Advertisement
AVAV or HON or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. Honeywell International (HON) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVAV reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $408 million, up 143% year-over-year, with a record $1.1 billion funded backlog, though shares have declined about 6% YTD amid recent volatility.
- HON delivered steady growth with Q4 2025 sales up 6% to $9.8 billion and raised FY2026 guidance, supporting shares up around 26% YTD and strong sector diversification.
- TDG posted Q1 FY2026 net sales of $2.285 billion, up 14%, beating estimates and raising full-year outlook, with shares down modestly YTD but high margins intact.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but HON's conglomerate stability contrasts AVAV's growth volatility and TDG's aftermarket focus.
- Recent earnings momentum favors TDG and AVAV, while HON offers lower relative valuation and broader exposure.
- Market caps: AVAV ~$11B, HON ~$150B (implied), TDG ~$73B.
Introduction
AeroVironment (AVAV), Honeywell International (HON), and TransDigm Group (TDG) operate in the aerospace and defense sector, benefiting from rising global defense spending and commercial aviation recovery. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning in the current environment of geopolitical tensions and supply chain stabilization. Traders seeking high-growth defense plays may eye AVAV, while long-term investors might prefer HON's diversification or TDG's aftermarket resilience. Relative performance highlights trade-offs in volatility, valuation, and catalysts amid broader industrials momentum.
AVAV Overview and Recent Performance
AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) is a defense technology leader specializing in unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), loitering munitions like Switchblade, counter-UAS, and directed energy solutions across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains. In recent market activity, the stock has shown volatility, down approximately 6% YTD after peaking near $418 in late 2025, trading around $222. Q3 FY2026 results highlighted explosive revenue growth to $408 million (up 143% YoY) and a record $1.1 billion funded backlog from strong demand in autonomous systems. Sentiment has been influenced by robust bookings of $2.1 billion, offset by a $151 million goodwill impairment and net loss, alongside stop-work orders on space programs. Geopolitical demand for drones bolsters long-term positioning, though execution risks temper near-term gains.
HON Overview and Recent Performance
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) is a diversified conglomerate with key segments in aerospace technologies, industrial automation, building automation, and energy solutions. Shares have advanced about 26% YTD, trading near $241, reflecting resilience amid market rotations. Recent quarters showed Q4 2025 sales of $9.8 billion (up 6% YoY), adjusted EPS of $2.59 beating estimates, and a record $37 billion backlog. Growth drivers include 12% organic expansion in aerospace from commercial aftermarket and defense, plus spin-off preparations for its Aerospace unit in Q3 2026. Sentiment benefits from FY2026 guidance of $38.8-$39.8 billion sales (3-6% organic growth) and stable margins, though impairments slightly pressured GAAP results. Broad exposure mitigates sector-specific risks.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components for commercial and military platforms, organized into power & control, airframe, and non-aviation segments. The stock trades around $1,278, down about 6% YTD from peaks over $1,600. Q1 FY2026 net sales rose 14% to $2.285 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up 13% to $1.197 billion, surpassing estimates. Key influences include strong commercial OEM and aftermarket demand, recent acquisitions like Jet Parts Engineering, and raised FY2026 guidance to $9.85-$10.04 billion sales. High margins persist despite leverage, with sentiment supported by defense exposure, though valuation sensitivity weighs on momentum.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases over 25 top-performing AI trading bots out of hundreds available, meticulously curated by AI analysis for suitability in current market conditions like volatility in industrials and defense. These bots trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto using diverse strategies—AI/ML signal agents for real-time alerts, virtual agents with customizable risk management, and brokerage agents—on timeframes from 5min to 60min. Performance stats shine: annualized returns from +13% to +216%, win rates 53-95%, profit factors 1.57-25.83. Aerospace-themed bots excel, e.g., Minerals/Oil/Aerospace (25 tickers, 15min) at +133% annualized (62% win rate), AeroDefense ITA (60min) +32% (80% win rate). Explore these adaptive tools to potentially enhance your edge in dynamic markets—visit Trending AI Robots today.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AVAV, HON, and TDG share aerospace/defense exposure but diverge in models: AVAV's niche UAS focus drives hyper-growth (143% revenue surge) versus HON's stable conglomerate (6% sales growth, $37B backlog) and TDG's proprietary aftermarket (14% sales, 50%+ margins). Recent momentum favors TDG's beats and guidance raises over AVAV's backlog strength amid impairments; HON leads YTD returns. Risks: AVAV execution/geopolitics, TDG leverage, HON spin-off transition. Valuations reflect: AVAV elevated EV/EBITDA ~135x on losses, TDG ~21x premium for margins, HON reasonable ~22x. Sentiment tilts to defense catalysts, with HON least volatile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TDG for its consistent earnings beats, raised guidance, high-margin aftermarket stability, and defense/commercial balance amid sector tailwinds. While AVAV shows superior backlog growth and HON offers diversification, TDG's trend consistency and catalysts position it probabilistically stronger in the near term, per observable momentum and relative valuation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHON’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HON’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HON’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +6.51% price change this week, while HON (@Industrial Conglomerates) price change was -0.63% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Conglomerates industry was +2.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
HON is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Industrial Conglomerates (+2.03% weekly)Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).
| AVAV | HON | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 9.69B | 148B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 104M | 10.3B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | -20.865 | 20.308 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 149.03 | 33.65 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 1.61B | 40.7B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 587M | N/A | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 826M | 37B | 30B |
AVAV | HON | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 64 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 49 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 26 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 27 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 25 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 75 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HON's Valuation (61) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as TDG (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AVAV (83) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HON's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HON (49) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (79) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to HON’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
TDG's SMR Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HON (26) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AVAV (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to HON’s and significantly faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
HON's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HON's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
AVAV's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HON (25) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AVAV's stock grew similarly to HON’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | HON | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 43% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 11 days ago 44% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 61% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SLX | 101.52 | 1.91 | +1.92% |
| VanEck Steel ETF | |||
| EEM | 63.64 | 1.19 | +1.91% |
| iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | |||
| OUSA | 58.05 | 0.76 | +1.32% |
| ALPS O'Shares US Quality Div ETF | |||
| XTJA | 32.79 | 0.21 | +0.65% |
| Innovator US Equity Acclrtd Pls ETF Jan | |||
| TOCT | 26.84 | 0.09 | +0.32% |
| Innovator Equity DefinedPrtETF-2YTOc2027 | |||
AVAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVAV has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVAV jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | 100% | -5.23% | ||
| KTOS - AVAV | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| MRCY - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - AVAV | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| GD - AVAV | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
More | ||||
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | +5.35% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.88% | ||
More | ||||