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BTI or KR or PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Kroger (KR) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI offers the highest dividend yield at approximately 5.6%, with a low trailing P/E of 12.6 and strong growth in smokeless products driving recent resilience.
- KR leads YTD performance with around 16% gains, supported by e-commerce growth and new CEO initiatives targeting 1-2% comparable sales rise.
- PEP provides stability with a 3.5% yield and P/E of 26.7, though recent share weakness amid snack and beverage pressures has tempered momentum.
- Consumer staples exposure links the trio, but BTI stands out on valuation, KR on momentum, and PEP on brand diversification.
- All exhibit low betas under 0.6, signaling defensive positioning amid market volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BTI, KR, and PEP—key players in consumer staples with tobacco, grocery retail, and beverages/snacks exposure. Investors seeking defensive holdings with dividends and relative stability in volatile markets may find value here. Recent market activity highlights shifts in sentiment driven by earnings, strategic updates, and sector trends, offering insights into relative performance and positioning for traders monitoring consumer trends and economic sensitivity.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco (BTI) is a global leader in tobacco and nicotine products, spanning combustibles, vapes, heated tobacco, and oral nicotine like Vuse and Velo. In recent weeks, shares have shown resilience amid fluctuations, supported by 2025 revenue growth of 2.1% and adjusted profit up 3.4%, propelled by smokeless categories. The company reaffirmed 2026 guidance for 3-5% revenue and 4-6% profit expansion. Sentiment benefits from a high dividend yield near 5.6% and low P/E around 12.6, though regulatory scrutiny tempers gains. YTD returns hover around 4-10%, reflecting long-term strength despite short-term weakness.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
The Kroger Co. (KR) operates supermarkets, pharmacies, and fuel centers across the U.S., emphasizing omnichannel grocery retail. Recent market activity features strong YTD gains of about 16%, fueled by 20% e-commerce surge and Q4 earnings beats, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.28 topping estimates despite modest sales growth. New CEO Greg Foran targets 1-2% comparable sales for 2026 via affordable fresh food and delivery enhancements. A 1.9% dividend yield and forward P/E near 13.7 underpin appeal, countering competitive pressures in grocery. Stability persists with low beta around 0.6.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo (PEP) dominates beverages and snacks with brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Doritos. Recent weeks reflect share price pressure, down amid Q4 results showing mixed margins despite revenue beats, with focus on affordability and portfolio refresh including $1.95B Poppi acquisition. YTD performance around 12% lags peers slightly, with 3.5% dividend yield and P/E of 26.7 signaling premium valuation. Growth drivers include functional snacks and international expansion, bolstering sentiment despite North America challenges and low beta of 0.38 for defensive traits.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI, KR, and PEP anchor consumer staples but diverge in models: BTI's nicotine focus yields highest yield (5.6%) and cheapest valuation (P/E 12.6), trading off regulatory risks for income stability. KR's retail battles competition via digital growth, boasting top momentum (16% YTD) but elevated trailing P/E (47) from earnings lumpiness, with merger uncertainties as risks. PEP leverages diversified F&B for steady catalysts like acquisitions, yet premium P/E (26.7) reflects growth sensitivity to consumer spending versus peers' value tilt. All share low betas (<0.6), but BTI edges defensiveness, KR volume-driven upside, and PEP global breadth—balancing yield, growth, and risks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward BTI based on superior trend consistency in smokeless shifts, undervalued positioning (low P/E, high yield), and stability amid volatility. While KR shows stronger momentum and PEP reliable catalysts, BTI's relative value and income edge probabilistic outperformance in defensive environments.
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Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PEP’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PEP’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а +0.98% price change this week, while KR (@Food Retail) price change was -2.76% , and PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +0.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +1.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.18%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164976.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (+1.70% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food Retail (+0.96% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+2.02% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| BTI | KR | PEP | |
| Capitalization | 128B | 43.1B | 215B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 5.43B | 15.5B |
| Gain YTD | 5.450 | 13.161 | 10.714 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.58 | 45.68 | 26.25 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 147B | 93.9B |
| Total Cash | N/A | 879M | 9.53B |
| Total Debt | N/A | 25.2B | 49.9B |
BTI | KR | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 55 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 57 Fair valued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 21 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 77 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 50 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 8 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 34 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as PEP (26) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for KR (57) in the Food Retail industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and somewhat faster than KR’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as KR (21) in the Food Retail industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PEP (55) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to KR’s and somewhat faster than PEP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (22) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KR (77) in the Food Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that PEP's stock grew somewhat faster than KR’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as KR (50) in the Food Retail industry, and is in the same range as PEP (52) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to KR’s and similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as PEP (35) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (93) in the Tobacco industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | KR | PEP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 46% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 5 days ago 57% | 1 day ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 43% | 1 day ago 46% | 4 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 29% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 39% |
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