysts favoring its growth trajectory.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY) provides digital imaging, instrumentation, aerospace electronics, and engineered systems for industrial, defense, and scientific markets. The stock has risen about 23% over the past year, with relative stability compared to peers. Recent quarters highlight strong financials, including Q4 2025 revenue beats and product launches like Perciva 5D cameras and DDR4-X1 for space. Defense contracts for thermal imaging and loitering munitions, alongside participation in industry conferences, support steady sentiment. Diversified segments mitigate risks, with earnings growth at 15% annually and a solid balance sheet. Analysts maintain a Moderate Buy rating with targets around $657.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVAV, FTAI, and TDY share aerospace ties but diverge in focus: AVAV's pure-play UAS innovation versus FTAI's commercial leasing scale and TDY's broad instrumentation. Growth drivers contrast AVAV's 143% revenue surge and backlog from defense needs against FTAI's 38% EBITDA rise from travel recovery, while TDY grows steadily at 10%. Recent momentum favors FTAI (114% 1Y), followed by TDY (23%) and AVAV (58% 1Y but YTD down). Risks include AVAV's losses, FTAI's leverage, and TDY's supply chain exposure. Valuation sensitivity shows TDY cheapest at 36x P/E, FTAI premium at 52x amid growth, and AVAV negative earnings but 6x P/S. Market sentiment tilts to FTAI's outperformance versus peers' defense stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI due to its superior trend consistency, explosive relative momentum with over 100% annual gains, robust EBITDA catalysts, and strong positioning in aviation recovery versus AVAV's volatility and TDY's steadier but lower growth profile. Observable factors suggest a higher probability of near-term outperformance for FTAI.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFTAI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTAI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.52% price change this week, while FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) price change was +3.60% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated +3.63% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +8.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+8.81% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.17% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| AVAV | FTAI | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 9.1B | 25.8B | 29.9B |
| EBITDA | 83.8M | 1.12B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | -25.702 | 27.937 | 26.435 |
| P/E Ratio | 149.03 | 54.66 | 34.20 |
| Revenue | 1.37B | 2.51B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 588M | N/A | 352M |
| Total Debt | 826M | 3.45B | 2.64B |
AVAV | FTAI | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 66 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 16 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 10 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 40 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 100 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVAV's Valuation (84) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (85) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AVAV's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDY (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (81) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AVAV (90) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew somewhat faster than TDY’s and significantly faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDY (45) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AVAV (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
AVAV's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that AVAV's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | FTAI | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 79% | 11 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | N/A | 2 days ago 37% |
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TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with KEYS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then KEYS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | -1.41% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.26% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.40% | ||
| ST - TDY | 52% Loosely correlated | +0.67% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
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