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AXON or KTOS or RTX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) vs. RTX Corporation (RTX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON leads in AI-driven public safety innovation with strong bookings momentum, trading around $574 amid high valuation at 385x P/E.
- KTOS shows explosive growth in unmanned systems, up 224% over the past year and 15% YTD, fueled by defense contracts and geopolitical tensions.
- RTX offers stability as a defense giant with $282B market cap, 66% one-year gains, and massive backlogs from F-35 and missile programs.
- All three benefit from rising defense and security spending, but KTOS exhibits the strongest recent momentum while RTX provides lower volatility (beta 0.41).
- YTD returns are comparable (AXON 1%, KTOS/RTX ~15%), yet KTOS's wide 52-week range signals higher risk-reward in volatile markets.
- Geopolitical events in the Middle East have boosted sector sentiment, enhancing relative performance across these stocks.
Introduction
This comparison examines AXON, KTOS, and RTX, three leaders in public safety and defense technologies. AXON focuses on law enforcement tools, KTOS on unmanned systems, and RTX on broad aerospace and missiles. Traders seeking growth in AI-enhanced security or investors eyeing stable defense exposure amid geopolitical shifts will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning in today's environment of elevated security demands.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
AXON, or Axon Enterprise, Inc., develops public safety technologies including TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based evidence management software. In recent market activity, shares have traded around $574, within a 52-week range of $396-$886, reflecting robust demand for its AI-integrated solutions. Momentum stems from Q4 revenue of $797M (up 39% YoY) and AI bookings surpassing $750M, driving YTD gains of about 1% despite a lofty 385x P/E. Sentiment has strengthened on public safety tech adoption and acquisitions like 911 services, though high valuation tempers short-term upside amid profit pressures.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
KTOS, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc., specializes in unmanned aerial systems, hypersonics, and counter-UAS technologies for national security. Recent weeks saw shares near $87, in a volatile 52-week span of $26-$134, with YTD returns around 15% and one-year surge of 224%. Key drivers include new counter-UAS orders, OpenSpace platform deployments, and equity raises for growth, alongside Q4 EPS beats. Geopolitical tensions have amplified interest in its affordable drone tech, boosting momentum despite a 669x P/E and recent dips on guidance concerns.
RTX Overview and Recent Performance
RTX, RTX Corporation, is a multinational aerospace and defense leader offering engines, missiles, and sensors via Collins, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon segments. Shares hover at $210, within $112-$215 over 52 weeks, delivering 15% YTD and 66% annual gains. Recent performance reflects F-35 contracts, weapons production ramps, and aviation tech advances, supported by a $268B backlog. With a more grounded 42x P/E and low beta of 0.41, sentiment favors its scale amid Middle East tensions, though supply chain risks linger.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models diverge: AXON targets niche public safety with SaaS growth, KTOS emphasizes agile unmanned tech, and RTX spans diversified giants like engines and missiles. Growth drivers include AI for AXON, contracts for KTOS, and backlogs for RTX. Recent momentum favors KTOS (224% yearly), over RTX (66%) and AXON (15%). Risks: AXON/KTOS face sky-high P/Es signaling overvaluation sensitivity; RTX lower beta but government reliance. Sector exposure ties to defense surges, with KTOS most volatile, RTX stable, and AXON sentiment-driven.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward KTOS for its superior trend consistency in unmanned defense, bolstered by recent contracts and 224% annual momentum amid geopolitical catalysts. While RTX offers stability and scale, and AXON AI bookings, KTOS shows stronger relative positioning probabilistically in elevated security environments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and RTX’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RTX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and RTX’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- RTX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +16.45% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +0.92% , and RTX (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -2.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
RTX is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AXON | KTOS | RTX | |
| Capitalization | 32.5B | 13.3B | 264B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 103M | 14.9B |
| Gain YTD | -29.067 | -6.481 | 7.455 |
| P/E Ratio | 266.79 | 546.08 | 39.60 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 1.35B | 88.6B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 561M | 7.44B |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 146M | 39.5B |
AXON | KTOS | RTX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 6 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 61 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 89 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 63 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 14 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RTX's Valuation (41) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (88) in the Biotechnology industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (94) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew somewhat faster than AXON’s and somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that RTX's stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's SMR Rating (67) in the null industry is in the same range as AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry, and is in the same range as KTOS (89) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to AXON’s and similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
RTX's Price Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as KTOS (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that RTX's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as KTOS (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for RTX (52) in the null industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to KTOS’s and somewhat faster than RTX’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | KTOS | RTX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 79% | 14 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 32% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SCHF | 26.88 | 0.37 | +1.40% |
| Schwab International Equity ETF™ | |||
| QDTE | 29.63 | 0.35 | +1.20% |
| Roundhill Innovt-100 0DTE CovCllStratETF | |||
| BNDC | 22.32 | 0.09 | +0.40% |
| FlexShares Core Select Bond ETF | |||
| JULZ | 42.95 | N/A | N/A |
| Trueshares Structured Outcome July ETF | |||
| STSM | 28.82 | -1.17 | -3.90% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Short TSM ETF | |||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
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