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BUD or CL or MO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Colgate-Palmolive (CL) vs. Altria Group (MO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD shows positive YTD performance around 5-14%, buoyed by strong Q4 earnings beats, though recent weeks have seen pullbacks amid broader market volatility.
- CL exhibits YTD gains of 8-12%, supported by resilient demand for essentials and upbeat sales forecasts, but faces recent downward pressure with monthly declines near 10%.
- MO leads YTD with 12-16% returns and a high dividend yield over 6%, driven by stable tobacco cash flows, despite regulatory risks and modest recent weakness.
- Consumer staples sector exposure provides defensive positioning for all three, with MO offering the highest yield, CL strong emerging market growth, and BUD international diversification.
- Valuations vary: MO at P/E around 15-16x with superior yield; BUD higher at 20x+; CL premium pricing reflects stability.
- Recent momentum favors MO for income seekers, while growth-oriented traders eye CL and BUD catalysts in staples.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, CL, and MO, three consumer staples leaders spanning beverages, household products, and tobacco. These stocks offer relative stability in volatile markets, appealing to defensive investors seeking dividends and growth amid economic uncertainty. Traders focused on sector rotation may find value in their differing exposures: BUD's global beer portfolio, CL's essential oral care dominance, and MO's U.S. nicotine stronghold. Recent performance highlights shifts in sentiment, providing insights into relative positioning for portfolio allocation.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, produces brands like Budweiser and Corona, with operations spanning North America, Europe, and emerging markets. In recent market activity, BUD has delivered YTD returns of 4-14%, outperforming broader benchmarks in some periods. Q4 earnings exceeded profit and revenue projections, boosting sentiment through premiumization and beyond-beer expansion. However, shares dipped in recent weeks, with 5-day declines around 7% and monthly drops near 15%, influenced by currency fluctuations and consumer spending caution. Market cap hovers near $133 billion, with a P/E above 20x reflecting growth expectations, and dividend yield around 1.8-2%. International diversification supports resilience, though U.S. volume pressures weigh on performance.
CL Overview and Recent Performance
Colgate-Palmolive (CL) is a global leader in oral, personal, and home care products, with strong footholds in emerging markets. Recent performance shows YTD gains of 8-12%, driven by steady essentials demand and Q4 results beating EPS and revenue estimates with 4-5% organic growth. Shares have faced headwinds lately, with 5-day drops near 4-5% and monthly declines around 10%, amid broader staples rotation. Trading around $85, market cap stands at $68 billion, P/E near 32x signals premium valuation for stability, and dividend yield about 2.4%. Positive sales outlooks for essentials in Latin America and Europe bolster sentiment, offsetting competitive pressures.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group (MO) dominates U.S. tobacco with Marlboro cigarettes and expanding oral nicotine pouches like on!. YTD performance leads peers at 12-16%, supported by reliable cash flows and a forward dividend yield exceeding 6%. Recent weeks show modest weakness, with 5-day declines around 5% and monthly dips near 3-4%, tied to volume declines and regulatory scrutiny. At $64, market cap is $108 billion, P/E around 15-16x offers value relative to growth, with EPS stability. Smokeless transitions and dividend hikes sustain investor interest despite sector headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD, CL, and MO operate in consumer staples but diverge in business models: BUD's global brewing emphasizes premium volumes and diversification, contrasting CL's defensive essentials focus and MO's U.S.-centric tobacco with smokeless pivots. Growth drivers include BUD and CL's emerging market exposure versus MO's pricing power. Recent momentum tilts to MO's YTD lead, though all lag broader indices short-term. Risks: regulatory for MO, competition for BUD and CL. MO's 6%+ yield trumps others' 2%, but higher P/E for CL reflects stability premium; BUD balances growth at elevated multiples. Sentiment favors income via MO, resilience in CL.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MO based on trend consistency in YTD gains, high dividend stability exceeding 6%, and relative value at P/E under 16x amid tobacco cash flow reliability. Probabilistic edge stems from lower volatility, superior yield for income positioning, and consumer staples defense, though CL trails closely on growth catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MO’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and MO’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +0.04% price change this week, while CL (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +0.08% , and MO (@Tobacco) price fluctuated -3.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +0.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.00%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
CL is expected to report earnings on May 01, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+0.01% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Household/Personal Care (+1.15% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| BUD | CL | MO | |
| Capitalization | 147B | 67B | 108B |
| EBITDA | 21B | 3.96B | 10.8B |
| Gain YTD | 18.301 | 7.016 | 13.931 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.14 | 31.76 | 15.68 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 20.4B | 20.1B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 73B | 8.55B | 25.7B |
BUD | CL | MO | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 10 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 98 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 70 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 5 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 57 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 46 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CL (98) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (69) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for CL (70) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and somewhat faster than CL’s over the last 12 months.
CL's SMR Rating (5) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as MO (9) in the Tobacco industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that CL's stock grew similarly to MO’s and significantly faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as BUD (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as CL (57) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and similarly to CL’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as CL (46) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (65) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MO's stock grew similarly to CL’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | CL | MO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 50% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 37% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 40% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 44% | 12 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 56% | 8 days ago 43% | 6 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 22% |
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +0.46% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | +3.33% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 52% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
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