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BKNG or CCL or EXPE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Booking Holdings (BKNG) vs. Carnival (CCL) vs. Expedia Group (EXPE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BKNG leads year-to-date (YTD) performance at 22.43%, outperforming peers amid resilient travel demand.
- CCL reports record Q1 bookings and revenue growth, though fuel costs pressure margins.
- EXPE shows strong one-year returns of 55.04%, boosted by partnerships like Uber for hotel bookings.
- All three stocks benefit from travel sector recovery, with BKNG at the highest market cap of approximately $128 billion.
- Valuations vary: CCL P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) at 11.31 appears cheapest, while EXPE trades at 25.34.
- Recent market activity reflects oil price sensitivity, impacting cruise operator CCL more than online travel agencies (OTAs).
Introduction
Booking Holdings (BKNG), Carnival (CCL), and Expedia Group (EXPE) represent key players in the travel and leisure sector, spanning online travel agencies and cruise operations. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid sustained travel demand and economic sensitivities. Investors and traders interested in sector rotation, cyclical recovery plays, or relative value opportunities will find insights into momentum, valuations, and risks, aiding informed portfolio decisions in the current environment.
BKNG Overview and Recent Performance
Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) operates leading OTAs like Booking.com and Agoda, facilitating hotel, flight, and experience reservations globally. In recent market activity, shares traded around $166, within a 52-week range of $150.62 to $233.58, reflecting volatility from travel demand fluctuations. Q1 results showed revenue of $5.53 billion and EPS (earnings per share) of $7.58, driven by merchant model strength, though increased marketing costs and competition tempered gains. YTD returns stand at 22.43%, supported by AI initiatives and buybacks, but sentiment has softened on valuation concerns and broader travel sector pressures like oil prices.
CCL Overview and Recent Performance
Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) is a leading cruise operator with brands like Carnival Cruise Line and Princess Cruises. Shares recently hovered near $25.67, in a 52-week range of $19.06 to $34.03. Recent weeks featured strong Q1 revenue of $6.17 billion and net earnings of $275 million, fueled by record bookings and the Propel Initiative for efficiency. YTD performance reached 15.54%, though rising fuel costs prompted EPS outlook adjustments, contributing to share dips. Positive competitor earnings bolster sentiment, but macro uncertainties weigh on the cyclical cruise model.
EXPE Overview and Recent Performance
Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE) manages OTAs including Expedia.com and Hotels.com, focusing on lodging and packaged travel. Trading around $249, shares span a 52-week range of $148.55 to $303.80. Recent performance highlights Q4 revenue of $3.55 billion and EPS of $9.82, with partnerships like Uber enhancing distribution. YTD gains of 11.98% lag peers slightly, but one-year returns exceed 55%, driven by B2B momentum and margin expansion. Travel volumes remain steady, though competitive dynamics influence pricing and growth.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BKNG and EXPE share OTA models emphasizing digital scale and global reach, contrasting CCL’s asset-heavy cruise operations vulnerable to fuel and geopolitical risks. Growth drivers include leisure travel rebound for all, with OTAs benefiting from merchant fees and CCL from onboard spending. Recent momentum favors BKNG YTD, while EXPE excels longer-term. CCL offers lowest P/E but highest cyclicality; OTAs show valuation sensitivity to economic slowdowns. Sector exposure ties to consumer spending, with sentiment lifted by Q1 beats yet cautious on oil and competition.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BKNG for superior trend consistency, market-leading scale, and YTD outperformance amid travel resilience. Its tech-driven efficiency and Q1 catalysts position it probabilistically stronger relative to CCL’s cost pressures and EXPE’s competitive intensity, though all warrant monitoring for sector shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BKNG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCCL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and EXPE’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BKNG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CCL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EXPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BKNG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CCL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and EXPE’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BKNG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CCL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EXPE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BKNG (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -4.22% price change this week, while CCL (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -3.57% , and EXPE (@Consumer Sundries) price fluctuated -10.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was -4.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.46%.
Reported Earning Dates
BKNG is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
CCL is expected to report earnings on Jun 30, 2026.
EXPE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (-4.21% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| BKNG | CCL | EXPE | |
| Capitalization | 124B | 34.4B | 26.6B |
| EBITDA | 9.8B | 7.22B | 3.08B |
| Gain YTD | -24.876 | -18.255 | -21.623 |
| P/E Ratio | 21.17 | 10.95 | 19.57 |
| Revenue | 27.7B | 27B | 15.2B |
| Total Cash | 16B | 1.42B | 5.79B |
| Total Debt | 18.9B | 26.6B | 4.71B |
BKNG | CCL | EXPE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 67 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 61 Fair valued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 100 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 35 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 62 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 76 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CCL's Valuation (61) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as EXPE (62) in the Other Consumer Services industry, and is in the same range as BKNG (89) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that CCL's stock grew similarly to EXPE’s and similarly to BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
BKNG's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXPE (74) in the Other Consumer Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CCL (100) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that BKNG's stock grew somewhat faster than EXPE’s and somewhat faster than CCL’s over the last 12 months.
BKNG's SMR Rating (1) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as EXPE (11) in the Other Consumer Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CCL (35) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that BKNG's stock grew similarly to EXPE’s and somewhat faster than CCL’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (62) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry, and is in the same range as BKNG (63) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that EXPE's stock grew similarly to CCL’s and similarly to BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
EXPE's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as CCL (76) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry, and is in the same range as BKNG (84) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that EXPE's stock grew similarly to CCL’s and similarly to BKNG’s over the last 12 months.
| BKNG | CCL | EXPE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | N/A | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 71% | 8 days ago 76% | 23 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 1 day ago 77% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 77% | N/A |
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BKNG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BKNG has been closely correlated with EXPE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BKNG jumps, then EXPE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BKNG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKNG | 100% | +1.75% | ||
| EXPE - BKNG | 67% Closely correlated | +0.05% | ||
| ABNB - BKNG | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| CCL - BKNG | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| MMYT - BKNG | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.85% | ||
| CUK - BKNG | 41% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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CCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCL has been closely correlated with CUK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CCL jumps, then CUK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL | 100% | -2.32% | ||
| CUK - CCL | 97% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| VIK - CCL | 81% Closely correlated | -0.38% | ||
| NCLH - CCL | 81% Closely correlated | -3.50% | ||
| RCL - CCL | 79% Closely correlated | -2.03% | ||
| LIND - CCL | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.41% | ||
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EXPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPE has been closely correlated with BKNG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXPE jumps, then BKNG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPE | 100% | +0.05% | ||
| BKNG - EXPE | 67% Closely correlated | +1.75% | ||
| CCL - EXPE | 50% Loosely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| CUK - EXPE | 49% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| ABNB - EXPE | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.15% | ||
| TRIP - EXPE | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.12% | ||
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