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BA or BWXT or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boeing (BA) vs. BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT leads with superior YTD return of 18.85% and 1-year gain of 106.48%, driven by nuclear backlog growth to $7.3 billion and 18.7% quarterly revenue increase.
- BA shows 3% YTD and 30.12% 1-year returns amid $2.83 billion defense contracts, offset by production delays and Starliner setbacks.
- TDG lags with 7.58% YTD and modest 3.34% 1-year performance, supported by 13.9% revenue growth but pressured by acquisitions and high debt.
- BWXT trades at a trailing P/E of 57.17 with strong ROE of 28.52%, while TDG offers higher margins at 22.24% and P/E of 40.15; BA's elevated P/E reflects recovery challenges.
- All three benefit from aerospace-defense demand, but BWXT's nuclear focus provides stability versus BA's commercial volatility and TDG's aftermarket reliance.
- Relative performance highlights BWXT's momentum in recent market activity, positioning it favorably for growth-oriented investors.
Introduction
This comparison examines BA, BWXT, and TDG, key players in the aerospace and defense sector amid rising geopolitical tensions and nuclear energy demand. Boeing focuses on commercial and military aircraft, BWX Technologies on nuclear components for naval and commercial use, and TransDigm on specialized aircraft parts. Traders seeking momentum in defense spending or investors eyeing long-term sector growth will find value in analyzing their recent price behavior, valuation metrics, and market positioning for informed relative performance decisions.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
The Boeing Company (BA) designs, manufactures, and supports commercial jetliners, defense systems, and space technologies. In recent market activity, shares trade around $210, with a market cap of $165B and trailing P/E of 84.92. YTD return stands at 3%, with 30% over one year, reflecting recovery from lows near $129 to highs of $254. Sentiment has been mixed due to $2.83B in new U.S. defense contracts boosting defense exposure, countered by ongoing 737 MAX production challenges, wiring issues delaying deliveries, geopolitical supply chain risks from Middle East conflicts, and Starliner program setbacks raising execution concerns. Revenue TTM is $89.5B, underscoring scale despite profitability pressures.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) specializes in nuclear components, reactors, and fuel for government naval propulsion and commercial applications. Shares hover near $205, with a $18.8B market cap and trailing P/E of 57.17. It boasts a strong YTD return of 18.85% and 106% over one year, from $84 lows to $221 highs. Recent performance stems from Q4 revenue of $886M (up 18.7% YoY), EPS beat, and backlog expansion to $7.3B (50% YoY growth) via naval and nuclear awards. Positive analyst notes on nuclear pipeline and defense spending have lifted sentiment, with ROE at 28.52% and quarterly growth supporting outperformance versus aerospace peers. Revenue TTM reaches $3.2B.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) produces highly engineered aircraft components for power, control, and airframe systems in commercial and military markets. Trading around $1,229, it has a $69.4B market cap and trailing P/E of 39.56. YTD return is 7.58%, with 3.34% over one year, ranging from $1,184 to $1,624 highs. Recent quarters showed 13.9% revenue growth to $2.29B and EBITDA up 12.8%, aided by aftermarket demand, though multi-billion acquisitions have sparked margin and debt concerns amid sector supply squeezes. Profit margins at 22.24% highlight efficiency, with TTM revenue of $9.11B driving steady, if less explosive, positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BA, BWXT, and TDG share aerospace-defense exposure but diverge in models: BA's broad commercial-military mix (revenue $89B TTM) contrasts BWXT's niche nuclear focus ($3.2B TTM, 18.7% growth) and TDG's proprietary parts aftermarket ($9.1B TTM, 45.6% margins). Growth drivers favor BWXT's surging backlog and nuclear demand versus BA's contract wins amid delays and TDG's acquisitions. Recent momentum crowns BWXT (106% 1-year), ahead of BA (30%) and TDG (3%). Risks include BA's high execution hurdles and geopolitical issues, TDG's leverage post-deals, and BWXT's elevated valuation sensitivity. Sector tailwinds like defense budgets benefit all, but BWXT shows lower beta (0.80) for stability, TDG premium pricing power, and BA scale trade-offs. Market sentiment tilts to BWXT's consistency over BA's volatility and TDG's moderation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BWXT based on trend consistency, backlog catalysts, and relative YTD/1-year outperformance amid nuclear and defense momentum. Its lower volatility, EPS beats, and positioning in high-growth nuclear propulsion offer probabilistic edge over BA's recovery risks and TDG's acquisition integration. While all hold sector promise, BWXT aligns best with observable stability and catalysts in recent market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBWXT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BWXT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BA (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +5.69% price change this week, while BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +7.12% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +5.01% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
BA is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.33% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BA | BWXT | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 173B | 21.1B | 69.2B |
| EBITDA | 7.36B | 552M | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 1.354 | 33.423 | -7.845 |
| P/E Ratio | 88.73 | 64.33 | 39.43 |
| Revenue | 89.5B | 3.2B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | 29.4B | N/A | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 54.4B | 2.02B | 30B |
BA | BWXT | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 22 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 96 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 7 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 33 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 38 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 13 | 76 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 34 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TDG's Valuation (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (84) and is in the same range as BWXT (96). This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to BA’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (27) and is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
BA's SMR Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as TDG (16) and is in the same range as BWXT (33). This means that BA's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (51) and is in the same range as TDG (61). This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to BA’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BA (71) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (76). This means that BWXT's stock grew somewhat faster than BA’s and somewhat faster than TDG’s over the last 12 months.
| BA | BWXT | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 5 days ago 68% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 75% | 12 days ago 55% | 12 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 63% |
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TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.