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AXON or HII or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON shows strong recent gains of around 14-28% in the past month, driven by AI expansions in public safety, but trades at a premium valuation with P/E over 300x.
- HII delivers robust YTD performance of +22% and 1-year returns exceeding 110%, fueled by naval shipbuilding contracts and a $55B backlog.
- TDY leads YTD momentum at +25-28% with 30%+ 1-year gains, supported by defense acquisitions and imaging tech amid rising sector demand.
- All three benefit from aerospace and defense tailwinds, but HII and TDY offer more attractive valuations (P/E ~27x and ~34x) compared to AXON.
- Recent market activity highlights HII's stability from government contracts, while TDY gains from diversified catalysts in instrumentation and electronics.
- Sentiment favors defense pure-plays like HII for consistent backlog growth over AXON's higher-risk software pivot.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AXON, HII, and TDY—key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid heightened geopolitical tensions and technological advancements. Investors and traders interested in public safety tech, naval shipbuilding, and instrumentation will find value here, as these stocks reflect broader trends in defense spending and AI integration. Recent market activity underscores their relative performance, valuation sensitivities, and growth drivers, offering insights into sector positioning without speculative forecasts.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) develops public safety technologies, including TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software. Operating in Software & Services and Connected Devices segments, the company focuses on AI-driven solutions for law enforcement. In recent weeks, AXON stock has risen approximately 14-28% over the past month, buoyed by Q4 revenue of $797 million (up 39% YoY) and upbeat 2026 guidance of 27-30% growth. Sentiment has been influenced by expansions in AI tools like Draft One and strong demand for body cameras and drones, though valuation concerns persist with a P/E ratio exceeding 300x amid rising costs.
HII Overview and Recent Performance
Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) is the largest U.S. military shipbuilder, specializing in nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, submarines, and non-nuclear vessels through its Ingalls, Newport News, and Mission Technologies segments. Recent market activity has propelled HII shares with YTD gains of +22% and over 110% in the past year, driven by a record $55 billion backlog and new naval contracts. Key developments include labor agreements and apprentice programs supporting shipbuilding demand, fostering positive sentiment despite sector supply chain pressures.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) provides instrumentation, digital imaging, aerospace electronics, and engineered systems across defense, industrial, and marine markets. The stock has exhibited strong momentum with YTD returns of +25-28% and 30%+ over the past year, aided by strategic acquisitions and elevated U.S. defense spending. Recent product launches like wideband limiters and revenue growth from infrared sensors and unmanned systems have bolstered performance, though supply constraints pose ongoing challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON, HII, and TDY operate in overlapping defense ecosystems but diverge in business models: AXON emphasizes SaaS and hardware for public safety with high growth (30%+ revenue forecasts) but elevated volatility and P/E ratios over 300x; HII relies on long-cycle shipbuilding contracts for stable backlog visibility (~$55B), trading at ~27x P/E with lower beta; TDY diversifies via imaging and electronics at ~34x P/E, balancing defense catalysts with industrial exposure. Recent momentum favors TDY (YTD +28%) and HII (+22%), over AXON's mixed monthly gains amid valuation debates. Risk factors include government budget reliance for all, with AXON facing competition in AI software and HII/TDY exposed to supply chains. Sentiment tilts toward HII's naval purity and TDY's acquisitions for relative stability versus AXON's premium pricing.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors HII due to its superior trend consistency from a massive backlog, stable defense catalysts like naval contracts, and attractive relative positioning at lower valuations amid sector tailwinds. While TDY shows strong momentum and AXON offers AI-driven upside, HII's lower risk profile and YTD outperformance suggest higher probability of sustained gains in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHII’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HII’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HII’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HII’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -14.89% price change this week, while HII (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +1.70% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated +5.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.05%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +1.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.88%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
HII is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.33% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+1.53% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| AXON | HII | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 28.2B | 15.9B | 30.3B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 1.21B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | -38.139 | 18.984 | 28.244 |
| P/E Ratio | 232.67 | 26.21 | 34.69 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 12.5B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 774M | 352M |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 2.92B | 2.64B |
AXON | HII | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 70 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 17 Undervalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 28 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 59 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 40 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 14 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HII's Valuation (17) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for AXON (88) in the Biotechnology industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HII's stock grew significantly faster than AXON’s and significantly faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (29) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (74) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
HII's SMR Rating (59) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
HII's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (45) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that HII's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as HII (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDY (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to HII’s and similarly to TDY’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | HII | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 50% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 65% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 53% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 69% | 11 days ago 54% | 11 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 50% | 2 days ago 38% |
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AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | -10.27% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | -4.07% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -9.70% | ||
More | ||||
HII and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HII has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HII jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HII | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HII | 100% | -1.94% | ||
| LHX - HII | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| GD - HII | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| KTOS - HII | 55% Loosely correlated | -8.23% | ||
| CW - HII | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.88% | ||
| KRMN - HII | 51% Loosely correlated | -4.02% | ||
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