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AXON or HON or LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Honeywell International (HON) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON has experienced significant volatility in recent market activity, declining over 20% in the past month amid cost pressures, contrasting with its strong long-term growth in public safety tech.
- HON maintains steady performance with YTD gains around 15%, bolstered by defense deals and AI security expansions, offering diversified exposure across aerospace and automation.
- LMT leads with robust YTD returns near 25% and 39% over one year, driven by defense production ramps and government contracts in a geopolitically tense environment.
- All three stocks trade at premium valuations—AXON P/E over 280, HON around 32, LMT near 28—but LMT shows the strongest relative momentum.
- Market caps exceed $33B for AXON, $142B for HON, and $139B for LMT, highlighting their scale in defense and security sectors.
- Recent developments favor defense-heavy plays like LMT and HON amid global tensions, while AXON faces near-term headwinds from margin squeezes.
Introduction
This comparison examines AXON, HON, and LMT, three leaders in public safety technology, diversified industrials, and aerospace defense. Investors and traders focused on security, defense, and tech-driven growth sectors may find value in analyzing their relative performance amid geopolitical shifts and market volatility. With rising global tensions boosting defense demand and AI integrations enhancing operational efficiencies, this stock comparison highlights key metrics like momentum, valuations, and catalysts to inform positioning in the current environment.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) specializes in public safety technology, offering TASER conducted energy devices (CEDs), body cameras, cloud-based evidence management, and counter-drone solutions for law enforcement and first responders. In recent market activity, AXON shares have declined over 20% in the past month and about 27% YTD, underperforming broader indices due to rising costs and margin pressures despite strong Q4 2025 revenue of $797 million (up 39% YoY). Sentiment has softened post-earnings, with shares down 11.5% since the report amid analyst estimate revisions, though long-term growth in software recurring revenue (125% net retention) and projected EPS of $1.66 supports optimism.
HON Overview and Recent Performance
Honeywell International (HON) is a diversified conglomerate with segments in aerospace technologies, building automation, industrial automation, and energy solutions, providing propulsion, avionics, and AI-enabled security systems. Recent weeks have seen stable performance, with YTD gains of approximately 15% and a market cap over $142 billion. Key drivers include a new defense deal committing $500 million for capacity upgrades and expansions in AI security portfolios. Q4 2025 revenue reached $9.76 billion, with EPS (TTM) at $6.95, reinforcing resilience through broad sector exposure and forward P/E around 18.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT) is a premier aerospace and defense contractor, focusing on aeronautics (e.g., F-35), missiles, rotary systems, and space technologies for U.S. and allied governments. The stock has outperformed with YTD returns near 25% and 39% over one year, trading around $600 with a $139 billion market cap. Recent catalysts include the opening of a rapid fielding center for defense innovation and ramped precision strike missile production amid global conflicts. Q4 2025 revenue hit $20.32 billion, EPS (TTM) $21.49, with stable Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and upward EPS estimate revisions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON’s high-growth public safety model contrasts with HON’s diversified industrials and LMT’s government-contract-heavy defense focus, exposing LMT to geopolitical catalysts but budget risks. Growth drivers favor AXON’s SaaS shift (27-30% 2026 revenue guidance) over HON’s steady automation and LMT’s munitions ramps. Recent momentum tilts to LMT (39% 1Y return) vs. HON (15% YTD) and AXON’s pullback. Risks include AXON’s cost sensitivity, HON’s cyclical exposure, and LMT’s F-35 delays. Valuation sensitivity shows AXON at extreme P/E (282 TTM), pricier than HON (32) and LMT (28), with forward multiples compressing for all. Sentiment leans defensive for LMT amid tensions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LMT due to superior trend consistency, YTD/1Y outperformance, stable defense catalysts, and balanced valuation relative to peers. Probabilistic edge stems from backlog strength and lower beta (0.20), positioning it well in risk-off environments versus AXON’s volatility and HON’s broader diversification trade-offs.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileHON’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and LMT’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HON’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HON’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and LMT’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- HON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +16.45% price change this week, while HON (@Industrial Conglomerates) price change was -1.67% , and LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -3.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.07%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Conglomerates industry was +1.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
HON is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.22% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Industrial Conglomerates (+1.08% weekly)Industrial Conglomerates specialize in numerous types of products, most of which comprise industrial goods, while some also go towards meeting household needs. Honeywell (makes engineering services and aerospace systems), United Technologies Corporation(manufactures aircraft engines, aerospace systems, HVAC, elevators and escalators, fire and security, building systems, and industrial products, among others), 3M (over 60,000 products under several world-renowned brands, including adhesives, abrasives, laminates, passive fire protection, personal protective equipment, window films, paint protection films, dental and orthodontic products, electrical & electronic connecting and insulating materials, medical products, car-care products, electronic circuits, healthcare software and optical films).
| AXON | HON | LMT | |
| Capitalization | 32.5B | 146B | 134B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 10.3B | 8.73B |
| Gain YTD | -29.067 | 18.346 | 23.082 |
| P/E Ratio | 267.38 | 33.10 | 27.05 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 40.7B | 75B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | N/A | 4.12B |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 37B | 21.7B |
AXON | HON | LMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 49 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 26 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 27 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 25 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LMT's Valuation (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HON (61) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AXON (88) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LMT's stock grew somewhat faster than HON’s and significantly faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HON (49) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to HON’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
LMT's SMR Rating (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HON (26) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that LMT's stock grew similarly to HON’s and significantly faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
HON's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as LMT (52) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that HON's stock grew similarly to LMT’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as HON (25) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry, and is in the same range as LMT (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to HON’s and similarly to LMT’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | HON | LMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 80% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 12 days ago 44% | 15 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 36% | 4 days ago 52% |
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AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.49% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
More | ||||
LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then GD could also see price increases.