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AXON or BA or FTAI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Boeing (BA) vs. FTAI Aviation (FTAI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI leads with strong YTD gains around 17%, driven by aviation leasing demand, outpacing AXON's 13% and BA's 10% amid sector recovery.
- AXON shows robust revenue growth from software and devices but trades at a premium P/E over 300, reflecting high growth expectations in public safety tech.
- BA benefits from a massive $682B backlog and defense contracts, though recent volatility stems from supply chain issues and certification delays.
- FTAI exhibits explosive multi-year returns (over 800% in 3 years) with a more reasonable P/E near 50, highlighting aviation asset strength.
- All three operate in aerospace/defense-adjacent spaces, but FTAI and BA tie closely to commercial aviation cycles, while AXON diversifies via SaaS.
- Market caps vary: BA at $153B dwarfs AXON ($40B) and FTAI ($24B), influencing liquidity and volatility.
Introduction
This comparison examines AXON, BA, and FTAI, three stocks spanning public safety technology, commercial aerospace manufacturing, and aviation leasing. Investors tracking industrials and defense sectors may find value in their relative performance amid rising global demand for air travel, security solutions, and defense spending. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, with aviation recovery boosting leasing and manufacturing while tech-driven public safety faces valuation scrutiny. This analysis aids traders evaluating stock comparison, relative performance, and market positioning in the current environment.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) develops public safety technologies, including TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software. Operating in Software & Services and Connected Devices segments, it serves law enforcement globally from Scottsdale, Arizona. Recent market activity shows mixed results: shares around $496 with a $40B market cap and P/E exceeding 300, reflecting premium growth pricing. In recent weeks, AXON rose nearly 29% monthly on device and software demand but pulled back from 52-week highs near $886, down 45% from peak and 14% YTD. Q4 2025 revenue hit $797M (up 39%), with 2026 guidance for 27-30% growth and strong bookings from TASER 10, Axon Body 4, and AI tools boosting sentiment, though high valuation tempers enthusiasm.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
The Boeing Company (BA) designs, manufactures, and services commercial jetliners, defense products, and space systems across Commercial Airplanes, Defense, Space & Security, and Global Services units. Headquartered near Washington, D.C., it employs over 170,000. Shares trade near $195 with a $153B market cap and P/E around 79. Recent performance reflects recovery: up 13% in three months on backlog growth to $682B and orders like 40 787s from Sun PhuQuoc Airways, though down 20% monthly amid supply issues and NASA role concerns. YTD gains near 10% lag peers, with FAA progress on 777-9 certification and defense wins like $4.7B Apache helicopters supporting stability despite volatility.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation (FTAI) owns, leases, and maintains commercial jet engines, focusing on CFM56 and V2500 via Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products segments. Based in New York, it facilitates MRO for airlines. Shares hover at $230 with a $24B market cap and P/E near 50. Recent weeks show strength: YTD up 17%, 1-year 117%, 3-year over 800%, despite 20% monthly dip post-short-seller probe. Q4 revenue grew 33%, with 5-year sales CAGR at 39% from engine demand tied to Boeing/Airbus fleets, positioning it well in aviation upcycle.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON, BA, and FTAI share industrials exposure but diverge in models: AXON's SaaS recurring revenue (125% retention) contrasts BA's manufacturing scale and FTAI's asset leasing. Growth drivers include AXON's AI evidence tools, BA's $682B backlog, and FTAI's CFM56 focus amid travel rebound. Recent momentum favors FTAI (117% 1-year) over BA (14%) and AXON (-11%), but AXON leads stability via software. Risks: AXON's valuation sensitivity, BA's regulatory hurdles, FTAI's short interest. Sectors overlap in defense/aviation, with FTAI most cyclical, BA diversified, sentiment tilting to leasing upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI for superior trend consistency, YTD momentum (17%), and aviation catalysts like engine demand, positioning it ahead of AXON's high-valuation pullback and BA's volatility. Observable factors suggest higher near-term probability of outperformance, though aviation cycles warrant monitoring.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and FTAI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and FTAI’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -16.20% price change this week, while BA (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +4.52% , and FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) price fluctuated +3.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.47%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +8.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
BA is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.88% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+8.81% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
| AXON | BA | FTAI | |
| Capitalization | 27.8B | 171B | 25.8B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 7.36B | 1.12B |
| Gain YTD | -39.088 | 0.235 | 27.937 |
| P/E Ratio | 229.10 | 87.75 | 54.66 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 89.5B | 2.51B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 29.4B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 54.4B | 3.45B |
AXON | BA | FTAI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 10 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 100 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 10 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 51 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 73 | 100 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BA's Valuation (85) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (85) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as AXON (87) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that BA's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (75) in the Biotechnology industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew somewhat faster than AXON’s and significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BA (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to BA’s and significantly faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BA (51) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (66) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to BA’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Biotechnology industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BA (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (100) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that AXON's stock grew somewhat faster than BA’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | BA | FTAI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 89% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 25 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 65% | 11 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
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AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | -1.53% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.05% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.83% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +4.18% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -4.55% | ||
More | ||||
BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with SARO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then SARO could also see price increases.