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BA or JOBY or RKLB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Boeing (BA) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Rocket Lab (RKLB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BA maintains a substantial $682 billion order backlog amid production hurdles and high debt levels, contributing to recent share price declines of around 13% YTD.
- JOBY, focused on electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, has seen shares drop nearly 40% YTD despite flight testing progress and partnerships like Uber.
- RKLB benefits from a $190 million defense contract and over 70 launches in backlog, though recent volatility has led to an 18% YTD pullback after strong prior gains.
- All three stocks operate in aerospace but differ in maturity: BA offers established revenue with risks, while JOBY and RKLB represent higher-growth, pre-profit ventures.
- Recent market activity shows volatility across the sector, with contract wins supporting backlogs but operational challenges pressuring prices.
- AI tools highlight momentum in space and defense subsectors, influencing relative positioning.
Introduction
This comparison examines BA, JOBY, and RKLB, three stocks spanning traditional aerospace manufacturing, urban air mobility, and small satellite launches. Investors interested in the evolving aerospace and defense sector—driven by commercial aviation recovery, eVTOL innovation, and space commercialization—may find value in assessing their relative performance, backlogs, and market sentiment. Recent contract awards and technological milestones highlight growth potential amid volatility, offering insights for portfolio diversification in high-tech industrials.
BA Overview and Recent Performance
The Boeing Company (BA) is a leading global aerospace firm designing, manufacturing, and servicing commercial jetliners, defense products, and space systems. Operating through segments like Commercial Airplanes, Defense, Space & Security, and Global Services, it supports customers in over 150 countries with a workforce exceeding 180,000. Recent market activity has seen BA shares decline about 13% YTD and over 15% in the past month, reflecting production concerns, a $54.1 billion debt load, and geopolitical tensions. Positive factors include a massive $682 billion backlog, new contracts like a $326 million U.S. Army helicopter deal and Vietnam aircraft orders, which bolster long-term revenue visibility despite near-term cash flow pressures.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, aiming to operate air taxi services with partnerships including Toyota, Delta, and Uber. Headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, the company focuses on quiet, zero-emission flights with up to 100-mile range. In recent weeks, JOBY shares have fallen nearly 40% YTD and about 20% over the past month, amid certification delays and funding needs despite milestones like piloted flight tests and FAA progress. Q4 2025 revenue reached $31 million, up significantly year-over-year, though substantial losses persist as commercialization approaches.
RKLB Overview and Recent Performance
Rocket Lab (RKLB) is an end-to-end space company providing launch services via its Electron rocket, spacecraft manufacturing, and satellite components. Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Long Beach, California, it targets small satellite deployments with a growing Neutron rocket in development. Recent performance shows volatility, with shares down 18% YTD after peaking, including a 6% daily drop amid broader market moves. Catalysts include a $190 million U.S. Department of Defense hypersonic contract, regulatory approval for Mynaric acquisition, its 85th mission, and a backlog exceeding 70 launches, supporting revenue growth to $602 million in 2025 despite ongoing losses.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BA’s established business model emphasizes large-scale commercial and defense production, contrasting JOBY’s speculative eVTOL focus and RKLB’s agile small-launch niche. Growth drivers differ: BA relies on backlog execution amid regulatory scrutiny, JOBY on FAA certification for air taxi launches, and RKLB on mission cadence and medium-lift expansion. Recent momentum favors RKLB’s contract wins over the others’ declines, though all face high volatility (RKLB beta 2.21). Risks include BA’s debt and production issues, JOBY’s path to profitability, and RKLB’s execution on Neutron. Valuation sensitivity is acute for pre-profit JOBY and RKLB, while BA trades on cash flow potential; sentiment tilts toward space growth over traditional aviation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward RKLB due to consistent catalysts like defense contracts and launch backlogs, offering stronger trend stability and relative momentum in the space subsector compared to BA’s operational headwinds and JOBY’s certification risks. Probabilistic edge favors RKLB for near-term positioning, though diversification across the trio captures sector breadth.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and RKLB’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- BA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RKLB’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and RKLB’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- RKLB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BA (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +5.69% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -2.59% , and RKLB (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated -1.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.05%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.13%.
Reported Earning Dates
BA is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.33% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.96% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| BA | JOBY | RKLB | |
| Capitalization | 173B | 8.11B | 38.4B |
| EBITDA | 7.36B | -679.43M | -155.47M |
| Gain YTD | 1.354 | -37.273 | -4.329 |
| P/E Ratio | 88.73 | N/A | N/A |
| Revenue | 89.5B | 53.4M | 602M |
| Total Cash | 29.4B | 1.41B | 1.02B |
| Total Debt | 54.4B | 36.8M | 254M |
BA | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BA | JOBY | RKLB | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 89% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 4 days ago 78% | 8 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 75% | 11 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 86% |
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BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with HXL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then HXL could also see price increases.
JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | -4.06% | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.69% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +1.54% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | +0.17% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | +1.92% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 22% Poorly correlated | +4.74% | ||
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RKLB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RKLB has been closely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RKLB jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RKLB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKLB | 100% | -3.39% | ||
| LUNR - RKLB | 70% Closely correlated | -6.16% | ||
| RDW - RKLB | 62% Loosely correlated | -4.06% | ||
| ACHR - RKLB | 58% Loosely correlated | -4.66% | ||
| RCAT - RKLB | 53% Loosely correlated | -8.51% | ||
| KRMN - RKLB | 53% Loosely correlated | -4.02% | ||
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