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BTI or UL or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? British American Tobacco (BTI) vs. Unilever (UL) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BTI shows resilience with revenue and profit growth from smokeless products, attractive dividend yield, and year-to-date gains outperforming benchmarks like the FTSE 100.
- UL reports 3.5% sales growth focused on premium segments but faces share price pressure, with modest long-term returns amid market volatility.
- WMT demonstrates strong momentum with international sales up 7.5%, e-commerce expansion, raised dividends, and year-to-date returns exceeding the S&P 500.
- Relative performance highlights WMT's leadership in growth and stability, while BTI offers value through dividends and UL lags in recent momentum.
- All three consumer defensive stocks provide sector exposure, but differ in risk profiles: tobacco regulatory pressures for BTI, consumer shifts for UL, and retail competition for WMT.
- Valuation sensitivity shows BTI potentially undervalued, UL stable, and WMT premium-priced on earnings growth.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BTI, UL, and WMT, three consumer defensive giants offering stability amid market fluctuations. BTI represents tobacco with smokeless transitions, UL consumer goods emphasizing premium brands, and WMT retail dominance via omnichannel growth. Investors seeking dividend reliability, growth in essentials, or retail exposure will find value in analyzing their recent performance, sector drivers, and relative positioning in today's environment of shifting consumer preferences and economic pressures.
BTI Overview and Recent Performance
British American Tobacco p.l.c. (BTI) is a global leader in tobacco and nicotine products, including vapour, heated, and oral categories like Vuse, glo, and Velo, alongside traditional combustibles. Headquartered in London, it serves consumers across the US, Europe, and emerging markets. In recent market activity, BTI has demonstrated resilience, reporting 2.1% revenue growth and profit increases driven by smokeless segments amid share price fluctuations. Analysts note its strong dividend yield and potential undervaluation, with year-to-date returns around +5-8% outperforming the FTSE 100. Sentiment benefits from strategic shifts to non-combustible products, though regulatory risks influence volatility.
UL Overview and Recent Performance
Unilever PLC (UL) operates as a fast-moving consumer goods company with segments in Beauty & Wellbeing, Personal Care, Home Care, and Foods, featuring brands like Dove, Axe, and Hellmann's. Dual-listed in London and Amsterdam, it reaches markets in Asia-Pacific, Africa, Americas, and Europe. Recent weeks show UL achieving 3.5% underlying sales growth, prioritizing higher-margin premium products during transformation efforts. However, share prices have faced downward pressure, with one-month declines around 14% and year-to-date slightly negative versus benchmarks. Market sentiment reflects valuation concerns and competition in consumer staples, balanced by steady long-term positioning.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is the world's largest retailer, operating supercenters, Sam's Club warehouses, and e-commerce platforms worldwide, with segments in Walmart U.S., International, and Sam's Club. Based in Bentonville, Arkansas, it offers groceries, health products, electronics, and more. In recent market activity, WMT has exhibited robust momentum, with international net sales up 7.5%, e-commerce double-digit gains, and a raised dividend alongside a $30 billion repurchase program. Year-to-date returns exceed 12-13%, outpacing the S&P 500, fueled by omnichannel strength and membership growth, though recent pullbacks reflect broader retail dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BTI, UL, and WMT span consumer defensive models: BTI's tobacco relies on nicotine addiction and smokeless pivots for steady cash flows; UL's branded goods emphasize volume in essentials with premiumization; WMT's scale drives low-price retail and e-commerce. Growth drivers contrast WMT's 7.5% international surge against UL's 3.5% and BTI's smokeless focus. Recent momentum favors WMT (YTD +13%) over BTI (+6%) and UL (-1%). Risks include BTI's regulations, UL's margin pressures, and WMT's competition. Valuation shows BTI attractive on dividends (PE ~13x), UL mid-range (21x), WMT premium (35x+). Sentiment tilts positive for WMT's stability versus peers' challenges.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT based on superior trend consistency, e-commerce catalysts, international growth, and relative stability outperforming the S&P 500 YTD. While BTI offers dividend appeal and UL defensive positioning, WMT's momentum and market positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in consumer defensive rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BTI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileUL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BTI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BTI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BTI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- UL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BTI (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.62% price change this week, while UL (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +0.33% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.25%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +0.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
BTI is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Household/Personal Care (+0.96% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Discount Stores (+2.34% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| BTI | UL | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 121B | 127B | 1.02T |
| EBITDA | 14.1B | 11.3B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 1.561 | -9.822 | 14.677 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.96 | 19.14 | 46.70 |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 59.8B | 713B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 10.7B |
| Total Debt | N/A | N/A | 67.1B |
BTI | UL | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 51 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 12 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 81 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 97 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 79 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 83 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BTI's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as UL (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that BTI's stock grew similarly to UL’s and significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BTI (13) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for UL (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and significantly faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's SMR Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (97) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (99) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than UL’s and somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BTI (50) in the Tobacco industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (79) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to BTI’s and somewhat faster than UL’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UL (83) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BTI (95) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than UL’s and somewhat faster than BTI’s over the last 12 months.
| BTI | UL | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 34% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 61% | 11 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 43% | 6 days ago 42% | 7 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | N/A | 3 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 40% | 3 days ago 25% |
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BTI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTI has been loosely correlated with MO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BTI jumps, then MO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTI | 100% | +0.96% | ||
| MO - BTI | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| IMBBY - BTI | 46% Loosely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| PM - BTI | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| BTAFF - BTI | 38% Loosely correlated | -5.13% | ||
| UVV - BTI | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.27% | ||
More | ||||
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +2.15% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.18% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.17% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.19% | ||
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