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AVGO or MTSI or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Broadcom Inc (AVGO) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc (MTSI) vs. NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVGO leads with a massive $1.57T market cap and strong AI-driven momentum, reporting robust earnings and a new 2nm chip launch amid semiconductor sector volatility.
- MTSI shows impressive YTD gains of over 21% but faces recent sharp declines alongside peers due to supply chain concerns in analog semiconductors.
- NXPI offers relative value with a lower trailing P/E of 25.38, though softer Q1 outlook has pressured shares amid mixed automotive and industrial demand.
- All three operate in high-growth semiconductor niches—AI/networking for AVGO, RF/microwave for MTSI, and automotive/IoT for NXPI—with recent market activity reflecting broader sector rotations.
- Relative performance highlights AVGO's long-term outperformance (85% 1-year return) versus NXPI's stability and MTSI's volatility.
- Valuation sensitivity varies: AVGO at 69x trailing P/E, MTSI at 93x, NXPI at 25x, influencing trader preferences in current conditions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AVGO, MTSI, and NXPI, three key players in the semiconductor sector amid surging demand for AI, data centers, automotive electrification, and RF technologies. Traders seeking exposure to high-growth niches and investors tracking relative performance in volatile market conditions will find value here. Recent sector rotations, influenced by earnings beats, supply chain fears, and AI catalysts, underscore contrasts in momentum, valuation, and risk, aiding decisions on positioning in today's environment.
AVGO Overview and Recent Performance
Broadcom Inc (AVGO) designs and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software, with a strong focus on networking, AI accelerators, and custom silicon for data centers. Trading around $330 with a $1.57T market cap, it boasts a trailing P/E of 69 and forward P/E of 31. In recent market activity, shares have navigated volatility, showing resilience post-earnings with adjusted EPS of $2.05 and revenue of $19.31B, beating estimates. Sentiment has been bolstered by a new 2nm chip launch and projections for AI revenue exceeding $100B by 2027, driving outperformance versus the S&P 500 over multi-year periods despite YTD softness.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc (MTSI) specializes in analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom, defense, and data centers. At about $208 and a $15.6B market cap, its trailing P/E stands at 93, reflecting growth premiums. Recent weeks saw sharp declines amid broader semiconductor selloffs tied to supply chain fears, with shares dropping over 9% in a session. However, Q1 FY2026 revenue hit a record $272M, fueled by industrial/defense and data center growth, alongside collaborations on active copper cables, supporting YTD gains exceeding 21% and 99% over one year.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) delivers mixed-signal semiconductors for automotive, industrial IoT, and secure connectivity. Priced near $202 with a $51B market cap, it trades at a trailing P/E of 25 and forward P/E of 15, appearing relatively attractive. Recent performance reflects caution, with shares falling 8% post-Q4 results despite a revenue beat to $3.34B, due to a softer Q1 outlook amid cyclical pressures. Broader improvements in automotive and industrial segments, plus analyst price target hikes, have tempered declines, aligning with modest YTD gains versus peers' volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVGO, MTSI, and NXPI share semiconductor exposure but diverge in business models: AVGO's scale in AI custom chips contrasts MTSI's niche RF/analog focus and NXPI's automotive/IoT emphasis. Growth drivers include AI/data centers for AVGO and MTSI, versus cyclical recovery in NXPI's end markets. Recent momentum favors AVGO long-term (85% 1Y return), with MTSI volatile (99% 1Y but recent drops) and NXPI stable yet lagging. Risk factors encompass supply chain disruptions hitting all, geopolitical tensions for NXPI, and high valuations for AVGO/MTSI. NXPI offers lower sector beta, while sentiment tilts toward AVGO's catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AVGO due to its trend consistency in AI infrastructure, superior relative positioning with strong earnings momentum, and catalysts like expanding custom silicon demand. While MTSI shows high growth potential and NXPI stability, AVGO exhibits higher probability of outperformance in prevailing conditions, based on observable multi-period returns and sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVGO’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AVGO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVGO’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVGO’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AVGO (@Semiconductors) experienced а +5.24% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.62% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +6.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +26.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVGO is expected to report earnings on Jun 04, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.18% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AVGO | MTSI | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 1.89T | 21.1B | 55.9B |
| EBITDA | 37.3B | 259M | 3.96B |
| Gain YTD | 15.709 | 64.106 | 2.501 |
| P/E Ratio | 77.90 | 127.19 | 27.84 |
| Revenue | 68.3B | 1.02B | 12.3B |
| Total Cash | 14.2B | 768M | 2.91B |
| Total Debt | 66.1B | 531M | 12.2B |
AVGO | MTSI | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 29 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 7 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 59 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 36 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 45 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AVGO (74) and is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (83). This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than AVGO’s and significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AVGO (10) and is significantly better than the same rating for NXPI (77). This means that MTSI's stock grew similarly to AVGO’s and significantly faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
AVGO's SMR Rating (28) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NXPI (43) and is in the same range as MTSI (59). This means that AVGO's stock grew similarly to NXPI’s and similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
AVGO's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (50). This means that AVGO's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (45) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVGO (63). This means that NXPI's stock grew similarly to MTSI’s and somewhat faster than AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
| AVGO | MTSI | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 56% | 23 days ago 70% | 20 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 85% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 63% |
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +2.46% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 82% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| ON - NXPI | 79% Closely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +1.96% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +2.07% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | -1.66% | ||
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