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BUD or DEO or PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Diageo (DEO) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD has shown robust year-to-date gains around 14-28%, driven by strong Q4 earnings beats and optimism for sports events in 2026.
- DEO faces headwinds with recent dividend cuts and U.S. volume softness, leading to YTD declines of about 5% and one-year drops near 27%.
- PEP delivers steady performance with YTD returns around 12%, supported by diversification into protein snacks amid consumer health trends.
- BUD trades at a forward P/E of approximately 18-20 with a 1.8% yield, appearing relatively attractive versus peers.
- Consumer staples sector exposure provides defensive qualities, but alcohol stocks like BUD and DEO show higher volatility than PEP.
- Recent market activity highlights BUD's momentum edge over DEO's pressures.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, DEO, and PEP, three leaders in beverages and consumer staples. Anheuser-Busch InBev dominates beer with global brands like Budweiser and Corona, Diageo excels in premium spirits such as Johnnie Walker and Guinness, and PepsiCo offers diversified snacks and non-alcoholic drinks including Pepsi and Lay's. Investors seeking defensive plays amid market volatility or traders eyeing relative performance in the sector will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and valuation metrics for informed positioning in today's environment.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), the world's largest brewer, produces and distributes beers like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. With a market cap exceeding $140 billion, it operates over 170 breweries globally. In recent market activity, BUD shares have demonstrated resilience, posting year-to-date gains of 14-28% and trading around $73.65. Strong Q4 profit and revenue beats, coupled with capacity expansions and anticipation for 2026 sports events like the World Cup, have bolstered sentiment. Trading at a trailing P/E of 21.73 and forward P/E near 18-20 with a 1.8% dividend yield, BUD benefits from premiumization trends and volume recovery, though currency fluctuations remain a risk factor.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), a leading premium drinks company, manufactures spirits like Johnnie Walker, Smirnoff, and Tanqueray, alongside Guinness beer, sold in nearly 180 countries. Headquartered in London with over 110 manufacturing sites, its market cap stands around $46 billion. Recent weeks have pressured DEO, with shares near $81.80 reflecting YTD declines of about 5% and one-year drops approaching 27%. A dividend cut, lowered 2026 guidance due to U.S. spirits weakness and softer China demand, alongside analyst downgrades like HSBC to Hold, have weighed on performance. At a trailing P/E around 19-21 and yield near 5%, DEO maintains brand strength but grapples with volume challenges and regional headwinds.
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is a global food and beverage giant with brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Quaker, spanning snacks and non-alcoholic drinks across 200+ countries. With a market cap over $217 billion, it emphasizes health-oriented innovations. In recent market activity, PEP shares hover at $159.43, delivering YTD returns of about 12% amid broader stability. Expansions into protein snacks like Doritos Protein and focus on growing healthy foods markets support sentiment, despite some volume softness. Trading at a trailing P/E of 26.6 and 3.6% dividend yield, PEP's diversification cushions it against sector volatility, with steady earnings growth expected.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD, DEO, and PEP operate in beverages but diverge in models: BUD and DEO focus on alcohol (beer/spirits), exposing them to premiumization gains and regulatory/cyclical risks, while PEP's snacks-non-alc mix offers broader stability. Growth drivers contrast: BUD leverages events and volumes, DEO premium brands amid U.S./China slowdowns, and PEP health trends. Recent momentum favors BUD (strong earnings) over DEO (guidance cuts); PEP shows consistency. Risks include alcohol volumes for BUD/DEO versus PEP's input costs. Valuations: BUD cheapest (P/E ~22), PEP priciest (~27) but yields highest (3.6%). Sentiment tilts positive for BUD amid peers' steadier but less explosive profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward BUD based on superior recent trend consistency, earnings catalysts like Q4 beats, and relative undervaluation versus DEO and PEP. With stronger YTD momentum and positioning for 2026 events, it exhibits higher probabilistic upside in the near term, though PEP's stability suits conservative strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDEO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PEP’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DEO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and PEP’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +6.21% price change this week, while DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) price change was +5.63% , and PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price fluctuated +0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.14%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -0.78%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.17%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +1.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.85%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164975.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.29% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-0.78% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+1.66% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| BUD | DEO | PEP | |
| Capitalization | 146B | 43.1B | 215B |
| EBITDA | 21B | 6.39B | 15.5B |
| Gain YTD | 18.254 | -10.224 | 10.412 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.34 | 17.90 | 26.18 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 19.8B | 93.9B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | 2.69B | 9.53B |
| Total Debt | 73B | 23.5B | 49.9B |
BUD | DEO | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 4 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 51 Fair valued | 13 Undervalued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 100 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 97 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 77 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 54 | 36 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PEP (26) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (51) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that DEO's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (67) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (22) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PEP (50) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DEO (77) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to PEP’s and similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as DEO (54) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as BUD (56) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP's stock grew similarly to DEO’s and similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | DEO | PEP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 35% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 39% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 54% | 23 days ago 59% | 5 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 38% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | -1.38% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.89% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.32% | ||
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PEP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PEP has been loosely correlated with KO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PEP jumps, then KO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PEP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEP | 100% | -0.27% | ||
| KO - PEP | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| KDP - PEP | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| MNST - PEP | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| CCEP - PEP | 37% Loosely correlated | -0.49% | ||
| FIZZ - PEP | 36% Loosely correlated | -2.03% | ||
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