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BTI or KDP or PM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. Philip Morris International (PM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI offers the highest dividend yield at 5.73% with a low P/E of 12.46, appealing for value and income amid recent smokeless growth.
- PM leads YTD performance at 8.01%, supported by strong market cap and smoke-free transitions, though higher P/E at 23.86.
- KDP shows analyst upside potential of 26% with forward P/E of 12.85, driven by coffee portfolio expansions in recent market activity.
- All three exhibit low betas (<0.4), providing defensive positioning in consumer staples amid volatility.
- BTI and PM benefit from tobacco sector resilience, while KDP diversifies via beverages.
- Recent sentiment highlights BTI and PM as buys during market dips.
Introduction
This comparison examines BTI, KDP, and PM, representing consumer staples leaders in tobacco and beverages. These stocks offer defensive qualities with low volatility, high dividends, and shifts toward smokeless or healthier products. Investors seeking relative performance, valuation stability, and income in uncertain markets will find value here, as recent developments underscore their resilience amid broader economic pressures.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco (BTI) is a global tobacco giant focusing on cigarettes, vaping, and oral nicotine products. In recent weeks, shares have traded around $58, reflecting stability after a 52-week range of $37.96-$63.22. Sentiment has been buoyed by 2025 revenue and profit growth in smokeless categories, with analysts like UBS maintaining buy ratings. Year-to-date gains stand at 3.02%, supported by a low beta of 0.06 and attractive 5.73% dividend yield. Market activity highlights valuation reassessments following strong one-year returns, positioning BTI favorably for income-focused traders.
KDP Overview and Recent Performance
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) operates in non-alcoholic beverages and coffee systems, with segments in U.S. refreshment drinks and international markets. Shares hover near $28, within a 52-week range of $25.03-$36.12. Recent momentum stems from portfolio reshaping, including JDE Peet's acquisition and refreshment growth, prompting analyst upside forecasts of 26%. YTD return is 1.48%, with a forward P/E of 12.85 and 3.26% yield influencing positive sentiment. Low beta of 0.30 underscores defensive appeal amid share rebounds in volatile conditions.
PM Overview and Recent Performance
Philip Morris International (PM) specializes in cigarettes, heated tobacco, and nicotine pouches like Zyn, emphasizing smoke-free transitions. Trading around $173, shares span a 52-week range of $142.11-$191.30. Recent quarters showed revenue alignment but EPS misses, leading to short-term dips; however, YTD performance leads at 8.01%. A 3.39% dividend yield and beta of 0.40 support stability, with analysts eyeing growth catalysts despite delisting concerns. Market positioning remains strong for long-term holders.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI, KDP, and PM operate in consumer staples, blending tobacco and beverages for defensive exposure. Business models contrast: BTI and PM pivot to smokeless amid regulatory pressures, driving growth drivers like Vuse and IQOS, while KDP leverages branded drinks and coffee innovation. Valuation favors BTI (P/E 12.46, yield 5.73%) over PM (23.86, 3.39%) and KDP (18.42, 3.26%). Recent momentum shows PM ahead YTD, but KDP offers growth via acquisitions. Risks include regulation for tobacco peers and competition for KDP; sentiment tilts toward tobacco stability in downturns.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BTI for its superior yield, lowest valuation, and trend consistency in smokeless shifts, positioning it strongly relative to peers amid market volatility. While PM shows momentum and KDP growth potential, BTI’s risk-adjusted stability suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKDP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KDP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KDP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- KDP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а +0.91% price change this week, while KDP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was +4.98% , and PM (@Tobacco) price fluctuated +1.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +0.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.00%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164975.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
KDP is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
PM is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (+0.39% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+1.66% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| BTI | KDP | PM | |
| Capitalization | 126B | 36.1B | 250B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 4.19B | 17.5B |
| Gain YTD | 5.378 | -3.511 | 0.924 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.58 | 17.37 | 22.09 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 16.6B | 40.6B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | N/A | 17.6B | 48.8B |
BTI | KDP | PM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 65 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 100 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 74 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 61 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 94 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PM (23) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as KDP (25) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to PM’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PM (16) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (100) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to PM’s and significantly faster than KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PM's SMR Rating (3) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for KDP (74) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that PM's stock grew significantly faster than KDP’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PM (58) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as KDP (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to PM’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
PM's P/E Growth Rating (74) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (93) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as KDP (94) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that PM's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and similarly to KDP’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | KDP | PM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 10 days ago 45% | 23 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 5 days ago 65% | 5 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 32% | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 41% |
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then MO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTI | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| MO - BTI | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| IMBBY - BTI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.02% | ||
| PM - BTI | 43% Loosely correlated | -0.50% | ||
| BTAFF - BTI | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| UVV - BTI | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.24% | ||
More | ||||
PM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PM has been loosely correlated with BTI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PM jumps, then BTI could also see price increases.