Advertisement
BWXT or FTAI or TDG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. FTAI Aviation (FTAI) vs. TransDigm Group (TDG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT delivered strong 1-year returns of 94% with YTD gains of 11%, buoyed by nuclear sector demand and a $7.3B backlog, though recent sessions saw pullbacks.
- FTAI leads with 113% 1-year and 26% YTD returns, driven by aviation leasing growth and new power initiatives, but trades at elevated P/E of 54x.
- TDG shows stability with 12% 1-year returns amid Q1 revenue beats and acquisitions, yet faces recent share weakness and higher debt levels.
- All three operate in aerospace/defense with high valuations (P/E 37x-54x), but FTAI exhibits superior momentum while TDG offers scale at $64B market cap.
- Recent market activity highlights sector volatility, with nuclear catalysts aiding BWXT and aviation recovery boosting FTAI and TDG.
- Relative performance favors growth-oriented plays like FTAI in recent weeks amid AI power and defense demand.
Introduction
This comparison examines BWXT, FTAI, and TDG, three stocks tied to aerospace, defense, and aviation sectors amid rising geopolitical tensions, nuclear energy revival, and air travel recovery. Investors seeking exposure to industrial growth drivers—such as defense spending, aircraft engine demand, and aftermarket parts—may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts. Traders focused on momentum could prioritize short-term trends, while long-term holders assess backlog strength and sector tailwinds in the current market environment.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWXT (BWX Technologies, Inc.) is a leading manufacturer of nuclear components for defense, power generation, and medical isotopes, serving U.S. naval propulsion and commercial nuclear markets. With a market cap of $17.6B, it operates in the Industrials sector's Aerospace & Defense industry. Recent market activity has shown volatility, with shares pulling back over 5% in a single session amid broader sector pressures, yet YTD returns stand at 11% and 1-year gains at 94%, outperforming the S&P 500. Sentiment has been influenced by a 50% backlog surge to $7.3B from multi-year naval and nuclear awards, plus openings of a Digital Center and Centrifuge Facility for uranium enrichment. Key metrics include P/E of 54x (trailing twelve months, TTM), beta of 0.81 indicating lower volatility, EPS (TTM) of $3.58, and revenue of $3.2B. Developments like partnerships for nuclear components and medical isotope expansion have supported resilience.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) focuses on owning, leasing, and maintaining commercial jet engines, particularly CFM56 models, while expanding into aviation leasing and power generation. Its $25.3B market cap positions it in the Industrials sector's Rental & Leasing Services industry. Shares have demonstrated robust momentum with YTD returns of 26% and 1-year gains of 113%, though recent weeks saw fluctuations including a 4% dip. Positive sentiment stems from Q4 revenue growth, dividend hikes to $0.40/share, and the launch of FTAI Power converting engines for AI data center needs. Metrics feature P/E of 54x (TTM), beta of 1.57 reflecting higher volatility, EPS (TTM) of $4.59, and revenue of $2.51B. Analyst upgrades and aircraft acquisitions have fueled outperformance in recent market activity.
TDG Overview and Recent Performance
TDG (TransDigm Group Incorporated) designs and supplies highly engineered aircraft components for commercial and military platforms, emphasizing proprietary aftermarket parts. At a $64.6B market cap, it dominates the Industrials sector's Aerospace & Defense space. Performance has been steadier with YTD returns of 14% but softer 1-year gains of 12%, coupled with recent pullbacks to 52-week lows amid valuation concerns. Influences include Q1 revenue of $2.29B (up 14%), EBITDA margins near 52%, and $3.16B in acquisitions like Jet Parts Engineering, offset by debt raises and margin pressures. Key figures: P/E of 37x (TTM), beta of 0.92, EPS (TTM) of $31.04, revenue of $9.11B. Guidance raises signal confidence despite share weakness in recent weeks.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and market conditions. With over 351 total AI bots employing deep learning, pattern recognition, and risk controls, only the most promising—selected by AI analysis for current trends like momentum, sector rotation, and volatility—are featured in this dynamic section, often posting annualized returns up to 227%, win rates of 70-80%, and profit factors exceeding 2.5 in backtests and live trading. These bots span stocks, ETFs, and crypto on 5-60 minute charts, with brokerage-integrated agents delivering tick-level signals. Explore Trending AI Robots to identify bots suited to today's aerospace and defense momentum.
Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT, FTAI, and TDG share aerospace/defense exposure but diverge in models: BWXT's nuclear focus offers defense stability via government contracts, contrasting TDG's aftermarket parts emphasis on recurring revenue (52% EBITDA margins) and FTAI's leasing/power pivot targeting aviation recovery and AI energy. Growth drivers include BWXT's $7.3B backlog, FTAI's 33% revenue jumps, and TDG's M&A (e.g., $2.2B deals). Recent momentum favors FTAI (113% 1-yr), but TDG leads scale/revenue. Risks: high debt/equity (all >100%, FTAI at 1,046%), cyclical aviation for FTAI/TDG, regulatory for BWXT. Valuations are premium (P/E 37x-54x, EV/EBITDA ~20x-43x), with TDG relatively attractive; sentiment tilts to growth plays amid defense/AI tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward FTAI based on superior trend consistency, 26% YTD/113% 1-year momentum, aviation catalysts like engine conversions for AI power, and analyst upgrades, positioning it strongly relative to peers despite volatility. BWXT follows for nuclear backlog stability, while TDG trails on recent weakness. This probabilistic edge favors FTAI in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileFTAI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TDG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TDG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTAI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TDG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TDG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.71% price change this week, while FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) price change was +3.07% , and TDG (@Aerospace & Defense) price fluctuated +4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +6.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TDG is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+6.15% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
| BWXT | FTAI | TDG | |
| Capitalization | 21.6B | 26.6B | 71.5B |
| EBITDA | 552M | 1.12B | 4.63B |
| Gain YTD | 36.603 | 31.861 | -4.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 65.86 | 56.33 | 40.73 |
| Revenue | 3.2B | 2.51B | 9.11B |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | 2.53B |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 3.45B | 30B |
BWXT | FTAI | TDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 18 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 95 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 15 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 10 | 16 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 38 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 99 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 65 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TDG's Valuation (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (84) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as BWXT (95) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that TDG's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as FTAI (15) in the Investment Managers industry, and is in the same range as TDG (25) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew similarly to FTAI’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's SMR Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as TDG (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as BWXT (33) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to TDG’s and similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
FTAI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BWXT (40) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is in the same range as TDG (58) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that FTAI's stock grew similarly to BWXT’s and similarly to TDG’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TDG (77) in the Aerospace And Defense industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for FTAI (99) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that BWXT's stock grew somewhat faster than TDG’s and significantly faster than FTAI’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | FTAI | TDG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 5 days ago 88% | 6 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 55% | 10 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A | 3 days ago 61% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MOTO | 62.32 | 1.90 | +3.15% |
| Guinness Atkinson Smart Trans & Tch ETF | |||
| IXP | 123.92 | 0.54 | +0.44% |
| iShares Global Comm Services ETF | |||
| FNGG | 204.21 | 0.71 | +0.35% |
| Direxion Daily NYSE FANG+ Bull 2X Shares | |||
| IGF | 67.56 | 0.19 | +0.28% |
| iShares Global Infrastructure ETF | |||
| GJS | 23.22 | N/A | N/A |
| Synthetic Fixed-Income Securities STRATS 2006-2 Goldman Sachs Group | |||
BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | +2.16% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 79% Closely correlated | +2.18% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.82% | ||
More | ||||
TDG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TDG has been loosely correlated with HEI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TDG jumps, then HEI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TDG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TDG | 100% | +3.07% | ||
| HEI - TDG | 44% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| VVX - TDG | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| SAFRY - TDG | 39% Loosely correlated | +5.35% | ||
| RYCEY - TDG | 36% Loosely correlated | +5.08% | ||
| SARO - TDG | 35% Loosely correlated | +2.88% | ||
More | ||||