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BUD or DG or WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Dollar General (DG) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD shares have shown resilience with YTD gains around 14%, supported by strong Q4 earnings beats and expectations for sports-related boosts in 2026.
- DG delivered robust one-year returns exceeding 78%, driven by discount retail demand, though recent volatility reflects upcoming earnings anticipation.
- WMT leads in stability with YTD performance near 12% and market cap over $997 billion, bolstered by e-commerce growth and consistent revenue expansion.
- Retail giants DG and WMT benefit from consumer staples exposure, while BUD faces beverage sector headwinds but gains from global diversification.
- Valuation contrasts: WMT trades at a premium P/E above 45, DG around 25, highlighting growth trade-offs in relative performance.
- Recent market activity shows WMT with steady momentum, DG strong longer-term upside, and BUD recovery potential.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, DG, and WMT amid shifting consumer trends and economic pressures. Anheuser-Busch InBev represents the beverage sector, while Dollar General and Walmart dominate discount and mass retail. Traders seeking defensive plays in consumer staples and investors eyeing relative performance in a volatile market will find value here. Recent earnings, sector momentum, and market positioning provide insights into growth drivers, risks, and opportunities for portfolio diversification.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, operates globally with brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across segments including North America, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, BUD shares traded around $73, reflecting YTD gains of about 14% and three-month advances near 18%. Q4 results exceeded profit and revenue forecasts, with EBITDA margins at 35.8% and optimism for 2026 from events like the soccer World Cup. Sentiment has improved on share buybacks and U.S. investments, though challenges in China and input costs like aluminum tempered volumes. Broader recovery in consumer defensive positioning supports momentum.
DG Overview and Recent Performance
Dollar General (DG), a leading discount retailer, serves low- to middle-income consumers through over 20,000 U.S. stores focusing on consumables and everyday essentials. Shares recently hovered near $146, with YTD returns around 10% and one-year surges over 78%. Recent weeks saw modest pullbacks amid Q4 earnings anticipation, projecting 4.7% revenue growth to $10.78 billion despite potential EPS dips. Expansion plans include 450 new stores in 2026, bolstering same-store sales in budget retail. Operational scrutiny from store closures has surfaced, but strong traffic in rural areas drives relative outperformance versus broader retail.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the global retail leader, blends physical stores, e-commerce, and Sam's Club across 19 countries, emphasizing low prices and omnichannel growth. Trading around $125, shares posted YTD gains near 12% and one-year returns over 42%, with three-month momentum at 10.5%. Q4 FY26 revenue hit $190.7 billion, up 5.6%, with e-commerce surging 24% and EPS beating estimates. Dividend hikes to $0.99 per share mark 53 years of increases. Tech investments like AI tools and partnerships enhance positioning, sustaining stability amid retail shifts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD, DG, and WMT span beverages and retail, with WMT's scale ($713B revenue) dwarfing DG ($40B+) and BUD ($59B). Growth drivers differ: WMT leverages e-commerce (24% rise), DG store expansions, and BUD premium brands/events. Recent momentum favors DG's 78% one-year gain over WMT's 42% and BUD's 17%. Risks include BUD's volume sensitivity, DG's operational issues, and WMT's premium valuation (P/E 45+ vs. DG 25, BUD lower). Sentiment tilts toward retail stability, with WMT least volatile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT for its trend consistency, e-commerce catalysts, and defensive market positioning amid volatility. With superior stability, revenue growth, and inclusion in high-performing bots (e.g., +25% returns, 73% win rate), it edges DG's momentum and BUD's recovery. Probabilistic edge leans toward sustained outperformance in consumer staples.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and WMT’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and WMT’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +5.46% price change this week, while DG (@Discount Stores) price change was +0.48% , and WMT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
DG is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| BUD | DG | WMT | |
| Capitalization | 144B | 26.4B | 1.03T |
| EBITDA | 21B | 3.24B | 46.5B |
| Gain YTD | 17.411 | -8.992 | 16.143 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.18 | 17.48 | 47.30 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 42.7B | 713B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 73B | 15.7B | 68.4B |
BUD | DG | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 7 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 33 Fair valued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 45 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 57 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 55 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 34 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DG's Valuation (33) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DG's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (68) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for DG (100) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and significantly faster than DG’s over the last 12 months.
DG's SMR Rating (45) in the Discount Stores industry is in the same range as BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DG's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BUD (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for DG (57) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than DG’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BUD (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as DG (55) in the Discount Stores industry. This means that WMT's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and similarly to DG’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | DG | WMT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 56% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 28% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 4 days ago 62% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 54% | 14 days ago 64% | 21 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 30% |
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BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.24% | ||
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DG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DG has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 43% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DG jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +1.47% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 39% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.58% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.74% | ||
| OLLI - WMT | 27% Poorly correlated | -5.05% | ||
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