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BA or JOBY or NOC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boeing (BA) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Northrop Grumman (NOC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NOC leads with approximately 28-30% YTD gains, driven by defense contracts and a record $95.68 billion backlog, offering stability in a strong sector.
- BA shows mixed performance with recent contract wins like a $2.34 billion Air Force deal but faces headwinds from 737 MAX wiring issues and NASA Starliner concerns, resulting in flat to negative YTD returns.
- JOBY trails with a 25-32% YTD decline amid high volatility, though eVTOL milestones like production flight tests and FAA partnerships signal long-term growth potential.
- NOC trades at a reasonable P/E of around 25x with low beta (0.01), contrasting BA's elevated valuation and JOBY's pre-profit status.
- Market caps highlight scale: BA ~$165B, NOC ~$104B, JOBY ~$9.6B, influencing risk-reward profiles in aerospace and defense.
- Relative performance favors defense over commercial aviation in recent market activity.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BA, JOBY, and NOC amid evolving aerospace and defense dynamics. Boeing represents established commercial and defense aviation, Joby Aviation pioneers electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) air taxis, and Northrop Grumman focuses on advanced defense systems. Traders seeking exposure to sector rotation—from commercial recovery challenges to defense spending growth—and investors eyeing long-term innovation in urban air mobility will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. Recent contract awards, regulatory milestones, and production hurdles underscore key contrasts in this high-stakes industry.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
The Boeing Company (BA) is a leading global aerospace firm designing, manufacturing, and servicing commercial jetliners, defense products, and space systems. Operating through Commercial Airplanes, Defense, Space & Security, and Global Services segments, it supports customers worldwide. In recent market activity, BA shares have experienced volatility, with YTD returns roughly flat to negative around -2%, underperforming broader indices. Key influences include a $2.34 billion U.S. Air Force contract modification bolstering defense sentiment, offset by 737 MAX wiring flaws delaying deliveries and a NASA Starliner mishap raising execution concerns in space programs. Trading near $210 with a market cap over $165 billion and elevated P/E above 80x, BA reflects recovery efforts amid quality scrutiny and competitive pressures from Airbus.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) develops all-electric eVTOL aircraft for air taxi services, aiming to revolutionize urban mobility with quiet, zero-emission flights. Headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, the company advances toward FAA certification through prototypes and partnerships like Uber. Recent weeks have seen JOBY shares decline 25-32% YTD to around $9.70, with high beta over 2.6 signaling volatility in the pre-revenue eVTOL space. Positive catalysts include the first production-conforming aircraft flight test, selection for multi-state White House eVTOL pilots, and a $30.75 million facility mortgage. Despite legal disputes with rival Archer over supply chains, one-year returns exceed 55%, underscoring speculative appeal with a $9.6 billion market cap.
NOC Overview and Recent Performance
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) is a premier aerospace and defense technology provider, specializing in aeronautics systems, missile defense, space exploration, and cybersecurity for U.S. government and international clients. Segments include Aeronautics, Defense, Mission, and Space Systems. In recent market activity, NOC has outperformed with 28-30% YTD gains to around $734 and a P/E near 25x, supported by a market cap of $104 billion. Sentiment benefits from a record $95.68 billion backlog, Q4 2025 earnings beats with 17% operating income growth, and new contracts for aircraft protection and artillery production. Low beta around 0.01 reflects stability amid robust defense budgets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BA, JOBY, and NOC span aerospace maturity levels: BA blends commercial (cyclical, recovery-focused) and defense exposure, vulnerable to production delays; JOBY bets on disruptive eVTOL growth with regulatory catalysts but high burn and no profits; NOC emphasizes stable defense primes like B-21 and missiles. Momentum favors NOC (28%+ YTD) over BA (flat) and JOBY (-30%), tied to geopolitical spending. Risks contrast: BA and JOBY face execution/regulation hurdles with higher betas (BA ~1.5 implied, JOBY 2.66), while NOC offers low volatility. Valuations show NOC most attractive at 25x P/E versus BA's 80x+ and JOBY's N/A; sentiment tilts to defense resilience over commercial/emerging tech trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NOC based on superior trend consistency, low volatility, expanding backlog, and alignment with defense sector tailwinds. While BA holds contract catalysts and JOBY offers high-upside eVTOL positioning, NOC's relative stability and probabilistic edge in current conditions make it the preferred choice among observable factors.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and NOC’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NOC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and NOC’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NOC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BA (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +1.32% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +7.28% , and NOC (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -3.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +5.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.85%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.66%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.68%.
Reported Earning Dates
BA is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
NOC is expected to report earnings on Apr 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+5.27% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.87% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| BA | JOBY | NOC | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 8.95B | 93.3B |
| EBITDA | 7.36B | -679.43M | 7.21B |
| Gain YTD | 3.666 | -30.758 | 15.586 |
| P/E Ratio | 90.76 | N/A | 22.59 |
| Revenue | 89.5B | 53.4M | 42B |
| Total Cash | 29.4B | 1.41B | 4.4B |
| Total Debt | 54.4B | 36.8M | 17B |
BA | NOC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 52 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOC's Valuation (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (84). This means that NOC’s stock grew similarly to BA’s over the last 12 months.
NOC's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100). This means that NOC’s stock grew significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
BA's SMR Rating (10) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (35). This means that BA’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
BA's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as NOC (55). This means that BA’s stock grew similarly to NOC’s over the last 12 months.
NOC's P/E Growth Rating (44) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (72). This means that NOC’s stock grew similarly to BA’s over the last 12 months.
| BA | JOBY | NOC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 80% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 32% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 6 days ago 78% | 20 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 75% | 23 days ago 82% | 1 day ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 29% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPSM | 52.97 | 0.28 | +0.53% |
| State Street SPDR Port S&P 600 Sm CpETF | |||
| SHPD | 23.55 | N/A | N/A |
| Direxion Daily SHOP Bear 1X ETF | |||
| TJUL | 29.95 | -0.02 | -0.06% |
| Innovator Eq Defnd Protd ETF2 Yr-Jul2027 | |||
| DTH | 56.39 | -0.24 | -0.42% |
| WisdomTree International High Div ETF | |||
| INDE | 28.08 | -0.41 | -1.42% |
| Matthews India Active ETF | |||
BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with TXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then TXT could also see price increases.