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AVGO or NVDA or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) vs. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AVGO, NVDA, and TSM have faced recent market pressure, with YTD declines around 7-11%, amid broader semiconductor sector volatility.
- TSM leads YTD performance with positive gains earlier in the year, supported by strong AI chip demand and revenue growth projections exceeding 30%.
- All three benefit from AI infrastructure expansion, with NVDA dominating GPUs, AVGO advancing custom AI chips and networking, and TSM as the key foundry.
- Valuations show TSM at the lowest forward P/E around 24x, compared to NVDA at 35x and AVGO near 60x trailing.
- Recent earnings beats across the board highlight sustained AI revenue acceleration, though geopolitical risks weigh on sentiment for TSM.
- Long-term returns favor AVGO and NVDA with 1-year gains over 45-63%, underscoring relative strength in AI ecosystems.
Introduction
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) represent pivotal players in the semiconductor industry, particularly within the AI supply chain. NVDA leads in graphics processing units essential for AI training, AVGO excels in custom AI accelerators and networking solutions, and TSM manufactures advanced chips for both. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and growth drivers amid surging AI demand. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing sector exposure will find value in understanding their relative strengths, risks, and AI-driven trajectories in today's volatile environment.
AVGO Overview and Recent Performance
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) designs semiconductors and infrastructure software, with a growing emphasis on AI networking and custom chips. In recent market activity, shares traded around $310, reflecting YTD declines of about 10% amid sector-wide pullbacks. The stock experienced volatility, dropping nearly 3% in a single session, influenced by broader concerns over AI spending and valuation pressures. Key developments include volume shipping of the Tomahawk 6 chip for AI networks and a $100 billion AI revenue forecast, bolstering sentiment despite EU antitrust scrutiny. Fiscal Q1 earnings beat estimates with AI sales nearly doubling, supporting 50%+ growth projections, though high debt and premium valuations temper enthusiasm.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) dominates the GPU market critical for AI data centers, alongside networking and software solutions. Shares hovered near $173 recently, with YTD losses around 7-9% amid market weakness and geopolitical tensions. Recent sessions saw drops over 3%, driven by concerns over AI leadership despite strong demand signals like Chinese approval for H200 sales and a major Amazon deal for 1 million chips by 2027. Q4 earnings showcased blowout results with networking revenue up 263%, though post-earnings dips highlighted high expectations. Analyst upgrades and fair value estimates near $269 underscore long-term AI momentum, balanced against volatility risks.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM), the world's leading contract chipmaker, produces advanced nodes for AI leaders like NVDA and AVGO. Trading around $329, shares posted early YTD gains of up to 10% before recent 2-3% dips tied to geopolitical risks in key shipping routes. Performance reflects robust AI accelerator demand, with Q4 profits jumping 35% and 2026 capex signaling capacity expansion. Earnings growth forecasts exceed 30%, supported by 60% CAGR in AI revenue through 2029, though Taiwan Strait tensions influence investor caution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AVGO, NVDA, and TSM share AI exposure but diverge in models: NVDA's GPU dominance drives highest revenue ($216B) and margins (60%+), while AVGO leverages custom ASICs and software for diversified growth, and TSM enables both as the foundry with scale ($3.8T revenue equivalent). Recent momentum shows TSM resilient YTD, versus peers' dips, amid 25-50% AI revenue surges. Risks include TSM's geopolitics, NVDA's competition, and AVGO's debt. Valuation sensitivity favors TSM (24x forward P/E), trading below peers amid similar growth. Sentiment tilts toward NVDA for innovation, balanced by AVGO's stability and TSM's foundational role.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM for its trend consistency, attractive valuation, and central positioning in AI chip production, with 30%+ growth prospects and lower relative risks. While NVDA offers superior catalysts via GPU demand and AVGO stability through diversification, TSM's observable factors suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVGO’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AVGO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVGO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVGO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AVGO (@Semiconductors) experienced а +9.42% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.92% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVGO is expected to report earnings on Jun 04, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AVGO | NVDA | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 1.93T | 4.9T | 1.67T |
| EBITDA | 37.3B | 145B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 17.710 | 8.145 | 22.602 |
| P/E Ratio | 79.25 | 41.16 | 31.83 |
| Revenue | 68.3B | 216B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 14.2B | 62.6B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 66.1B | 11B | N/A |
AVGO | NVDA | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 21 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 8 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 13 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 16 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 43 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (45) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AVGO (75) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (78). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to AVGO’s and somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (9) and is in the same range as AVGO (9). This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (26) and is in the same range as AVGO (28). This means that NVDA's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and similarly to AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
AVGO's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (16) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (40). This means that AVGO's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and somewhat faster than TSM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (43) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AVGO (63). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to NVDA’s and somewhat faster than AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
| AVGO | NVDA | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 82% | 11 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 56% | 20 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
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TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | +1.97% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.47% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +4.67% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 71% Closely correlated | +1.68% | ||
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