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BUD or MDLZ or TGT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) vs. Target (TGT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD has delivered strong YTD gains of around 14-15%, outperforming benchmarks amid resilient beer demand in key markets.
- MDLZ faces headwinds from rising input costs like cocoa, with cautious 2026 growth projections despite solid Q4 results.
- TGT surged post-earnings on optimistic guidance, planning store expansions and investments, with YTD returns exceeding 20%.
- Consumer staples like BUD and MDLZ offer stability, while retail TGT shows higher momentum but greater cyclical risk.
- Relative performance highlights TGT's recent rebound versus softer trends in snacks and beverages.
- Valuation sensitivity ties to consumer spending shifts, with discount retail gaining traction in recent market activity.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD, MDLZ, and TGT, representing beverages, snacks, and discount retail sectors. These consumer-facing stocks provide insights into defensive staples versus cyclical retail amid evolving spending patterns. Traders seeking momentum may eye recent price action, while long-term investors value stability and growth drivers. With shifting sentiment around inflation and consumer resilience, this analysis highlights relative performance, sector exposures, and market positioning to inform portfolio decisions in the current environment.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), the world's largest brewer, produces brands like Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois across global segments including North America, South America, and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, BUD shares traded around $73.65, reflecting YTD returns of approximately 14-15% and one-year gains near 20%, outpacing benchmarks like the BEL 20. Recent weeks saw modest pullbacks from 52-week highs near $81, influenced by broader consumer staples rotation. Sentiment remains supported by scale advantages, pricing power, and volume stability in emerging markets, though U.S. beer trends add caution. Key developments include ongoing portfolio optimization and global export growth.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) is a leading snacks company with brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Milka, spanning biscuits, chocolate, and gum in over 150 countries. Shares recently hovered near $58.40, with YTD performance around 14% but longer-term returns mixed amid one-year declines. Recent trading showed volatility, down from 52-week highs above $71, pressured by rising cocoa and input costs impacting margins. Q4 results beat estimates with 5.1% organic growth, yet 2026 outlook cites cautious revenue amid volume softness. Sentiment reflects acquisition challenges and stabilizing commodity pressures, balanced by brand strength and emerging market exposure.
TGT Overview and Recent Performance
Target Corporation (TGT) operates nearly 2,000 U.S. stores as a general merchandise retailer, offering apparel, groceries, essentials, and digital fulfillment. Trading around $120.79, TGT posted YTD gains over 20-23%, rebounding sharply from lows near $83. Recent weeks featured post-earnings surges, with Q4 sales at $30.5B and full-year adjusted EPS of $7.57, alongside 2026 guidance of $7.50-$8.50 EPS. Momentum stems from membership growth, same-day delivery expansion, and plans for 30+ new stores. Sentiment shifted positively on cost efficiencies and traffic acceleration, though discretionary sales remain sensitive to economic signals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD and MDLZ anchor consumer staples with global scale and brand moats, contrasting TGT's domestic retail focus vulnerable to spending cycles. Growth drivers differ: BUD leverages emerging market volumes, MDLZ snacks innovation, and TGT digital/loyalty expansions. Recent momentum favors TGT post-earnings, while staples show steadier YTD gains. Risk factors include commodity volatility for MDLZ, beer headwinds for BUD, and traffic sensitivity for TGT. Valuation-wise, TGT trades at lower multiples amid rebound, versus staples' premium for defensiveness. Sentiment tilts toward retail value plays in uncertain conditions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward TGT based on trend consistency from earnings momentum, stability in essentials traffic, and catalysts like store growth and AI-driven efficiencies. Relative positioning shows superior short-term gains versus staples' input pressures. Probabilistic edge favors TGT for momentum traders, though staples like BUD suit defensive strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TGT’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TGT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TGT’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TGT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +5.46% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was +2.69% , and TGT (@Discount Stores) price fluctuated +2.97% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was +3.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.13%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +2.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Apr 28, 2026.
TGT is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (+3.37% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+2.89% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| BUD | MDLZ | TGT | |
| Capitalization | 144B | 75.8B | 56.2B |
| EBITDA | 21B | 4.97B | 8.4B |
| Gain YTD | 17.411 | 10.722 | 28.175 |
| P/E Ratio | 22.18 | 31.26 | 15.26 |
| Revenue | 59.3B | 38.5B | 105B |
| Total Cash | 11.8B | N/A | 1.04B |
| Total Debt | 73B | 21.8B | 20B |
BUD | MDLZ | TGT | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 19 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 28 Undervalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 71 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 71 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 53 | 18 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 18 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 34 | 85 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (28) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as BUD (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is in the same range as TGT (60) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and similarly to TGT’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is in the same range as TGT (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that BUD's stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s and similarly to TGT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's SMR Rating (37) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (71) in the Food Major Diversified industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (75) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that TGT's stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as BUD (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (53) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that TGT's stock grew similarly to BUD’s and somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as TGT (25) in the Specialty Stores industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (55) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ's stock grew similarly to TGT’s and somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | MDLZ | TGT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 63% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 54% | 9 days ago 49% | 21 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 52% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPFF | 9.00 | 0.03 | +0.33% |
| Global X SuperIncome™ Preferred ETF | |||
| DWSH | 6.53 | 0.02 | +0.23% |
| AdvisorShares Dorsey Wright Short ETF | |||
| SMAX | 27.11 | 0.05 | +0.17% |
| iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Sep ETF | |||
| BRTR | 50.33 | 0.02 | +0.03% |
| iShares Total Return Active ETF | |||
| BLV | 69.08 | -0.03 | -0.04% |
| Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF | |||
BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | +1.08% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.24% | ||
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MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +0.44% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.41% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.39% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.84% | ||
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TGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGT has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TGT jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | 100% | +0.74% | ||
| DLTR - TGT | 33% Loosely correlated | -2.86% | ||
| WMT - TGT | 29% Poorly correlated | +1.47% | ||
| OLLI - TGT | 27% Poorly correlated | -5.05% | ||
| PSMT - TGT | 26% Poorly correlated | +2.94% | ||
| COST - TGT | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.17% | ||
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