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BUD or MDLZ or PG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Procter & Gamble (PG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD has shown robust YTD gains around 14-28%, supported by Q4 earnings beats and positive outlook for 2026 driven by major sporting events.
- MDLZ faces headwinds from high cocoa costs and cautious growth projections, with YTD performance at about 5-6% amid recent share price pressure.
- PG delivers steady YTD returns of 9%, bolstered by product innovations like Mr. Clean upgrades and a strong dividend history spanning 70 years.
- Consumer staples sector provides defensive positioning, but BUD exhibits stronger recent momentum compared to peers.
- Valuation contrasts: MDLZ trades at a higher P/E around 30-31, while PG and BUD appear more reasonably valued relative to growth prospects.
- Dividend yields remain attractive across all three, with PG at approximately 2.7% and reliable increases.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, MDLZ, and PG, three prominent consumer staples names representing beverages, snacks, and household essentials. These companies offer stability in volatile markets, appealing to defensive investors seeking consistent dividends and resilience amid economic uncertainty. Traders may find value in their relative performance, as recent market activity highlights shifts in sentiment driven by earnings, commodity pressures, and growth catalysts. Understanding their business models, recent momentum, and sector dynamics aids in evaluating relative performance and market positioning.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, produces and distributes beer brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, BUD shares have demonstrated resilience, trading around $73 with YTD gains of 14-28%. Q4 results exceeded profit and revenue expectations, boosting sentiment. Analysts note valuation appeal after share price momentum, with expectations of outperformance in 2026 from events like the soccer World Cup. Influences include volume recovery and EBITDA growth guidance of 4-8%, though stagflation concerns linger in the sector.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a global leader in snacks, holding top positions in biscuits and chocolate with brands like Oreo and Cadbury, operating in over 150 countries. Recent weeks have seen MDLZ shares around $56-58, with YTD returns near 5-6% but longer-term pressure from high cocoa prices slashing margins. Earnings revealed growth challenges, mixed analyst views, and cautious 2026 revenue outlooks. Strategic moves like Toblerone investments aim to counter demand softness, while a recent dividend declaration of $0.50 underscores shareholder focus amid competitive snack dynamics.
PG Overview and Recent Performance
Procter & Gamble (PG), founded in 1837, manufactures consumer goods in beauty, grooming, health care, fabric, and family care, with brands like Tide, Pampers, and Gillette serving billions worldwide. Shares hover near $156, posting YTD gains of about 9% despite short-term dips. Recent Q2 results showed 1% net sales growth to $22.2 billion, with product upgrades in Mr. Clean and Gain driving sentiment. A 70-year dividend increase streak and moderate buy ratings support stability, though North American organic sales dipped amid inventory impacts and competitive pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD, MDLZ, and PG operate in consumer staples but diverge in business models: BUD focuses on beer with global brand leverage, MDLZ on snacks vulnerable to commodity swings like cocoa, and PG on diversified essentials with broad category exposure. Growth drivers contrast—BUD benefits from event catalysts, PG from innovation, while MDLZ grapples with cost pressures. Recent momentum favors BUD's YTD surge over PG's steadiness and MDLZ's lag. Risk factors include cyclical alcohol demand for BUD, input volatility for MDLZ, and competition for PG. Valuation sensitivity shows MDLZ at premium P/E (~30), versus peers. Market sentiment tilts toward BUD post-earnings, balancing trade-offs in stability versus upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BUD based on trend consistency from earnings beats, stability in a defensive sector, and relative positioning with stronger YTD momentum and 2026 catalysts like global events. While PG offers superior long-term reliability and MDLZ growth potential post-commodity relief, BUD's observable factors suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PG’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and PG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +6.21% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +2.54% , and PG (@Household/Personal Care) price fluctuated +1.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.14%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.29%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.38%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
PG is expected to report earnings on Apr 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.29% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.04% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Household/Personal Care (+2.76% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
| BUD | MDLZ | PG | |
| Capitalization | 146B | 75.7B | 337B |
| EBITDA | 21B | 4.97B | 24.5B |
| Gain YTD | 18.254 | 10.553 | 2.010 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.34 | 31.22 | 21.51 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 38.5B | 85.3B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | N/A | 10.8B |
| Total Debt | 73B | 21.8B | 36.6B |
BUD | MDLZ | PG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 19 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 51 Fair valued | 27 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 72 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 71 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 53 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 20 | 80 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (27) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as PG (39) in the Household Or Personal Care industry, and is in the same range as BUD (51) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to PG’s and similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
PG's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as BUD (67) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that PG's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
PG's SMR Rating (29) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PG's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as PG (59) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to PG’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (56) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for PG (80) in the Household Or Personal Care industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s and somewhat faster than PG’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | MDLZ | PG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 54% | 11 days ago 49% | 5 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 36% |
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | -0.15% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.73% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +4.41% | ||
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PG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PG has been closely correlated with CL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PG jumps, then CL could also see price increases.