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BTI or BUD or KR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. The Kroger Co. (KR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI has delivered strong YTD returns around 7%, bolstered by 2.1% revenue growth in smokeless products and a high dividend yield exceeding 5%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- BUD shows YTD gains of about 12%, driven by solid Q4 earnings beats, though recent volatility reflects consumer spending pressures in beverages.
- KR leads with YTD performance near 19%, supported by Q4 revenue growth to $34.7 billion and improving margins amid grocery sector resilience.
- All three consumer staples stocks exhibit defensive qualities, with KR showing the strongest recent momentum, while BTI offers superior yield.
- Relative performance highlights KR's outperformance in recent weeks, contrasting BUD's pullback amid sector headwinds.
- Valuation sensitivity varies, with BTI at a forward P/E under 11 appearing attractive versus peers.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BTI (British American Tobacco), BUD (Anheuser-Busch InBev), and KR (The Kroger Co.), three consumer staples giants navigating shifting market dynamics. These firms span tobacco, beverages, and grocery retail, offering insights into defensive sectors amid economic uncertainty. Income seekers may favor high-yield plays like BTI, while growth-oriented traders eye KR's momentum. Investors assessing relative performance, valuation, and sentiment in this stock comparison will find value in understanding trade-offs for portfolio positioning.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco (BTI), a global leader in tobacco and smokeless products, has shown resilience in recent market activity. The company reported 2.1% revenue growth for 2025, propelled by expanding smokeless categories, alongside profit gains that have sustained investor interest. Year-to-date returns hover around 7%, outperforming broader benchmarks, with shares trading near 52-week highs above $60 amid positive analyst reaffirmations. Sentiment benefits from a robust dividend yield over 5% and forward P/E below 11, though regulatory risks and slower 2026 growth outlook have introduced fluctuations. Recent weeks reflect steady momentum, supported by cost savings and undervaluation perceptions.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, operates across beer and beverages with a focus on premium brands. Recent quarters highlighted Q4 profit and revenue exceeding projections, fueling YTD gains of approximately 12%. Shares have navigated volatility, with a 52-week range from $57 to $82, influenced by consumer pushback on pricing and soft spending. Market sentiment remains constructive on global volume recovery and EBITDA margin expansion to 35.8%, though recent dips reflect sector pressures. Performance in recent weeks underscores earnings-driven stability, positioning BUD as a growth contender in staples.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
The Kroger Co. (KR), a major U.S. grocery retailer, emphasizes food, pharmacy, and e-commerce. Q4 revenue reached $34.7 billion, up 2.1% year-over-year, with gross margin improvements signaling operational strength. YTD returns near 19% lead peers, driven by market share gains and identical sales guidance of 1-2% for 2026, despite Inflation Reduction Act headwinds. Shares approach 52-week highs above $74, buoyed by e-commerce profitability and procurement efficiencies. Recent performance reflects upward momentum amid defensive retail positioning, enhancing sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI, BUD, and KR operate in consumer staples, but diverge in business models: BTI's tobacco focus yields high margins and dividends (over 5%), contrasting BUD's volume-driven beverages amid pricing sensitivity. KR's retail emphasizes scale and essentials, driving superior recent momentum (19% YTD vs. BTI's 7%, BUD's 12%). Growth drivers include BTI's smokeless shift, BUD's premiumization, and KR's e-commerce. Risks encompass regulation for BTI, consumption slowdowns for BUD, and competition for KR. Valuation favors BTI's low forward P/E; sentiment tilts to KR's stability in staples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KR based on consistent trend strength, YTD outperformance, and stable catalysts like margin gains and sales guidance. Probabilistic edge stems from defensive grocery exposure and recent momentum, though BTI's yield provides income stability in volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBUD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and KR’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BUD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and KR’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was +0.04% , and KR (@Food Retail) price fluctuated +0.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +0.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +1.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.52%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.21% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+0.01% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Food Retail (+1.74% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
| BTI | BUD | KR | |
| Capitalization | 121B | 147B | 41.6B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 21B | 5.76B |
| Gain YTD | 1.561 | 18.301 | 9.686 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.09 | 22.14 | 44.08 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 59.3B | 148B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 11.8B | 4.58B |
| Total Debt | N/A | 73B | 24.7B |
BTI | BUD | KR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 50 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 69 | 24 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 75 | 56 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 65 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 32 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KR (55) in the Food Retail industry. This means that BTI's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and somewhat faster than KR’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as KR (24) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (69) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to KR’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
KR's SMR Rating (56) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BTI (50) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as KR (59) in the Food Retail industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and similarly to KR’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Food Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (65) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (95) in the Tobacco industry. This means that KR's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | BUD | KR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 44% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 42% | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 43% | 6 days ago 56% | 6 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 44% |
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then MO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTI | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| MO - BTI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| IMBBY - BTI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PM - BTI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| BTAFF - BTI | 38% Loosely correlated | -5.13% | ||
| UVV - BTI | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.27% | ||
More | ||||
BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +0.46% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | +3.33% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 52% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
More | ||||
KR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KR has been loosely correlated with ACI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KR jumps, then ACI could also see price increases.