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AXON or NOC or TDY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Northrop Grumman (NOC) vs. Teledyne Technologies (TDY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON leads with explosive revenue growth of 39% in Q4 2025, driven by AI integrations in public safety tech, though at premium valuations.
- NOC boasts a record $95.7 billion backlog and strong YTD gains around 28%, supported by defense contracts like B-21 and missile systems.
- TDY shows steady 7-8% revenue expansion with Q4 beats, benefiting from digital imaging and instrumentation demand.
- All three exhibit robust sector tailwinds from geopolitical tensions and tech advancements, but NOC offers relative value with a P/E around 25x versus AXON's elevated multiple.
- Recent momentum favors defense pure-plays amid rising global conflicts, with NOC and TDY showing YTD outperformance over broader markets.
- Risk factors include supply chain issues for rare earths impacting NOC and TDY, while AXON faces profitability pressures from expansion costs.
Introduction
This comparison examines AXON, NOC, and TDY, three leaders in public safety, aerospace, and defense technologies. These stocks appeal to investors tracking the aerospace and defense sector, where geopolitical tensions and technological innovation drive demand. Traders focused on relative performance may note their differing exposures: AXON's law enforcement tools, NOC's military systems, and TDY's imaging solutions. Amid recent market volatility from global events, understanding their price behavior, growth catalysts, and sentiment shifts provides clarity for portfolio positioning in this high-conviction sector.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) develops TASER devices, body cameras, drones, and AI-powered software for public safety. In recent quarters, the stock has shown strong momentum, with shares surging nearly 18% post-Q4 2025 earnings on 39% revenue growth to $797 million, fueled by AI bookings exceeding $750 million. Cloud software demand and expansions into enterprise security have boosted sentiment, though profitability dipped amid rising costs. Recent market activity reflects optimism around 27-30% 2026 revenue guidance, positioning AXON as a high-growth play despite elevated valuations.
NOC Overview and Recent Performance
Northrop Grumman (NOC) specializes in aerospace, missile defense, and space systems, operating across Aeronautics, Defense, Mission, and Space segments. Recent performance has been resilient, with Q4 2025 revenue up 9.6% to $11.71 billion and a record $95.7 billion backlog supporting mid-single-digit growth outlook. Key drivers include B-21 bomber ramp-up and contract wins like $225 million for E-2D training, amid heightened defense spending. Shares gained over 2% recently on sector tailwinds, though Pentagon rules on rare earth magnets pose supply risks. Sentiment remains positive with YTD returns around 28%, reflecting stable execution in a volatile environment.
TDY Overview and Recent Performance
Teledyne Technologies (TDY) provides instrumentation, digital imaging, aerospace electronics, and engineered systems for defense and industrial markets. Recent quarters highlight balanced growth, with Q4 2025 sales up 7.3% to $1.61 billion and adjusted EPS of $6.30 beating estimates. Strength in digital imaging and unmanned systems drove performance, alongside partnerships in gas utilities and radar tech. Shares dipped modestly in recent trading but boast YTD gains near 31%, supported by 3-4% organic growth guidance. Sentiment benefits from diversified exposure, though industrial slowdowns temper enthusiasm compared to pure defense peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON, NOC, and TDY operate in overlapping defense-tech realms but diverge in focus: AXON's SaaS-heavy public safety model yields 30%+ growth but premium P/E over 80x; NOC's government-contract driven stability offers ~25x P/E with massive backlog visibility; TDY balances at mid-30x P/E via diversified imaging/instrumentation. Growth drivers contrast: AI/cloud for AXON, bombers/missiles for NOC, drones/sensors for TDY. Recent momentum favors NOC and TDY amid conflicts, with YTD ~28-31% vs. broader indices. Risks include AXON's margin squeeze, NOC/ TDY's supply chains. Valuation sensitivity heightens for high-flyer AXON, while sentiment tilts toward backlog-rich NOC.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NOC due to its unmatched backlog stability, consistent trend execution, and relative valuation in a defense-upcycle. With mid-single-digit growth, low beta, and catalysts like B-21, it edges peers probabilistically for risk-adjusted positioning over AXON's growth volatility or TDY's diversification.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNOC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TDY’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NOC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TDY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NOC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TDY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +16.45% price change this week, while NOC (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -1.26% , and TDY (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price fluctuated -1.53% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
NOC is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
TDY is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| AXON | NOC | TDY | |
| Capitalization | 32.5B | 94.5B | 29.4B |
| EBITDA | 196M | 7.21B | 1.49B |
| Gain YTD | -29.067 | 17.043 | 24.494 |
| P/E Ratio | 266.79 | 22.88 | 33.68 |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 42B | 6.12B |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 4.4B | 352M |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 17B | 2.64B |
AXON | NOC | TDY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 54 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 63 Fair valued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 10 | 34 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 35 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 55 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 42 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOC's Valuation (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AXON (88) in the Biotechnology industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (98) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that NOC's stock grew similarly to AXON’s and somewhat faster than TDY’s over the last 12 months.
NOC's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDY (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that NOC's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
NOC's SMR Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDY (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (85) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that NOC's stock grew somewhat faster than TDY’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
TDY's Price Growth Rating (28) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (55) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that TDY's stock grew similarly to NOC’s and somewhat faster than AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as TDY (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as NOC (42) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON's stock grew similarly to TDY’s and similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | NOC | TDY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 36% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | N/A | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 32% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 18 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 43% | 5 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 38% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 30% | 3 days ago 43% |
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