Advertisement
AVAV or HWM or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AeroVironment (AVAV) vs. Howmet Aerospace (HWM) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVAV shows volatile recent performance amid contract wins like $97M Army deal but faces SCAR program uncertainty, with YTD down amid high valuations.
- HWM leads in momentum with strong Q4 earnings beat, 14.6% revenue growth, and robust aerospace demand, posting significant YTD gains.
- TDY delivers steady growth via Q4 EPS beat and defense electronics strength, benefiting from diversified exposure and acquisitions.
- Sector tailwinds in defense spending favor all three, but HWM exhibits superior relative momentum and stability.
- AI bots on Tickeron highlight aerospace strategies with up to 72% annualized returns, underscoring sector potential.
- Valuations reflect growth: AVAV elevated P/S, HWM high P/E on earnings trajectory, TDY balanced at ~33x trailing.
Introduction
This comparison examines AVAV, HWM, and TDY, key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid rising global tensions and sustained U.S. military budgets. These stocks offer exposure to unmanned systems, engine components, and electronics, respectively. Traders seeking momentum in defense tech and investors eyeing long-term sector growth will find value in analyzing their recent price behavior, earnings momentum, and relative positioning in a market favoring advanced technologies.
AVAV Overview and Recent Performance
AeroVironment (AVAV) designs and produces unmanned aircraft systems, loitering munitions, and related defense technologies, serving U.S. military and allies. In recent market activity, the stock has experienced volatility, declining amid concerns over the U.S. Space Force's SCAR program renegotiation, despite a funded backlog over $1 billion. Key developments include a $97.4 million Army contract for sensor testing and a $186 million Switchblade order, boosting revenue visibility. Sentiment reflects integration challenges from acquisitions like BlueHalo, with Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue up significantly but EPS pressures contributing to a recent pullback from 52-week highs near $418.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) supplies engineered components like jet engine castings and fastening systems for aerospace and transportation. Recent weeks have seen resilient performance, with shares maintaining gains after Q4 2025 earnings where EPS of $1.05 beat estimates and revenue rose 14.6% to $2.17 billion, driven by commercial aerospace (up 13%) and defense growth. Analysts project continued expansion with 2026 revenue guidance at $9.0-9.2 billion. Sentiment remains positive on strong backlogs and sector demand, though elevated P/E reflects growth pricing, supporting outperformance versus broader markets.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) provides instrumentation, digital imaging, and aerospace electronics for defense and industrial applications. In recent market activity, shares have shown stability post-Q4 2025 results, with EPS of $6.30 topping estimates and revenue up 7.3% to $1.61 billion, led by defense electronics. Developments include product launches in electronic warfare and wireless testing, alongside acquisitions bolstering sensing capabilities. Sentiment benefits from diversified revenue and rising defense budgets, though supply chain issues temper gains, with YTD performance reflecting consistent order growth.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates 25 top-performing AI trading bots from over 351 available, each trading thousands of tickers across diverse strategies like swing trading, trend following, and volatility plays on timeframes from 5min to 60min. Selected by AI for suitability in current volatility, standout bots include Aerospace HWM (5min) at +57% annualized return, 69% win rate, 2.17 profit factor; Aerospace GE (15min) at +72% return, 80% win rate, 3.51 profit factor; and Aerospace & Defense ITA (60min) at +30% return, 79% win rate, 3.29 profit factor. Win rates span 60-80%, profit factors 2-3.5, with low drawdowns. These bots offer real-time signals for copy trading. Explore Tickeron’s AI tools to enhance your strategy in dynamic markets like aerospace.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AVAV, HWM, and TDY operate in aerospace/defense but differ in focus: AVAV on drones/munitions, HWM on components, TDY on electronics/imaging. Growth drivers include defense budgets for all, with HWM tied to commercial aviation recovery and TDY to unmanned systems. Recent momentum favors HWM (strong YTD, earnings beats) over TDY (steady) and volatile AVAV. Risks: contract uncertainties for AVAV, supply chains for HWM/TDY. Valuations show AVAV premium P/S, HWM ~64x P/E on trajectory, TDY ~34x. Sentiment strongest for HWM amid catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HWM due to consistent trend strength, earnings stability, and superior relative performance in recent weeks, bolstered by aerospace bots showing high returns on similar tickers. TDY offers balanced positioning, while AVAV lags on volatility. Probable outperformance hinges on sector catalysts like defense spending.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVAV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHWM’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AVAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVAV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AVAV (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +6.51% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.20% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVAV is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| AVAV | HWM | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 9.69B | 102B | 29.4B |
| EBITDA | 104M | 2.27B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | -20.865 | 24.786 | 24.494 |
| P/E Ratio | 149.03 | 68.92 | 33.68 |
| Revenue | 1.61B | 8.25B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 587M | 742M | 352M |
| Total Debt | 826M | 3.21B | 2.64B |
AVAV | HWM | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 26 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 3 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 31 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 10 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HWM's Valuation (73) in the null industry is in the same range as AVAV (83) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to AVAV’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the null industry is in the same range as TDY (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AVAV (79) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and significantly faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew somewhat faster than TDY’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's Price Growth Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as TDY (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVAV (65) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than AVAV’s over the last 12 months.
AVAV's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (22) in the null industry, and is in the same range as TDY (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AVAV's stock grew similarly to HWM’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
| AVAV | HWM | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | N/A | 3 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 6 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 51% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 43% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FINT | 35.31 | 0.44 | +1.25% |
| Frontier Asset Total International Equity ETF | |||
| AVLC | 84.18 | 0.96 | +1.15% |
| Avantis U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF | |||
| NVBT | 38.08 | 0.31 | +0.81% |
| AllianzIM US Equity Buffer10 Nov ETF | |||
| FXE | 108.65 | -0.08 | -0.07% |
| Invesco CurrencyShares® Euro Currency | |||
| GMEY | 33.09 | -0.96 | -2.81% |
| YieldMax GME Option Income Strategy ETF | |||
AVAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVAV has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVAV jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AVAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAV | 100% | -5.23% | ||
| KTOS - AVAV | 59% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| MRCY - AVAV | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - AVAV | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| GD - AVAV | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
More | ||||
HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
TDY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDY has been loosely correlated with VNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDY jumps, then VNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDY | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| VNT - TDY | 50% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
| KEYS - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| MKSI - TDY | 48% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| ESE - TDY | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| GRMN - TDY | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
More | ||||