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BP or E or SHEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Eni S.p.A. (E) vs. Shell plc (SHEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Eni S.p.A. (E) leads year-to-date (YTD) performance with approximately 50% gains, fueled by gas discoveries and LNG demand.
- BP p.l.c. (BP) shows strong momentum at 35% YTD, supported by robust Q1 results and elevated oil trading gains.
- Shell plc (SHEL) trails YTD at 23% but offers stability with lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) around 15 and strong cash flows.
- All three integrated oil majors benefit from recent oil price rises amid geopolitical tensions, though face energy transition risks.
- Recent 90-day gains favor BP at 23%, highlighting relative outperformance in volatile markets.
- Market caps differ significantly: SHEL at $251B, BP $120B, E $83B.
Introduction
BP p.l.c. (BP), Eni S.p.A. (E), and Shell plc (SHEL) are major integrated oil and gas companies navigating a dynamic energy landscape marked by geopolitical tensions, fluctuating commodity prices, and the shift toward lower-carbon solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business drivers, and relative positioning, aiding traders seeking short-term momentum and investors focused on dividends and long-term value in the energy sector. With oil prices elevated due to supply concerns, these stocks offer insights into sector resilience and opportunities.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. (BP) is a global integrated energy firm engaged in oil and gas exploration, production, refining, and renewables like hydrogen and solar. Trading around $46 with a market cap of $120 billion, its shares have surged 35% YTD and 73% over the past year, reflecting 23% gains in the recent 90 days. Recent market activity has been buoyed by strong Q1 2026 underlying net income of $3.2 billion, exceptional refining margins, and oil trading gains amid Middle East tensions. Sentiment has improved on resilient cash flows, though discussions of potential North Sea exits introduce uncertainty. Elevated Brent crude prices have supported upstream performance, enhancing overall positioning despite a high P/E ratio of 38.
E Overview and Recent Performance
Eni S.p.A. (E), Italy's leading energy company, operates across exploration, production, refining, chemicals, and renewables. Shares trade near $56 with an $83 billion market cap, delivering top-tier 50% YTD gains driven by gas discoveries unlocking vast reserves, such as in the Kutei Basin and Venezuela restarts. Recent weeks have seen positive momentum from LNG demand growth and strategic upstream expansions, with a P/E ratio of 24 signaling reasonable valuation. Geopolitical oil supply risks have favored its diversified portfolio, though negative free cash flow highlights investment intensity. Investor sentiment reflects optimism on its gas-focused growth amid energy transitions.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc (SHEL) is one of the world's largest energy firms, with integrated operations in oil, gas, LNG, refining, and emerging low-carbon technologies. Priced around $89-$90 and boasting a $251 billion market cap, it has advanced 23% YTD amid broader sector gains. Recent performance includes deals like the ARC Resources acquisition for Montney gas scale and expectations of $20 billion buybacks, supporting shareholder returns. Oil price strength from global tensions aids upstream, while a low P/E of 15 and robust $23 billion levered free cash flow underscore stability. Sentiment remains steady despite monthly dips, bolstered by LNG upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
These integrated majors share exposure to upstream production and downstream refining but diverge in growth drivers: E emphasizes gas/LNG expansions, SHEL LNG and buybacks, while BP leverages trading/refining. Recent momentum favors E (50% YTD) over BP (35%) and SHEL (23%), tied to discovery catalysts versus SHEL's steadier cash generation. Risks include geopolitics and energy transitions, with BP facing North Sea scrutiny. Valuation sensitivity shows SHEL's attractive P/E versus peers; sentiment tilts positive on oil but weighs transition trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor Shell plc (SHEL) for its trend consistency, lower valuation (P/E ~15), superior cash flows ($23B levered FCF), and defensive positioning amid volatility. While E offers momentum and BP trading upside, SHEL's scale and returns provide higher probability of relative outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and SHEL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- E’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while E’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SHEL’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- E’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +3.50% price change this week, while E (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.86% , and SHEL (@Integrated Oil) price fluctuated +1.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
E is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+1.39% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | E | SHEL | |
| Capitalization | 113B | 81.2B | 237B |
| EBITDA | 35B | 20.4B | 57.7B |
| Gain YTD | 30.835 | 49.665 | 17.253 |
| P/E Ratio | 35.88 | 23.79 | 13.30 |
| Revenue | 195B | 83B | 267B |
| Total Cash | 5.8B | 20B | 23.1B |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 36.6B | 75.6B |
BP | E | SHEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 91 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 4 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 86 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 39 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 21 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 41 | 40 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
E's Valuation (27) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (28) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (37) in the null industry. This means that E's stock grew similarly to BP’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
E's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SHEL (6) in the null industry, and is in the same range as BP (19) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that E's stock grew similarly to SHEL’s and similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (68) in the null industry is in the same range as BP (83) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as E (86) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL's stock grew similarly to BP’s and similarly to E’s over the last 12 months.
E's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (43) in the Integrated Oil industry, and is in the same range as SHEL (48) in the null industry. This means that E's stock grew similarly to BP’s and similarly to SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
E's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (63) in the null industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that E's stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s and significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | E | SHEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 61% | 13 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 47% | 4 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 38% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IGSB | 52.25 | -0.10 | -0.19% |
| iShares 1-5 Year invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| DIVG | 35.11 | -0.21 | -0.59% |
| Invesco S&P 500 Hi Div Grwrs ETF | |||
| TVAL | 39.92 | -0.53 | -1.31% |
| T. Rowe Price Value ETF | |||
| DVXK | 35.37 | -0.83 | -2.29% |
| WEBs Technology XLK Defined Vol ETF | |||
| IHD | 7.16 | -0.21 | -2.85% |
| VOYA EMERGING MARKETS HIGH Income DIVIDEND EQUITY FUND | |||
E and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, E has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if E jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with E. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then E could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +1.01% | ||
| E - SHEL | 80% Closely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 75% Closely correlated | +1.67% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +3.57% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 66% Loosely correlated | +4.07% | ||
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