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BTI or MO or STZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Altria Group (MO) vs. Constellation Brands (STZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI offers a compelling 5.82% dividend yield and strong 1-year return of 48.58%, driven by growth in smoke-free products amid recent share fluctuations.
- MO leads YTD performance at 11.81% with the highest yield at 6.58%, supported by stable U.S. tobacco cash flows despite regulatory pressures.
- STZ shows positive YTD gains of 9.16% but trails over 1-year at -14.19%, facing demand softness offset by a new CEO and potential volume recovery.
- Tobacco peers BTI and MO trade at lower PE ratios (12.39x and 15.65x) versus STZ's 23.49x, highlighting valuation contrasts in consumer defensive sectors.
- Recent market volatility favors high-yield defensives like MO and BTI for income stability over STZ's growth exposure.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BTI, MO, and STZ in the current market environment, focusing on relative performance, valuation, and sector dynamics. These consumer defensive names—two tobacco giants and a leading beer/wine producer—appeal to income-oriented investors seeking stability amid volatility, as well as traders eyeing momentum shifts and dividend reliability. With high yields from BTI and MO contrasting STZ's premium growth profile, the analysis highlights trade-offs in risk, returns, and positioning for diversified portfolios.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) is a global leader in tobacco and nicotine products, offering cigarettes, vapes, heated tobacco, and oral nicotine under brands like Vuse, Glo, Velo, and Lucky Strike. In recent market activity, BTI shares have experienced fluctuations around $57, with a 52-week range of 37.96-63.22 and market cap near $125B. Sentiment remains supported by robust long-term returns, a 5.82% dividend yield, and optimism around smoke-free category growth, including 4.7 million new consumers added in 2025. Recent revenue rose 2.1% driven by smokeless products, bolstering analyst targets averaging $60.90 despite broader volatility.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) focuses on U.S. smokeable and oral nicotine products, with Marlboro dominating cigarettes, alongside Black & Mild, Copenhagen, on!, and NJOY vapes. Trading near $64 in recent weeks, MO boasts a 52-week range of 52.82-70.51 and $108B market cap. Performance reflects strength in oral tobacco and cash flows, yielding 6.58% dividends, though regulatory hurdles in e-vapor temper gains. YTD outperformance stems from undervaluation perceptions and stable demand, with analysts maintaining Buy ratings and targets up to $74 amid share weakness.
STZ Overview and Recent Performance
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) produces and markets beer, wine, and spirits, featuring Corona, Modelo, Kim Crawford, and Casa Noble. Shares hover around $150 lately, within a 126.45-196.91 52-week span and $26B market cap. Recent sentiment mixes caution from weaker demand—especially Hispanic consumers—and a CEO transition to Nicholas Fink, with 2.73% yield. Positive YTD reflects hopes for volume recovery and earnings on April 8, supported by analyst upgrades like Citigroup's Buy at $175, despite five-year price slides.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI and MO anchor tobacco's defensive business models, emphasizing recurring nicotine demand versus STZ's cyclical beverages exposure to consumer trends and Hispanic demographics. Growth drivers diverge: BTI's global smokeless expansion contrasts MO's U.S.-centric oral momentum and STZ's premium beer reliance amid softening volumes. Recent momentum favors MO's YTD lead, while BTI shines over one year. Risks include regulatory scrutiny for tobacco versus demand shifts for alcohol; valuations show BTI/MO cheaper on PE sensitivity. Market sentiment tilts toward tobacco yields in volatility, trading off STZ's higher growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MO for its superior YTD trend consistency, highest dividend stability at 6.58%, and relative U.S. market positioning amid volatility. While BTI offers strong 1-year momentum and smoke-free catalysts, and STZ holds recovery upside, MO's valuation edge and cash flow reliability suggest higher probability of outperformance for income-focused strategies in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMO’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and STZ’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- STZ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MO’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and STZ’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while MO (@Tobacco) price change was -4.76% , and STZ (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price fluctuated -2.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
STZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| BTI | MO | STZ | |
| Capitalization | 122B | 107B | 28.1B |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 10.8B | 2.47B |
| Gain YTD | 1.561 | 13.155 | 18.394 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.96 | 15.58 | 16.89 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 20.1B | 9.38B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 152M |
| Total Debt | N/A | 25.7B | 10.7B |
BTI | MO | STZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 55 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 14 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 9 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 52 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 15 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BTI (12) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and somewhat faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
BTI's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MO (14) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for STZ (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to MO’s and significantly faster than STZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
STZ's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MO (52) in the Tobacco industry, and is in the same range as BTI (52) in the Tobacco industry. This means that STZ's stock grew similarly to MO’s and similarly to BTI’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for STZ (79) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BTI (95) in the Tobacco industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than STZ’s and significantly faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | MO | STZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 61% | 10 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 43% | 4 days ago 37% | 4 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | N/A | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 23% | 2 days ago 44% |
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then MO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTI | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| MO - BTI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| IMBBY - BTI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PM - BTI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| BTAFF - BTI | 38% Loosely correlated | -5.13% | ||
| UVV - BTI | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.27% | ||
More | ||||
STZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STZ has been loosely correlated with SAM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if STZ jumps, then SAM could also see price increases.