Advertisement
AXON or BWXT or KTOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON boasts 39% annual recurring revenue growth and a record $14.4 billion backlog, guiding for 27-30% revenue expansion in 2026 amid AI-driven public safety demand.
- BWXT reported a 50% backlog surge to $7.3 billion, fueled by naval nuclear and commercial awards, with 2026 guidance for ~$3.75 billion revenue and EPS of $4.55-$4.70.
- KTOS leads YTD performance at +25% and 1-year gains near 200%, supported by counter-UAS contracts and a $1.17 billion stock offering to scale drone and hypersonic production.
- All three benefit from defense and security tailwinds, but KTOS shows strongest momentum while BWXT offers backlog stability.
- Recent volatility affects AXON (-9% YTD) and KTOS post-offering, contrasting BWXT's steady gains.
Introduction
Axon Enterprise (AXON), BWX Technologies (BWXT), and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) operate in the defense and security sector, focusing on public safety tech, nuclear components, and unmanned systems respectively. This comparison analyzes their recent market positioning amid rising geopolitical tensions and defense spending. Traders seeking growth in AI-enhanced law enforcement, nuclear propulsion, or drone technologies, and investors eyeing relative performance in aerospace and defense, will find insights into momentum, backlogs, and catalysts driving these stocks.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) develops TASER devices, body cameras, and AI-powered software for law enforcement. Recent market activity shows mixed performance, with shares up 28.6% over the past month but down about 9% YTD amid valuation concerns, trading around $507. Strong fundamentals persist, including 39.4% annual recurring revenue growth and a record $14.4 billion backlog. Q4 2025 revenue hit $797 million, up 39% year-over-year, driven by AI tools like Draft One and software adoption. Sentiment reflects optimism from 2026 guidance of 27-30% revenue growth, tempered by volatility and premium multiples.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWX Technologies (BWXT) manufactures nuclear components for naval propulsion, reactors, and medical isotopes. Shares have advanced steadily, up over 100% in the past year and around 20% YTD near $207, outperforming peers on nuclear demand. Recent quarters featured Q4 2025 revenue of $886 million and full-year $3.2 billion, with backlog surging 50% to $7.3 billion from multi-year naval and commercial nuclear awards. Performance draws from acquisitions like Kinectrics and 2026 guidance targeting $3.75 billion revenue, reflecting robust government and clean energy exposure.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) specializes in unmanned drones, hypersonics, and counter-UAS systems. Shares lead with +25% YTD and nearly 200% 1-year gains to about $95, though recent volatility followed a $1.17 billion stock offering at $84 to fund scaling. Key drivers include a $7 million counter-UAS contract and drone production wins, bolstering a $1.57 billion backlog. Sentiment shifts on contract momentum in hypersonics and C5ISR, balanced by dilution risks, amid strong demand for affordable autonomous tech.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. With over 351 AI bots employing diverse strategies—from signal agents without risk management to virtual and brokerage agents with customizable balances and timeframes like 5min, 15min, or 60min—AI analysis selects the 25 most promising for current conditions based on performance in key industries. These bots have delivered standout results, such as up to 279% annualized returns in top agents and win rates exceeding 85% in pattern detection, powering copy trading for users. Explore Trending AI Robots to identify bots suited to your style and market outlook.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON, BWXT, and KTOS share defense exposure but diverge in models: AXON's SaaS-heavy public safety yields high recurring revenue (39% growth) versus BWXT's stable nuclear government contracts and KTOS's agile drones. Growth drivers include AXON AI catalysts, BWXT backlog visibility, and KTOS unmanned momentum. Recent performance favors KTOS (200% 1Y), but BWXT shows lower volatility. Risks encompass AXON valuations, BWXT budget reliance, and KTOS dilution. Sector sentiment tilts positive on spending, with trade-offs in stability versus upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KTOS due to superior trend consistency, with 25% YTD and nearly 200% 1-year gains outpacing peers, alongside fresh counter-UAS contracts and capital for drone scaling. Relative positioning in high-growth unmanned systems offers probabilistic edge over AXON's volatility and BWXT's steadier nuclear base, based on observable momentum and catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBWXT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and KTOS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BWXT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and KTOS’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +16.45% price change this week, while BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +2.71% , and KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +0.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.22% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AXON | BWXT | KTOS | |
| Capitalization | 32.5B | 20.9B | 13.1B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 552M | 103M |
| Gain YTD | -29.067 | 36.603 | -6.481 |
| P/E Ratio | 267.38 | 63.75 | 537.15 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 3.2B | 1.35B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | N/A | 561M |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 2.02B | 146M |
AXON | BWXT | KTOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 7 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 33 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 40 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 13 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AXON's Valuation (88) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as KTOS (94) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as BWXT (95) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's SMR Rating (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (89) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew somewhat faster than AXON’s and somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as BWXT (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as KTOS (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to BWXT’s and similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | BWXT | KTOS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 69% | 6 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 69% | 11 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 78% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPGM | 82.55 | 1.07 | +1.31% |
| State Street® SPDR® Ptf MSCIGlbStkMktETF | |||
| APRT | 44.64 | 0.24 | +0.54% |
| AllianzIM US Equity Buffer10 Apr ETF | |||
| YFFI | 10.16 | 0.05 | +0.49% |
| Indexperts Yield Focused Fxd Inc ETF | |||
| LINT | 75.82 | -0.08 | -0.11% |
| Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF | |||
| TZA | 5.08 | -0.35 | -6.45% |
| Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF | |||
AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.49% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
More | ||||
BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | +2.16% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.82% | ||
More | ||||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
More | ||||