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BUD or KR or MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Kroger (KR) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD leads YTD performance at +12.46%, supported by strong Q4 earnings beats and beyond-beer growth initiatives, trading at a forward P/E of 17.36.
- KR shows robust YTD gains of +16.12% amid new CEO strategies for customer loyalty, though elevated trailing P/E of 46.88 reflects muted sales outlook.
- MDLZ lags YTD at +2.84%, pressured by cocoa costs despite Q4 revenue beats and sustainability investments, with a forward P/E of 18.15.
- Consumer staples sector resilience favors BUD and KR for relative momentum over MDLZ in recent market activity.
- Valuation sensitivity highlights BUD's attractive metrics, balancing growth and stability across the trio.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, the global brewing giant; KR, a leading U.S. grocery retailer; and MDLZ, a major snack and confectionery producer. These consumer staples firms offer defensive exposure amid market volatility, appealing to traders seeking relative performance stability and investors eyeing dividend yields and sector rotations. Recent earnings beats and strategic shifts provide insights into momentum, valuation, and risk in the current environment.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, produces brands like Budweiser and Stella Artois, with a focus on premiumization and beyond-beer expansion. Shares trade around $72.66, with a market cap of $143B and trailing P/E of 21.58. Recent market activity shows YTD gains of 12.46%, outpacing peers, driven by Q4 earnings exceeding profit and revenue projections. Sentiment has improved on beyond-beer growth, beer stock breakouts, and analyst upgrades, though volume pressures in select markets temper gains. Forward P/E of 17.36 signals value relative to growth outlook.
KR Overview and Recent Performance
The Kroger Co. (KR) operates supermarkets and multi-format stores, emphasizing fresh foods and e-commerce. At $72.19, with a $44B market cap and trailing P/E of 46.88, shares reflect YTD strength of 16.12%. Recent weeks feature Q4 EPS beats despite revenue misses, alongside new CEO Greg Foran's growth priorities like sharper pricing and loyalty enhancements. Analyst price target hikes underscore optimism, though competitive grocery pressures and modest 1-2% comparable sales guidance influence cautious momentum. Forward P/E of 13.70 suggests undervaluation potential.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) specializes in snacks like Oreo and Cadbury, with global reach in emerging markets. Shares at $55.36 carry a $71B market cap and trailing P/E of 29.29. YTD return stands at 2.84%, trailing peers amid cocoa cost headwinds. Recent performance includes Q4 revenue and EPS beats, but shares dipped post-earnings on flat-to-2% 2026 organic growth guidance. Investments in Toblerone production and sustainable packaging bolster long-term positioning, while CEO notes on pricier M&A add nuance to sentiment. Forward P/E of 18.15 indicates balanced appeal.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD’s beverage model leverages global scale and premium brands for revenue per hectoliter growth, contrasting KR’s retail focus on volume through pricing and loyalty amid thin margins. MDLZ drives snacking via innovation but faces commodity volatility. Recent momentum favors KR and BUD YTD, with MDLZ lagging on input costs. Risks include BUD’s volume sensitivity, KR’s competition, and MDLZ’s pricing elasticity. Sector exposure aligns in staples, but BUD offers superior valuation (P/S 2.49) versus KR (0.32, high P/B) and MDLZ (1.86). Sentiment tilts positive for BUD on catalysts like buybacks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward BUD, given consistent trend strength, earnings outperformance, attractive forward valuation, and beyond-beer catalysts positioning it favorably against KR’s sales caution and MDLZ’s cost pressures. Probabilistic edge favors stability and relative upside in staples rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MDLZ’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- KR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and MDLZ’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +0.04% price change this week, while KR (@Food Retail) price change was +0.29% , and MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price fluctuated -2.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.62%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Retail industry was +2.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.08%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -2.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
KR is expected to report earnings on Jun 11, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.04% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Food Retail (+2.31% weekly)The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-2.68% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| BUD | KR | MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 147B | 41.8B | 73.5B |
| EBITDA | 21B | 5.76B | 4.97B |
| Gain YTD | 18.301 | 9.686 | 7.274 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.35 | 44.28 | 30.29 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 148B | 38.5B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | 4.58B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 73B | 24.7B | 21.8B |
BUD | KR | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 54 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 24 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 56 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 59 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 10 | 23 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 32 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (25) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as KR (55) in the Food Retail industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and similarly to KR’s over the last 12 months.
KR's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Food Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (69) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (81) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KR's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
KR's SMR Rating (56) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as KR (59) in the Food Retail industry, and is in the same range as MDLZ (59) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to KR’s and similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
KR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Food Retail industry is in the same range as MDLZ (23) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (65) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that KR's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | KR | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 46% | 6 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 57% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 39% |
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| ESGD | 103.00 | 1.31 | +1.29% |
| iShares ESG Aware MSCI EAFE ETF | |||
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| BondBloxx US Hg Yld Fncl & REIT Str ETF | |||
| KJUL | 33.28 | 0.16 | +0.47% |
| Innovator Russell 2000 Pwr Bffr ETF™ Jul | |||
| GBXC | 27.07 | N/A | N/A |
| Goldman Sachs U.S. Large Cap Buffer 3 ETF | |||
| FYLD | 37.98 | -0.24 | -0.63% |
| Cambria Foreign Shareholder Yield ETF | |||
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.32% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
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