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BTI or BUD or CL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Colgate-Palmolive (CL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI leads with a 40%+ one-year return and 5.8% dividend yield, bolstered by smokeless product growth and low beta of 0.06 for stability.
- BUD shows moderate YTD gains around 4-14% but trails in momentum, with revenue growth from premium beers amid sector pressures.
- CL has pulled back 10% recently despite 9-10% YTD strength, facing oil price margin risks in consumer goods.
- BTI's P/E of 12-13x offers relative value versus peers, with improved profitability margins over 30%.
- All three provide defensive consumer staples exposure, but BTI edges in yield and long-term outperformance versus benchmarks.
- Recent volatility highlights BTI's low-risk profile amid broader sector valuation concerns.
Introduction
This comparison examines BTI, BUD, and CL, three stalwarts in consumer staples—tobacco, beverages, and personal care products. These stocks appeal to income-focused investors and traders seeking defensive positioning amid market volatility. With stable demand for essentials, they offer relative performance insights, dividend reliability, and exposure to global consumer trends. Recent market activity underscores their resilience, making this analysis timely for evaluating stock comparison, relative performance, and market positioning in the current environment.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco (BTI) is a global leader in tobacco and nicotine products, spanning combustibles, vapes, heated products, and oral nicotine like Vuse and Velo. In recent weeks, BTI shares have traded around $57, reflecting solid long-term returns up over 40% in the past year and YTD gains of about 1%. Sentiment has been supported by 2025 revenue and profit growth from smokeless categories, with gross margins exceeding 83% and net margins at 30%. A forward dividend yield near 5.8% and low beta of 0.06 have drawn investors, despite transition challenges to reduced-risk products. Valuation at a trailing P/E of 12.4x appears attractive relative to earnings recovery.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, markets brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across segments including the U.S., Europe, and emerging markets. Recent market activity shows BUD around $67-73, with YTD returns varying from 4-14% and one-year gains near 8-20%. Performance reflects full-year 2025 results exceeding projections, driven by revenue stability around $59 billion, though shares faced pressure from sector rotation. Beta around 0.74 indicates moderate volatility, with sentiment influenced by premiumization efforts and cost management amid inflationary pressures. Dividend yield supports income appeal in a beverages landscape adapting to consumer shifts.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) specializes in oral, personal, and home care products, with global brands like Colgate toothpaste and Palmolive soaps. Shares recently hovered near $85, posting 9-10% YTD gains but a 10% monthly pullback amid rising oil prices squeezing margins. One-year performance lags peers at lower single digits, influenced by consumer staples sector dynamics. Strong emerging market presence aids organic growth, but recent sentiment reflects broader concerns over input costs. Beta reflects defensive traits, with valuation sensitivity tied to profitability recovery.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI, BUD, and CL operate in consumer staples, but differ in business models: BTI's nicotine focus yields high margins (30%+ net), versus BUD's volume-driven beverages and CL's recurring essentials. Growth drivers include BTI's smokeless shift and CL's emerging markets, while BUD leverages premiums. Recent momentum favors BTI (40%+ yearly), over BUD and CL's steadier paths. Risk factors: regulatory for BTI, commodities for others. Sector exposure is defensive, but BTI's 0.06 beta trumps BUD's 0.74. Valuation: BTI P/E 12x cheapest, versus higher peers amid staples' elevated multiples; yields favor BTI. Sentiment tilts positive on BTI's returns, with trade-offs in growth versus stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BTI based on trend consistency in smokeless growth, superior relative stability (beta 0.06), high yield, and attractive valuation amid strong one-year momentum. Probabilistic edges in catalysts like profitability gains position it ahead of BUD and CL for defensive outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBUD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and CL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BUD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and CL’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +0.04% , and CL (@Household/Personal Care) price fluctuated +1.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
| BTI | BUD | CL | |
| Capitalization | 121B | 148B | 68.8B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 21B | 3.96B |
| Gain YTD | 1.561 | 18.301 | 9.258 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.96 | 22.35 | 32.63 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 59.3B | 20.4B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 11.8B | 1.29B |
| Total Debt | N/A | 73B | 8.55B |
BTI | BUD | CL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 18 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 69 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 75 | 5 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 65 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 32 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that BTI's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (65) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (69) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew somewhat faster than CL’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is significantly better than the same rating for BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that CL's stock grew significantly faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BTI (50) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as CL (57) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and similarly to CL’s over the last 12 months.
CL's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as BUD (65) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (95) in the Tobacco industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | BUD | CL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 47% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 46% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 5 days ago 56% | 7 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 47% |
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then MO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTI | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| MO - BTI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| IMBBY - BTI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PM - BTI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| BTAFF - BTI | 38% Loosely correlated | -5.13% | ||
| UVV - BTI | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.27% | ||
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